An interesting match to bet on!
2023-11-20

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/21 03:45

已完赛

捷克
1:0
摩尔多瓦
解读理由:

Czechia VS Moldova


Czechia welcome Moldova for this UEFA EURO Qualification Group E at Andruv stadion in Olomouc early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of a little better than average level by international standards. The stakes are massive here. Albania currently top the standings. This is a slight surprise – no denying this. They have 14 points to their account. However, by pure class Czechia, formerly known as the Czech Republic, are the best team in this group in my expert opinion. Their FIFA ranking is only 42nd but this is too low. 31-33rd would be a more realistic place in this ranking. Moldova, on the other hand, are in 157th place which is a little too low. The hosts have 12 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 15.88. They have a massive edge over Moldova in all areas of the game. Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me. Moldova have 10 points to their account but their number of xPTS is only 8.89. They have netted  the ball seven times and have conceded seven goals but their number of expected goals allowed is much higher – 10.12 to be precise! Even so, I do have to say that they have defended better than I would have expected..

Moldova are at their best at home in front of their loud fans. Away from home their level drops a lot. They usually play defensive, passive football on the road. Here they need a win to qualify for the EURO 2024 played in Germany next summer. They will need to attack actively and I believe this will not end well. The hosts have many quick and skilled offensive players. If the hosts take the lead Moldova will have to take even bigger risks! We will take the hosts -1.5 goals handicap option with a 65% chance of winning.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

捷克VS摩尔多瓦


北京时间周一凌晨,捷克将在奥洛穆茨的安德鲁夫球场迎来摩尔多瓦参加欧洲杯预选赛E组。这是最后一轮比赛了。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场比国际平均水平略好一点的比赛。这里的赌注是巨大的。阿尔巴尼亚目前排名第一。这是一个小小的惊喜——不可否认。他们的账户上有14分。然而,纯阶级的捷克,以前被称为捷克共和国,在我的专家看来,是这个小组中最好的球队。他们在国际足联的排名只有42位,但这太低了。在这个排名中,31-33是更现实的位置。另一方面,摩尔多瓦排在第157位,有点太低了。东道主的账上有12分。他们的期望点数(xPTS)是15.88。他们在比赛的各个方面都比摩尔多瓦有巨大的优势。我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道,我从不让排名欺骗我。摩尔多瓦有10分,但他们的xPTS数量只有8.89。他们有7次进球,丢了7个球,但他们的预期失球数要高得多——准确地说,是10.12个!即便如此,我不得不说他们的防守比我预期的要好。

摩尔多瓦队在主场球迷的欢呼声中发挥了最佳状态。在客场他们的水平下降了很多。他们在客场通常踢防守、被动的足球。在这里,他们需要一场胜利才能获得明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯的参赛资格。他们需要积极进攻,我相信这不会有好结果。东道主有许多速度快、技术娴熟的进攻球员。如果东道主领先,摩尔多瓦将不得不承担更大的风险!我们将选择东道主1.5个进球的劣势选项,胜率为65%。

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