Stal Mielec VS Gornik Zabrze

Stal Mielec welcome Gornik Zabrze for this Polish Ekstraklasa round 15 battle at Stadion MOSiR Sunday afternoon Beijing time. This is the highest level of Polish football. The Ekstraklasa is of mediocre level by European standards. We can expect a match of rather average level here by the Ekstraklasa standards. Betting-wise this match is an interesting one though. Last season Stal Mielec finished in 11th place. In my in-depth preseason analysis, I expected them to do a little better this season. They have not, in fact, been a disappointment to me – despite currently being only in the 14th place. With one more win they would be in 9th or 10th place. They have 15 points to their account but their number of expected points xPTS is 17.09. They have scored more goals than the visitors – 18 to be precise. The hosts' number of expected goals (xG) is 19.12. In this area of the game they have a small edge over the visitors – with the expected linups. Indeed, Gornik have netted the ball 15 times in Ekstraklasa and their number of xG 16.87. In terms of defensive quality the visitors do have an edge though. Gornik have conceded only 16 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only a little higher. Stal Mielec's defenders have made too many silly mistakes this season and they have allowed 21 goals – their xGA is 19.98.

The visitors have managed to take 19 points but have had a lot of luck on their side in many games. Their number of xPTS is 18.03. I need to mention that Stal Mielec do not have the best fans by Polish standards but the home advantage still need to be given enough emphasis. The visitors are only very marginally better as a team which mean that at home Stal Mielec deserve to be slim favourites. The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets see the visitors as favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to take all three points. We will take the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap option. In their last game Stal Mielec beat Garbarnia 4-2 away from home in a Polish Cup game after extra time. The visitors beat Cracovia on the 6th of this month but the visitors were much worse than usual in this game. They have won many games lately – but often with a lot of luck.

斯托尔·米勒奇VS戈尔尼克·扎布雷兹

北京时间周日下午，米勒茨克将在莫斯科体育场迎来扎布热兹与波兰队的第15轮比赛。这是波兰足球的最高水平。按照欧洲的标准，Ekstraklasa的水平是中等的。按照Ekstraklasa的标准，我们可以期待一场相当平均水平的比赛。从下注的角度来看，这场比赛很有趣。上个赛季，斯托尔·米莱克获得了第11名。在我深入的季前赛分析中，我预计他们本赛季会做得更好一些。事实上，他们并没有让我失望——尽管目前只排在第14位。如果再赢一场，他们将排在第9或第10位。他们的账户上有15点，但他们的预期点数xPTS是17.09。他们比客队进了更多的球——准确地说是18个。东道主的预期进球数(xG)为19.12。在比赛的这方面，他们比客队有一点优势——因为他们的阵容很好。事实上，戈尔尼克在Ekstraklasa已经打进15球，他们的进球数为16.87。在防守质量方面客队确实有优势。戈尔尼克只丢了16个球，他们的预期失球数(xGA)也只是稍微高一点。米列茨的后卫本赛季犯了太多愚蠢的错误，他们丢了21个球，他们的xGA是19.98。

客队已经拿到了19分，但在很多比赛中运气都很好。它们的xPTS数是18.03。我需要提到的是，按照波兰的标准，斯托尔·米列茨并没有最好的球迷，但主场优势仍然需要给予足够的重视。客队作为一支球队只是稍微好一点，这意味着在主场，斯托尔·米列茨应该是微弱的热门。接受最大赌注的最大博彩公司认为客队在这里是最受欢迎的，他们提供了2.35的赔率来获得所有三分。我们将选择东道主的+0.5个进球障碍选项。在波兰杯的最后一场比赛中，加时赛结束后，米列茨队在客场4-2击败了加尔巴尼亚队。客队在本月6号击败了克拉科维亚，但客队在这场比赛中的表现比平时差得多。他们最近赢了很多场比赛，但往往是靠运气。