A GREAT match to bet on! 欧预赛 直布罗陀VS荷兰
2023-11-21

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/22 03:45

已完赛

直布罗陀
1:0
荷兰
解读理由:

Gibraltar VS Netherlands


Gibraltar welcome Netherlands for this UEFA EURO Qualification round 10 clash at Estádio Algarve in Faro/Loulé early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a one-sided and not very entertaining game here. I expect a somewhat relaxed and low-tempo game here. I see the match as more low scoring than the bookmakers do. The probability of under 5.5 total goals to be scored is 66%. There is nothing to play for left for either team in terms of qualification. France have already won the group and the Netherlands will finish in 2nd place. They have a fine 15 points to their account. However, they have scored only 11 goals so far. Their number of expected goals is bigger though. However, they have not fully impressed me offensively. They also have a several players injured. Moreover, I expect their head coach to do some squad rotation here Yes, their level drops if the very best players do not play – or play less than normally. Their squad is not nearly as deep as those of for example France of England.

The two teams locked horns in the Netherlands in March and the Dutch won "only" 3-0. At that time they were still motivated to score as many goals as possible and had their loud fans behind them. I believe Gibraltar have an excellent chance to avoid losing by a margin of more than five goals here. We will take the +5.5 goals handicap option here with a 69% chance of winning. Yes, France humiliated Gibraltar 14-0 a few days at home. Moreover, their player, E. Santos, was sent off in the 18th minute. After that things got, unsurprisingly, pretty easy for the French. Gibraltar simply gave up. Yes, it was a totally one-sided match but I believe the final result affects the odds too much here. France generated "only" 6.32 in expected goals (xG). Gibraltar will surely want to prove that they are better than in the last game and will fight hard at home. Yes, they are a bad team, of course, but have lost only a few games by a margin of more than 5 goals in recent years.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

直布罗陀VS荷兰


直布罗陀欢迎荷兰队参加北京时间周三凌晨在法鲁/卢莱尔的Estádio阿尔加维举行的欧洲杯预选赛第10轮比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场一边倒的、不太有趣的比赛。我希望这是一场轻松、慢节奏的比赛。我认为这场比赛的比分比博彩公司认为的要低。总进球数少于5.5个的概率是66%。就出线资格而言,两队都没有什么可争取的了。法国队已经获得小组第一,荷兰队将获得小组第二。他们被罚了15分。然而,他们到目前为止只进了11个球。然而,他们的预期目标数量更大。然而,他们在进攻端并没有给我留下深刻的印象。他们还有几名球员受伤。此外,我希望他们的主教练在这里进行一些阵容轮换。是的,如果最好的球员不上场,或者上场时间比平时少,他们的水平就会下降。他们的阵容深度远不如法国队和英格兰队。

今年3月,两队在荷兰交锋,荷兰队“仅”以3比0获胜。那时,他们仍然有动力尽可能多地进球,并有他们响亮的球迷在背后支持他们。我相信直布罗陀有很好的机会避免以超过5球的差距输掉比赛。我们在这里选择+5.5球的障碍选项,有69%的获胜机会。是的,法国几天前在主场以14比0羞辱了直布罗陀。此外,他们的球员桑托斯(E. Santos)在第18分钟被罚下。在那之后,不出所料,事情对法国人来说变得相当容易。直布罗陀干脆放弃了。是的,这是一场完全一边倒的比赛,但我相信最终的结果对赔率的影响太大了。法国队的预期进球数“仅”为6.32。直布罗陀肯定会想要证明他们比上一场比赛更好,并且会在主场努力拼搏。是的,他们当然是一支糟糕的球队,但近年来只输了几场比赛,比分超过5个球。

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