Who wins the big game in Serie A?
2023-12-08

Borja

外籍分析师

意甲

12/09 03:45

已完赛

尤文图斯
1:0
那不勒斯
解读理由:

Less than two weeks ago, Juventus welcomed the team that many folks are predicting to win the the 2023-24 Scudetto to Allianz Stadium. It lived up to the hype of it for the opening 45 minutes, then fizzled away quickly like a bottle of soda that’s left out overnight without the cap on it.

Last Friday, Federico Gatti turned on a ‘hero mode’ to inspire Juventus to a last-gasp 2-1 win at Monza. The center-back’s 94th-minute heroics kept Massimiliano Allegri’s team within striking distance of the table’s summit.

Now, it’s last season’s Scudetto winners who are rolling into Turin and looking to slow down Juventus’ early-season success on their home field.

Of course, this is not the same Napoli that last visited Turin in the spring. They still have some of the best attacking players you’ll see in Serie A in Victor Osimhen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, but the man who pulled all of those strings is now coaching a different shade of blue. The guy who was brought in to replace Luciano Spalletti is gone, too — which means Napoli are already on the second manager of the season despite the fact that they’re the defending Serie A champions and currently fifth place in a very crowded pack of clubs behind third-place Milan.

That manager who replaced Rudi Garcia during the most recent international break is a familiar face to longtime Calcio followers: Walter Mazzarri, who had been out of work since May 2022 after failing to keep Cagliari out of the relegation zone. Part of the catch of Mazzarri returning to the club in which he has enjoyed his most success as a manager is to keep things as they had been with Spalletti and then Garcia in terms of tactics — which, if you’re even the slightest bit familiar with Mazzarri then you know anything other than a three-man defense is very much not his bag.

Through Mazzarri’s first three games back in Naples, the results have not exactly been a true turn for the better. As much as his first game against Atalanta was a positive one that ended in a 2-1 win away in Bergamo, Napoli have been handed back-to-back losses by Real Madrid and league leaders Inter by a combined score of 7-2, with the second of those losses being a 3-0 dismantling by Simone Inzaghi’s side this past weekend.

Inter’s win at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona caused plenty of controversy, with Napoli CEO Mauro Meluso lodging a formal complaint about the quality of refereeing in Serie A. It’s more like a desperate attempt to mask the team’s significant problems on the pitch. Consistency remains an issue.

Max Allegri and Juventus can learn a lot about both this version of Napoli under Mazzarri and how to attack it simply by what Inter did last weekend at the Maradona. However, Inter is the better counterattacking side, sure, but a lot of Inter wants to do in terms of playing a certain is along the same lines of how Allegri wants to play. (Although, as we know, Allegri is playing deeper than Inter, which is probably the most noticeable difference between the two sides.)

One thing is for certain during this second of three straight Fridays in which Juventus will play: Napoli don’t want to make it three losses out of four with their new manager at the helm.

Napoli might not be flying as high as they were last season under Spalletti, but when you’ve got a trident like the reigning champions have, you know you’re going to have to defend and do so with both speed and precision.

We know how Allegri and Juve will play this. Napoli made them pay for it 11 months ago. Same goes for the last time Napoli played in Turin, too. There will be defending from Juventus — and plenty of it.

Defensively sound, Juventus have only conceded nine times in the opening 14 Serie A rounds. But after failing to keep a clean sheet in their last two league matches, Bianconeri can’t take anything for granted. With that said, Allegri’s men have only capitulated four times in their six top-flight games on home turf.

That steady backline has played a pivotal role in an unbeaten league record in Turin (W5, D2). However, Napoli’s upcoming visit will test their defensive resolve, especially considering Juventus have gone winless in their last two Serie A meetings at home (D1, L1). That puts them on the brink of an unwanted feat.

