10月24日热刺 VS 富勒姆比赛分析直播
18：热刺VS富勒姆比赛分析
50：英超联赛，热刺对阵富勒姆
英超
10/24 03:00
已完赛
热刺
1:0
富勒姆
解读理由：
It’s late call from me, but odds on Fulham raised up too high and now I see good value on away side. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.
Fulham is in solid form – in last 8 matches in all competitions they lost only twice: against Chelsea and Manchester City. During that run they played against Tottenham in EFL Cup and match finished with draw 1:1.
In last 6 matches between both teams Tottenham failed to win with more than one goal difference against Fulham in all those 6 matches. For me this line is simply too high.
Tottenham results of course are great, but in last 4 matches they failed to win with more than one goal difference.
If You look on the expected goals scored/conceded model, Tottenham results looks better than really should. They scored 18 goals, but they should 15. They conceded 8, but they should 11. It’s big difference.
Tottenham is too big fav, I see good chances for Fulham to avoid big loss here.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
我很晚才得出结论，但富勒姆的赔率太高了，现在我看到了客场的价值。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。
富勒姆的状态很稳定，在最近的8场比赛中，他们只输了两场:对阵切尔西和曼城。在此期间，他们在联赛杯中对阵托特纳姆热刺，比赛以1:1结束。
在两队最近的6场比赛中，托特纳姆在对阵富勒姆的6场比赛中均未能取得1球以上的胜利。对我来说这条线太高了。
托特纳姆热刺的成绩当然很好，但在过去的4场比赛中，他们以1球以上的差距未能获胜。
如果你看看预期进球数/失球数模型，热刺的结果看起来比实际情况要好。他们进了18个球，但他们应该进15个。他们丢了8球，但他们应该丢11球。差别很大。
热刺太受欢迎了，我认为富勒姆有很好的机会避免大败。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。