In my opinion Werder have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very smart option to play.

In last 15 matches between both teams Borussia failed to win with more than one goal difference 12 times!

Borussia is on 4th place, 2 points behind the leaders from Leverkusen, but their results looks better than really should. Borussia scored 16 goals in 7 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 14. They conceded 8 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 9.4. I don’t trust for Borussia defensive formation – they failed to keep clean sheet in 5 of last 6 league matches. Right defender Ryerson played twice 90 minutes for Norway in last 7 days, central defender Hummels traveled to USA with Germany, same as key striker Fullkrug and key winger Brandt. For sure freshness is not on Borussia side.

Werder failed to score in two opening matches against teams from top6 – Bayern and Freiburg. Since then Werder scored 2.4 goals per game in last 5 rounds. They have all required tools to score today. Only one player played 90 minutes in last 7 days for national team – central defender Veljkovic, but he played really good so for sure he coming here full of confidence.

H2H is on our side. Werder is more prepared for this game and team is fresh. They should be able to score and that should be enough to avoid big loss against Borussia today. +1.5 AH is great bet!

在我看来，云达在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是非常明智的选择。

在两队最近的15场比赛中，俄罗斯队有12次以1球以上的差距未能取胜!

俄罗斯目前排名第四，落后领头羊勒沃库森2分，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。俄罗斯在7场比赛中打进16球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该打进14球。他们丢了8个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢9.4个球。我不相信俄罗斯队的防守阵型——他们在过去的6场联赛中有5场没有失球。在过去的7天里，右后卫瑞尔森代表挪威队打了两次90分钟的比赛，中后卫胡梅尔斯与主力前锋富勒克鲁格和主力边锋勃兰特一起随德国队前往美国。毫无疑问，新鲜感并不在俄罗斯这边。

云达在两场首场比赛中都没能进球，对手是前6名的拜仁和弗莱堡。从那以后，云达在最近5轮比赛中场均打进2.4球。他们今天都需要工具来得分。在过去的7天里，只有一名球员在国家队打满了90分钟，那就是中卫维利科维奇，但他踢得非常好，所以他肯定会充满信心地来到这里。

H2H在我们这边。云达为这场比赛做了更多的准备，球队充满了活力。他们应该能够进球，这应该足以避免今天对俄罗斯的大损失。+1.5 AH是一个很棒的赌注!