Given the high stakes, this contest has all the makings of a tepid, low-scoring affair. A draw is very possible here so the double chance looks like the right bet for me. Napoli is algo unbeaten against Juventus in the last 4 fixtures.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

不到两周前,尤文图斯在安联球场迎来了许多人预测将赢得2023-24赛季意甲冠军的球队。在开场的45分钟里,它没有辜负人们对它的大肆宣传,然后就像一瓶没有盖上瓶盖的苏打水一样,一夜之间就消失了。

上周五,费德里科·加蒂开启了“英雄模式”,激励尤文图斯在最后时刻2-1战胜蒙扎。这名中后卫在第94分钟的英勇表现让阿莱格里的球队距离积分榜榜首只有一步之遥。

现在,上个赛季的意甲冠军正在涌入都灵,并希望在他们的主场减缓尤文图斯赛季初的成功。

当然,这不是上次春天造访都灵的那不勒斯。他们仍然拥有一些你能在意甲看到的最好的进攻球员,比如维克托·奥西姆恩和克瓦拉茨基利亚,但是那个操纵一切的人现在执教的是一支不同的蓝色球队。取代卢西亚诺·斯帕莱蒂的人也走了——这意味着那不勒斯已经有了本赛季的第二位主教练,尽管他们是意甲卫冕冠军,目前在拥挤的俱乐部中排名第五,仅次于排名第三的米兰。

在最近的国际比赛中取代鲁迪·加西亚的主教练是一个长期关注Calcio的人熟悉的面孔:沃尔特·马扎里(Walter Mazzarri),他自2022年5月以来一直失业,因为未能将卡利亚里带出降级区。马扎里回到他作为教练最成功的俱乐部的一部分是在战术上保持他们在斯帕莱蒂和加西亚时的样子——如果你对马扎里有一点点熟悉,你就会知道除了三人防守之外的任何东西都不是他的包。

在马扎里回到那不勒斯的前三场比赛中,结果并没有真正好转。虽然他的第一场对阵亚特兰大的比赛取得了积极的结果,并在贝加莫客场以2-1取胜,但那不勒斯却接连以7-2的比分输给了皇马和联赛领头羊国米,其中第二场是在上周末被因扎吉的球队以0 - 3惨败。

国米在马拉多纳球场的胜利引发了很多争议,那不勒斯首席执行官莫罗·梅鲁索对意甲的裁判质量提出了正式投诉。这更像是一种绝望的企图,以掩盖球队在球场上的重大问题。一致性仍然是一个问题

阿莱格里和尤文图斯可以从马扎里治下的那不勒斯学到很多,也可以从国米上周末在马拉多纳球场的表现中学到很多。然而,国米确实是一支更好的反击球队,但是很多国米想要做的是沿着阿莱格里想要的方式踢球。(尽管我们知道,阿莱格里比国米踢得更深,这可能是双方最明显的区别。)

在尤文图斯连续三个周五的比赛中,有一件事是肯定的:那不勒斯不想在他们的新教练掌舵下四场比赛中输掉三场。

那不勒斯可能不会像上赛季在斯帕莱蒂的带领下飞得那么高,但当你拥有一支像卫冕冠军那样的三叉戟时,你知道你必须要防守,并且要保持速度和精度。

我们知道阿莱格里和尤文会怎么做。那不勒斯11个月前让他们付出了代价。上一次那不勒斯在都灵的比赛也是如此。会有来自尤文图斯的防守,而且会有很多。

防守稳固,尤文图斯在前14轮联赛中只丢了9球。但是在最近两场联赛都没能保持零封之后,斑马军团不能把任何事情都视为理所当然。尽管如此,阿莱格里的球队在主场的六场顶级联赛中只投降了四次。

这条稳定的后防线在都灵保持联赛不败(5胜2负)的过程中发挥了关键作用。然而,那不勒斯即将到来的来访将考验他们的防守决心,特别是考虑到尤文图斯在最近的两场意甲主场比赛(D1, L1)中都没有获胜。这将他们置于一个不受欢迎的壮举的边缘。

鉴于赌注之高,这场比赛注定是一场不温不火、得分之低的比赛。平局是很有可能的,所以双倍的机会看起来对我来说是正确的赌注。那不勒斯在最近4场比赛中对尤文图斯保持不败。

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