In my opinion Sheriff have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +2.5 AH on away side looks like very safe option to play.

First match between both teams finished with Roma 2:1 win on away, but that was very close game: expected goals scored for Sheriff 0.79, for Roma 0.94.

Roma already secured their place in next round, their motivation is under huge question mark especially with hard schedule in Serie A. Till the end of the month Roma going to play against 3 teams from top6: Bologna, Napoli and Juventus. For sure coach Mourinho don't wants to risk too much in today's game.

Sheriff is the strongest team in Moldova by far so for them matches in European Cups are always the highest priority. It's opportunity to play against prestigious opponents and to show up for the bigger audience. I'm sure Sheriff will give absolutely everything to make positive result in Rome today.

Roma today is without their best player in current season (according to the ratings) Paulo Dybala. It's huge blow because he is also team best assistant and second-best scorer. His absence should have very bad impact on hosts performance in attack, no doubt about that.

On those circumstances I see good value on Sheriff with such high HC line.

在我看来，警长队在今天的比赛中很有可能避免大输。客场+2.5 AH看起来是非常安全的选择。

两队的第一场比赛以罗马2:1的胜利结束，但这是一场非常接近的比赛:预计进球数为0.79，罗马为0.94。

罗马已经确保了他们下一轮的席位，他们的动力是一个巨大的问号，特别是在意甲的艰难赛程中，直到月底，罗马将对阵前6名中的3支球队:博洛尼亚，那不勒斯和尤文图斯。毫无疑问，穆里尼奥教练不想在今天的比赛中冒太大的风险。

治安官是摩尔多瓦目前最强的球队，所以对他们来说，欧洲杯的比赛总是最重要的。这是一个与知名对手比赛的机会，也是一个在更多观众面前展示自己的机会。我相信警长今天会尽一切努力在罗马取得积极的结果。

罗马今天失去了他们本赛季最好的球员保罗·迪巴拉(根据收视率)。这是一个巨大的打击，因为他也是球队最佳助理和第二好的得分手。毫无疑问，他的缺席会对主队进攻端的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

在这种情况下，我认为警长有这么高的HC线很有价值。