Venezuela VS Ecuador

Venezuela host Ecuador for this South America World Championship Qualification round 5 battle Estadio Monumental de Maturín in Maturín Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat level by international standards here. Ecuador played in the last World Cup in Qatar about a year ago. Venezuela did not qualify. Most importantly, we have yet another promising betting opportunity here. My fans and I have won five picks in a row betting on the South America World Championship Qualification! There are a total of 10 countries playing in this qualification – six teams qualify for the World Cup of 2026 directly – the team who finishes in 7th place will have a chance to qualify by winning the Promotion battle against a country from another continent. Argentina, currently top the standings in this group with a maximum 12 points to their account followed by Uruguay with seven points. Brazil and Venezuela have a total of seven points in their pocket. Ecuador, on the other hand, have grabbed only four points. Venezuela have been a very positive surprise in this qualification so far. I have, as a result, raised their power rating. This rating reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Venezuela have been particularly good in terms of defence. Indeed, they have only allowed two goals so far! This is the second-lowest number in this qualification group! Only Argentina, the reigning World Champions, have conceded less goals – zero to be precise. Venezuela do not have the biggest names in defence but play extremely well as a team – and fight hard for every ball! Their midfielders - and even the strikers – often actively take part in defending. They have scored a decent five goals so far but on paper their offense is not top-class. This makes it easy for the bookmakers and recreational bettors to underestimate them! I want to highlight that Venezuela have won a whopping six home games/matches at a neutral location in a row. Indeed, they seem to struggle playing in front of a hostile crowd. They have allowed only two goals in these six victorious matches! Furthermore, they have won both games in front of their enthusiastic games in this qualification – keeping a clean sheet in both matches! In their most recent game they crushed a potentially dangerous team, Chile, 3-0 at home! In the early market Chile were solid favourites to win on the betting market but by the time of kick off smart money had piled up on the hosts and they were eventually narrow favourites. Venezuela recorded many more shots on goal – 6-1 in this game. Moreover, they generated 2.34 in expected goals (xG). Chile managed only 0.36! I expected a lot from Venezuela in this game but it was, indeed, a strong performance!

Before beating Chile Venezuela were even better – taking into account the level of the opponent! Venezuela took a point from Brazil, one of the strongest football countries in the world, at Arena Pantanal as gigantic underdogs - at the odds of about 25.00-30.00 to win. Yes, Brazil were the better team on the pitch but the match was much more balanced than I – not to mention the bookmakers - would have expected! Brazil recorded 13 goal attempts – Venezuela managed eight. Brazil generated only marginally more in xG – 0.79-0.76 to be precise. With a hint of luck Venezuela could have taken all three points! The bookies have not reacted even closely enough to Venezuela's significantly improved level - which offer us a chance to make a good bet. In round 2 Venezuela beat Paraguay 1-0 at home after a balanced game. Both teams generated 1.21 in xG. Yes, Ecuador are the better team by pure class but taking the massive home advantage into account the match is a coin toss (50-50%) - based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based expert analysis. The bookies see Ecuador as solid favourites – at the time of writing this analysis very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Odds on the visitors to win are around 2.35 - way too low. We will take the Venezuela +0.5 goals handicap option here – to try to increase the winning streak of six bets at the time of posting this preview! Ecuador played a goalless draw against Colombia in their last match. The visitors generated much more in xG – 1.29-0.49. They also recorded more shots on goal and dangerous attacks. Ecuador did record one more goal attempt though. Ecuador were clear in this clash - priced around 2.00 to take all three points. It was a disappointing performance from Ecuador as a whole. Colombia's Luis Diaz even missed a penalty in the 61th minute. Colombia were also denied two goals due to offside after a VAR check.. Before this Ecuador beat Bolivia, a pretty limited team, 2-1 away from home as very clear favourites – priced around 1.70 to win on the betting market. However, Bolivia has 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, corner kicks (5-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 39-33 to precise. The game could easily have gone either way. I was not impressed with Ecuador's performance..

