Very important game for the league table
2021-04-23

Przem

外籍分析师

德甲

04/24 02:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Augsburg have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

I completely don't understand these odds, I don't see Koln as a favoritre here.

It's a big game for both teams. Only 4 rounds left. Augsburg is 7 points above relegation zone, but Hertha played 2 matches less. Koln is in relegation zone, 4 points behind safe place and sure pressure on their shoulders is very heavy. Augsburg coming with big motivation to win it at home and almost secure their place in Bundesliga for next season.

Augsburg have amazing streak against Koln as they didn't lost against them in last 12 matches in a row. Augsburg never lost at home against Koln in Bundesliga. First match of the season between both teams finished with Augsburg 1:0 win and that as fully deserved according to the expected goals scored model (1.42 against 0.62).

Augsburg is in solid form at home, they didn't lost in last 4 home matches in a row and in the process they were able to stop teams from top7 like Gladbach or Leverkusen. Koln is poor away team in Bundesliga standards - only 13 wins in last 66 away leagues matches. Koln lost 7 of last 10 matches, only one win in the process, but that wasn't deserved at all. Koln defensive formation is very unstable - they conceded at least one goal in last 15 matches in a row.. Augsburg scored 6 goals in last 4 home matches, they should score today as well.

Augsburg as well have big advantage in fitness department. Their manager Heiko Herrlich 3 days ago in last round match gave a rest for key players like Hahn, Vargas or Caligiuri. On the other hand 9 players from today's Koln line up played in last 2 rounds and that will be 3rd match for them during 6 days. Freshness for sure is at home side.

在我看来,奥格斯堡在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

我完全不理解目前的指数数据,我不认为科隆是有优势的一方。

这对双方来说都是一场重要的比赛。联赛只剩4轮了。奥格斯堡比降级区高出7分,但是赫塔少打了2场比赛。科隆处于降级区,落后安全位置4分,他们肩上的压力非常大。奥格斯堡带着巨大的动力来到这里,希望在主场得分,并为下赛季的德甲联赛保住一席之地。

奥格斯堡在对科隆的比赛中取得了惊人的连胜,他们在过去的12场比赛中没有输给科隆。在德甲中,奥格斯堡从未在主场输给科隆。本赛季两队之间的第一场比赛以奥格斯堡1:0获胜结束,根据预期得分模型(1.42对0.62),这是完全应得的。

奥格斯堡在主场的状态很好,他们在过去的4场主场比赛中没有输过,在这个过程中他们成功地阻止了格拉德巴赫和勒沃库森这样的7强球队。科隆队在德甲标准上是一支糟糕的客场球队,在过去的66场客场比赛中只赢了13场。科隆在过去的10场比赛中输掉了7场,只有一场胜利。科隆的防守阵型非常不稳定,他们在过去的15场比赛中至少丢了一个球。奥格斯堡在近4场主场比赛中攻入6球,他们今天也应该进球。

奥格斯堡在体能方面也有很大的优势。他们的主教练赫里希3天前在上一轮比赛中让哈恩、瓦格斯和卡利吉乌里等关键球员休息。另一方面,今天科隆队的9名选手参加了最近2轮比赛,这将是他们6天内的第三场比赛。球员会比较疲惫。

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