PSG or Newcastle to qualify? 欧冠 巴黎圣曼VS纽卡斯尔
2023-11-28

Borja

外籍分析师

欧冠

11/29 04:00

已完赛

巴黎圣曼
1:0
纽卡斯尔
解读理由:

The ‘group of death’ has certainly lived up to the billing and now both Newcastle and PSG must avoid defeat to prevent being eliminated.

Newcastle claimed a fantastic 4-1 victory when these sides last met but a lot has changed since then and I’ve got no doubt that this game will be very different.

Firstly, the injury list is absolutely huge for Eddie Howe. What’s worse, a lot of his key players are out for a sustained period of time. For this match, Sandro Tonali, Sven Botman, Callum Wilson, Dan Burn, Elliot Anderson, Joe Willock, Harvey Barnes, Jacob Murphy and Matt Targett are all ruled out. Between all these players we have key pieces such as Tonali, Callum Willson, Sven Botman and Dan Burn.

Further to this, there is a minor doubt for Eddie Howe. Important midfielder Sean Longstaff missed the last game but he hopes to be fit in time for this match.

Secondly, Paris Saint-Germain are much stronger in Paris – they have won both of their home matches without conceding and lost both of their away games.

For me, the exciting thing about PSG is they are now not a team of superstars, they are a young team with lots of potential. Kylian Mbappe is the talisman, but there are many other talented forwards – Randal Kolo Muani, Lee Kang In and Goncalo Ramos have all been good signings that show the club is thinking of the future. And Ousmane Dembele has performed well since signing from Barcelona , so there are many players who can hurt Newcastle. Full-backs Achraf Hakimi and Lucas Hernandez will also push forward, so I see PSG setting up in an attacking formation.

Coach Luis Enrique has to deal with the absences of two players injured during the international break: the young promise Waren Zaire-Emery and their captain Marquinhos.

They have had one more day to rest, as played against Monaco (achieving a solid victory 5:2) on Friday while Newcastle played on Saturday against Chelsea, winning 4:1.

The international break proved a boon for Newcastle, who had struggled in their previous outings, offering the team a chance to recover and beat Chelsea badly last Saturday.

This is a difficult task for Newcastle, who are known for their ability to fight. Eddie Howe will make sure they work hard and stick to their game plan – marking their opponents closely and putting in strong tackles. I expect them to be dangerous from set-pieces, particularly with Kieran Trippier’s excellent deliveries, and the pace of Anthony Gordon and Miguel Almiron will be important on the break. Up front, Alexander Isak must be clinical with any chances that come his way.

However, we must remember that Newcastle is yet to score away in the UCL, as they weren’t able to do it against Borussia Dortmund (2:0) and Milan (0:0). In both games they were totally outplayed and generated very few chances: 0.44 expected goals in Dortmund, 0.19 in Milan. In the Premier League things are not different, as their last away game was a 2:0 defeat against relegation side Bournemouth, generating just 0.29 expected goals.

But in front of their own fans, I expect PSG to be too strong for Newcastle, so it’s a home win. PSG’s attack will be too strong for Newcastle’s depleted defence.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

“死亡之组”当然不负众望,现在纽卡斯尔和巴黎圣日耳曼都必须避免失败,以免被淘汰。

纽卡斯尔在两队上一次交锋时以4-1大胜,但自那以后发生了很多变化,我毫不怀疑这场比赛将会非常不同。

首先,埃迪·豪的伤病名单非常庞大。更糟糕的是,他的许多关键球员都将缺席一段时间。本场比赛,桑德罗·托纳利、斯文·博特曼、卡勒姆·威尔逊、丹·伯恩、埃利奥特·安德森、乔·威尔洛克、哈维·巴恩斯、雅各布·墨菲和马特·塔吉特都将缺席比赛。在所有这些球员之间,我们有像托纳利、卡勒姆·威尔逊、斯文·波特曼和丹·伯恩这样的关键球员。

除此之外,埃迪·豪还有一个小小的疑问。重要的中场球员肖恩·朗斯塔夫错过了上一场比赛,但他希望能在这场比赛中及时康复。

其次,巴黎圣日耳曼在巴黎的实力要强大得多——他们两场主场比赛都没有失球,但两场客场比赛都输了。

对我来说,巴黎圣日耳曼令人兴奋的事情是他们现在不是一支由超级巨星组成的球队,他们是一支充满潜力的年轻球队。姆巴佩是球队的护身符,但还有很多其他有天赋的前锋——兰德尔·科洛·穆阿尼、李康仁和拉莫斯都是很好的引援,这表明俱乐部正在考虑未来。登贝莱从巴萨签下后表现很好,所以有很多球员可以伤害纽卡斯尔。边后卫哈基米和埃尔南德斯也会向前推进,所以我认为巴黎圣日耳曼会建立一个进攻阵型。

主教练路易斯·恩里克必须处理两名球员在国际比赛日受伤缺阵的问题:年轻有为的沃伦·扎伊尔·埃梅里和他们的队长马奎诺斯。

他们又多了一天的休息时间,周五对阵摩纳哥(5:2大胜),周六对阵切尔西(4:1)。

国际比赛日对纽卡斯尔来说是一个福音,他们在之前的比赛中表现不佳,为球队提供了一个恢复的机会,并在上周六惨败了切尔西。

这对以战斗能力著称的纽卡斯尔来说是一项艰巨的任务。埃迪·豪将确保他们努力工作并坚持他们的比赛计划——密切盯防对手并进行强有力的抢断。我希望他们在定位球上具有威胁,特别是在特里皮尔出色的传球下,安东尼·戈登和米格尔·阿尔米隆的速度将在突破中发挥重要作用。在锋线上,亚历山大·伊萨克必须冷静地对待任何出现在他面前的机会。

然而,我们必须记住,纽卡斯尔还没有在客场取得进球,因为他们没能在对阵多特蒙德(2:0)和米兰(0:0)的比赛中取得进球。在两场比赛中,他们都被完全击败,创造的机会很少:在多特蒙德的预期进球为0.44,在米兰的预期进球为0.19。在英超联赛中,情况也不例外,他们的上一场客场比赛是2:0输给保级球队伯恩茅斯,只产生了0.29个预期进球。

但在他们自己的球迷面前,我认为巴黎圣日耳曼对纽卡斯尔来说太强大了,所以这是一场主场胜利。巴黎圣日耳曼的进攻对于纽卡斯尔的后防线来说太强大了。

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