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委内瑞拉VS厄瓜多尔

北京时间周五上午Maturín举行的南美世界杯预选赛第5轮比赛中，委内瑞拉主场迎战厄瓜多尔。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场符合国际标准的比赛。厄瓜多尔参加了大约一年前在卡塔尔举行的上届世界杯。委内瑞拉没有晋级。最重要的是，我们在这里有另一个很有希望的赌博机会。我和我的球迷已经连续五次赢得了南美世锦赛的入场券!本次资格赛共有10个国家参加，其中6支球队有资格直接参加2026年世界杯，排名第七的球队将有机会赢得与另一个大陆国家的晋级战。阿根廷目前以12分的积分排名小组第一，乌拉圭以7分紧随其后。巴西和委内瑞拉共积7分。另一方面，厄瓜多尔只拿到了4分。到目前为止，委内瑞拉在这次预选赛中一直是一个非常积极的惊喜。因此，我提高了它们的功率等级。这个排名反映了球队的纯粹等级，有最好的首发11人。委内瑞拉在防守方面做得特别好。事实上，到目前为止他们只丢了两个球!这是预选赛小组第二低的数字!只有卫冕世界冠军阿根廷队丢的球少——准确地说是零。委内瑞拉在后防线上没有大牌球星，但作为一个团队，他们踢得非常好——而且每一个球都很拼!他们的中场球员——甚至前锋——经常积极参与防守。到目前为止，他们已经进了5个不错的球，但是从纸面上看，他们的进攻并不是一流的。这使得庄家和娱乐投注者很容易低估他们!我想强调的是，委内瑞拉已经连续在中立地点赢得了六场主场比赛。事实上，他们在一群充满敌意的观众面前踢球似乎很挣扎。在这六场胜利的比赛中，他们只丢了两个球!此外，他们在预选赛中两场比赛都取得了胜利——两场比赛都保持了零封!在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以3比0击败了一支潜在的危险球队——智利!在开球初期，智利队在博彩市场上是夺冠的大热门，但到开球时，大量资金涌向东道主，智利队最终以微弱优势夺冠。委内瑞拉在这场比赛中以6比1的比分射门次数更多。此外，他们还产生了2.34个预期目标(xG)。智利只拿到0.36分!在这场比赛中，我对委内瑞拉的期望很高，但这确实是一场强劲的表现!

在击败智利之前，考虑到对手的水平，委内瑞拉的表现甚至更好!在潘塔纳尔竞技场，委内瑞拉以25.00-30.00的赔率，从世界足球强国之一巴西手中拿下一分。是的，巴西队在球场上表现得更好，但比赛比我——更不用说博彩公司——预期的要平衡得多!巴西队13次射门，委内瑞拉8次。巴西在2009年的产出仅略高——准确地说是0.79-0.76。如果运气好的话，委内瑞拉本来可以全取三分的!博彩公司甚至没有对委内瑞拉的显著提高的水平做出足够密切的反应——这为我们提供了一个好赌注的机会。在第二轮比赛中，经过一场势均力敌的比赛，委内瑞拉主场1-0击败巴拉圭。两支球队在xG中都产生了1.21。是的，厄瓜多尔队在纯粹的级别上更胜一筹，但考虑到巨大的主场优势，这场比赛就像抛硬币一样(50-50%)——这是基于我复杂的、基于数据的专家分析。在北京时间周三凌晨撰写这篇分析时，博彩公司认为厄瓜多尔是最受欢迎的球队。客队获胜的赔率在2.35左右——太低了。我们将采取委内瑞拉+0.5个进球障碍选项在这里-试图增加六连胜投注的时间张贴这个预览!厄瓜多尔队在上一场比赛中与哥伦比亚队0比0战平。访问者在xG - 1.29-0.49中生成的数据要多得多。他们也记录了更多的射门和危险的进攻。不过，厄瓜多尔又尝试了一次进球。厄瓜多尔在这场比赛中很明显，他们的价格在2英镑左右，可以拿到全部三分。从整体上看，厄瓜多尔的表现令人失望。哥伦比亚队的迪亚兹甚至在第61分钟罚丢了一个点球。哥伦比亚队在VAR检查后也因为越位被判两球无效。在此之前，厄瓜多尔以微弱优势击败了玻利维亚

泰德队，客场2-1是非常明显的夺冠热门，在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.70。然而，玻利维亚拥有52%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、角球次数(5比0)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(39比33)。这场比赛很容易就会走向另一个方向。我对厄瓜多尔的表现没有印象。