Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan welcome visitors from Turin for this Italian Serie A round 9 battle at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) early Monday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a very good match here by the Serie A standards. Both teams are among the biggest and iconic clubs in Italy. Juventus dominated this league in the 2010s winning a big number of championships in a row. They have declined after that and do not have players of (prime) C. Ronaldo’s level in the squad anymore. Even so, they have a very large number of extremely talented and experienced players. Last season Juventus finished only in the 7th place with 62 points, but we should not let this fool us. 10 points were deducted from them by a federation decision. With 72 points they would have finished better than AC Milan. Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me in any way. Yes, Milan have played a good season and top the standings. They have 21 points to their account. However, I want to highlight that their number of expected points (xPTS) is “only” 14.34 points. They have scored 21 goals in this league so far, but their number of expected goals (xG) is significantly lower.

Juventus, on the other hand, currently occupy the 3rd place with 17 points in their pocket. They have not really been lucky or unlucky in terms of xPTS. They have not been quite at their best so far this season but have the quality players to improve as the season progresses! For Milan I do not see potential for improvement. They are in 2nd place, behind Inter Milan, in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best possible starting lineup. Milan are in 4th place in this rating. Taking the home advantage into account Milan deserve to be the favourites here – but only marginally. The bookies, however, offer them odds of only around 2.35 to win.. This is way too low. Both teams are missing a long list of players here. We will go for the Juventus +0.5 goals handicap to extend the hot streak. Both teams have been in fine form, but I was not convinced by Milan’s last game, away from home against Genoa despite the narrow 1-0 win. They only generated 0.76 in xG. Genoa did not impress anyone offensively either though.. Juventus easily beat Torino, a mediocre team, 2-0 at home in their most recent match. Torino generated just 0.65 in xG – Juve’s number was big - 2.45 to be precise. Juventus have lost just one of their latest 12 matches and are high in confidence! This defeat happened on the 23rd of last month away from home against Sassuolo 2-4. Sassuolo are currently in 12th place, It was a pretty weird match where Juventus generated marginally more in xG – 1.21-1.20. Before this Juventus beat Lecce 1-0 at home despite not being even close to their best level. Even so, Juventus recorded 1.67 in xG – Lecce managed just 0.09. When Juve's offense is not at its best, their solid defence can usually make sure they get at least a point. They have allowed just sitä goals in this league so far.

米兰vs尤文图斯

北京时间周一凌晨，意甲第9轮比赛将在圣西罗球场举行，AC米兰将迎来来自都灵的访客。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以意甲标准来看非常精彩的比赛。这两支球队都是意大利最大和最具代表性的俱乐部。尤文图斯在2010年代统治了这个联赛，连续赢得了很多冠军。在那之后，他们就衰落了，球队里再也没有c罗那样水平的球员了。即便如此，他们还是拥有大量极具天赋和经验的球员。上赛季尤文图斯仅以62分排名第7，但我们不应该被这蒙蔽。根据联合会的决定，他们被扣了10分。如果得到72分，他们将比AC米兰更胜一筹。我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从来不会让排名以任何方式欺骗我。是的，米兰这个赛季踢得很好，在积分榜上名列前茅。他们的账户上有21分。然而，我想强调的是，他们的预期点数(xPTS)“只有”14.34分。到目前为止，他们在联赛中打进了21球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)明显较低。

另一方面，尤文图斯目前以17分的积分排名第三。在xPTS方面，他们既不幸运也不不幸。本赛季到目前为止，他们还没有达到最佳状态，但随着赛季的进行，他们有实力的球员可以提高!对于米兰来说，我看不到进步的潜力。在我的实力排名中，他们排在国际米兰之后，排名第二，这反映了两支球队拥有最好的首发阵容。米兰在这一排名中排名第四。考虑到主场的优势，米兰理应成为最受欢迎的球队——但只是微弱的优势。然而，博彩公司给他们的赔率只有2.35左右。这太低了。两支球队都缺了一长串球员。我们将以尤文+0.5个进球的劣势来延续连胜。两支球队的状态都很好，但我对米兰上一场客场对阵热那亚的比赛不太满意，尽管米兰以1-0险胜热那亚。他们在xG中只生成了0.76。热那亚在进攻端也没有给任何人留下深刻印象。在最近的一场比赛中，尤文图斯主场以2比0轻松击败了一支平庸的球队都灵。都灵在比赛中只进了0.65球——尤文的数字很大——准确地说是2.45。尤文图斯在最近的12场比赛中只输了一场，而且信心十足!这场失利发生在上个月23日客场2-4输给萨索洛。萨索洛目前排在第12位，这是一场非常奇怪的比赛，尤文图斯的进球略高——1.21-1.20。在此之前，尤文图斯在主场1-0击败了莱切，尽管他们甚至没有达到最好的水平。尽管如此，尤文图斯在xG的得分是1.67，而莱切只有0.09。当尤文的进攻不是最好的时候，他们坚实的防守通常可以确保他们至少得到一分。到目前为止，他们在联赛中只丢了sitä球。