MORE PROFIT? $$$ 欧预赛 白俄罗斯VS安道尔
2023-11-19

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧预赛

11/19 01:00

已完赛

白俄罗斯
1:0
安道尔
解读理由:

Belarus VS Andorra


Belarus and Andorra lock horn in this UEFA EURO Qualification Group I round 9 clash at Szusza Ferenc Stadion in Budapest, Hungary. A total of 10 rounds will be played. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of low level by international standards here. I would recommend my fans to watch almost any other game than this. However, betting-wise this game is an interesting one! We have done well betting on EURO Qualification and here the obvious smart bet is Andorra +1.5 goals handicap option with an over 70% chance of winning once again. Yes, Belarus are the better team by pure class and have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. However, their current odds of around 1.55 to win offered by the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers are way too low! I see them having an only 54% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed. The home advantage here is almost non-existent and I believe the bookies perhaps have not given this factor enough emphasis! In a game with nothing at stake really, having the fans at the stadium would have been very important.. Football in Belarus has been in decline in recent years - both the national team and the clubs. Their FIFA ranking is only 100th - which is still too high in my opinion. Andorra, on the other hand, are in 159th place but I would say that 145-147th would be a more realistic place in the ranking.

Andorra and Belarus last locked horns in Andorra in September and it was a goalless draw. Belarus were priced around 1.90 to win by the bookies in this match. Yes, they were the better team but did not impress me. They recorded only three shots on goal - Andorra had just one though. Both teams generated pretty little in expected goals (xG). Belarus have scored seven goals but their number of xG is only 5.34. They have conceded 14 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is higher – 17.34. They were very lucky in their last game – robbing a point from Switzerland despite the hosts being massively better for the majority of the 90 minutes! This result probably affects the odds too much here! Belarus have six points to their account and are in 5th place. Andorra have grabbed just two points but their score difference in terms of xG and xGA (4.34-17.56) is not that much weaker than that of Belarus.. Andorra lost their most recent game 0-4 in Romania. The hosts were priced around 1.10 by the bookies to win this game. The final score is misleading as Romania generated “only” 1.68 in xG – Andorra managed 0.12. Andorra fight hard in every game and have a great team spirit according to my sources. With Belarus this has not always been the case. An a good day the hosts could be much better here but I would not be surprised to see this being a very low-tempo and balanced clash.



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白俄罗斯VS安道尔


白俄罗斯和安道尔将在匈牙利布达佩斯的Szusza ference体育场进行欧洲杯预选赛第9轮比赛。比赛共进行10轮。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃的足球投注者,可以期待一场低于国际标准的比赛。我建议我的球迷去看除了这个以外的任何比赛。然而,赌博方面,这是一个有趣的游戏!我们在欧洲杯预选赛上的赌注做得很好,在这里显然明智的赌注是安道尔+1.5个进球障碍选项,有超过70%的机会再次获胜。是的,白俄罗斯是一支实力更强的球队,在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势。然而,目前接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的1.55左右的赔率太低了!我认为他们让访客空手而归的几率只有54%。这里的主场优势几乎不存在,我相信博彩公司可能没有给予这个因素足够的重视!在一场没有什么利害关系的比赛中,有球迷在球场是非常重要的。近年来,无论是国家队还是俱乐部,白俄罗斯的足球都在走下坡路。他们在国际足联的排名只有100位,在我看来还是太高了。另一方面,安道尔在第159位,但我认为145-147位的排名更现实。

安道尔和白俄罗斯上一次交锋是在9月份的安道尔,当时平局为0比0。在这场比赛中,博彩公司对白俄罗斯的定价在1.90左右。是的,他们是更好的球队,但没有给我留下深刻印象。他们只有3次射门,安道尔只有1次。两支球队的预期进球(xG)都很少。白俄罗斯已经进了7个球,但是他们的进球数只有5.34个。他们丢了14个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)更高,为17.34个。他们在上一场比赛中非常幸运——尽管东道主在90分钟的大部分时间里都表现出色,但他们还是从瑞士那里抢了一分!这个结果可能对这里的赔率影响太大了!白俄罗斯目前积6分,排名第五。安道尔虽然只拿到了两分,但他们的总比分和总比分(4.34-17.56)的差距并不比白俄罗斯弱多少。安道尔最近一场比赛0-4输给了罗马尼亚。博彩公司给东道主开出的赢得这场比赛的赔率约为1.10英镑。最后的得分具有误导性,因为罗马尼亚在xG中“仅”获得了1.68分,而安道尔获得了0.12分。根据我的消息来源,安道尔在每场比赛中都很努力,有很强的团队精神。在白俄罗斯,情况并非总是如此。这是一个美好的一天,东道主可以在这里表现得更好,但我不会对看到这是一场非常慢节奏和平衡的冲突感到惊讶。

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