Iceland VS Luxembourg

Iceland welcome Luxembourg for this EURO Qualification Group J round 7 battle at Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavík early Saturday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit- hungry bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by international standards here. Portugal top the group with 18 points and will most probably win it. The top-2 teams qualify for the EURO 2024 in Germany next summer. The fight for 2nd place is fierce. Slovakia have taken 13 points so far and Luxembourg have 10 points to their account. Luxembourg have never qualified for EURO or the World Cup and must be massively motivated here. The level of football in this small country has improved significantly in the past five or so years. According to my sources they also have an excellent team spirit. In football the situation is opposite. Indeed, Icelandic football has been in steep decline since 2016 when they shocked the football world even beating England 2-1 in the EURO 2016! A few years ago there were some serious disagreements between the national team and the fans and the situation is still not quite back to normal.. This hurts Iceland’s chances as they are a limited team and would need the whole (small) country behind them. I do not expect the atmosphere at the stadium to be that great here. The home advantage is smaller than average here. They have just six points in their pocket and their chances of qualifying for EURO 2024 is extremely small. I'm not quite sure if the players fully believe it themselves..

By pure class Iceland are slightly the better team but taking the motivation factor and Burnley's Johann Berg Gudmundsson absence Iceland are much smaller favourites then the betting market estimates. The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookies who offer the largest stake limits see Iceland as clear favourites – offering them odds of around 1.80-1.85 of sending the visitors home empty-handed. I see Luxembourg having a 58% chance of taking at least a point and the Iceland +0.5 goals handicap option is definitely the smart bet here to increase the awesome winning streak of six bets! The teams last locked horns on the 9th of September and Luxembourg took a fine 3-1 win! They fully deserved the three points as they recorded many more goal attempts (20-15) and shots on goal. Moreover, they generated 2.35 in xG – Iceland managed just 0.55. The visitors’ H. Magnusson was sent off in the 73rd minute though. However, the score was 2-0 already at that point. In their most recent game, Iceland beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 at home but did not deserve the win! The visitors were clearly the better team with 55% ball possession. They recorded many more goal attempts (16-7), shots on goal (5-2), shots off target (6-2), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks - 66-30. Moreover, they generated 2.23 in expected goals (xG) – Iceland managed 0.89. Before this Iceland lost three games in a row. Luxembourg, on the other hand, beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 2-0 in June away from home after a fine performance. Yes, Luxembourg suffered a stunning 0-9 loss away from home in their latest game. Portugal were dominant in this game but generated “only” 3.12 in xG – the visitors recorded 0.34. The score is misleading and surely affects the odds here too much. This match got a lot of media attention.. Let's not forget Portugal are a top-10 team in the world and were priced around 1.07-1.09 to win on the betting market. Before this heavy defeat Luxembourg took three impressive wins in a row scoring a total of seven goals!

冰岛VS卢森堡

北京时间周六凌晨，冰岛将在Reykjavík球场迎接卢森堡参加欧洲杯预选赛J组第7轮比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以国际标准衡量的中等水平的比赛。葡萄牙队以18分排名小组第一，很有可能获胜。排名前两名的球队有资格参加明年夏天在德国举行的2024年欧洲杯。争夺第二名的竞争非常激烈。斯洛伐克目前已积13分，卢森堡积10分。卢森堡从未获得过欧洲杯或世界杯的参赛资格，他们必须在这里获得巨大的动力。在过去五年左右的时间里，这个小国的足球水平有了显著提高。据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神。在足球界，情况正好相反。事实上，自2016年冰岛足球在2016年欧洲杯上以2比1击败英格兰震惊足球界以来，冰岛足球一直在急剧下滑!几年前，国家队和球迷之间发生了一些严重的分歧，现在情况还没有完全恢复正常。这伤害了冰岛的机会，因为他们是一支有限的球队，需要整个(小)国家的支持。我没想到球场的气氛会这么好。主场优势小于平均水平。他们目前只拿到6分，晋级2024年欧洲杯的机会微乎其微。我不太确定球员们自己是否完全相信……

从纯粹的级别来看，冰岛队稍微好一点，但考虑到动力因素和伯恩利的约翰·伯格·古德蒙森的缺席，冰岛队的夺冠热门比博彩市场估计的要小得多。最大的、有时相对聪明的博彩公司开出了最大的赌注限制，他们认为冰岛显然是最受欢迎的球队——他们开出了1.80-1.85的赔率，让游客空手而归。我看到卢森堡有58%的机会至少得到一分，冰岛+0.5个进球障碍选项绝对是明智的选择，可以增加六次下注的惊人连胜!两队上一次交锋是在9月9日，卢森堡以3:1大胜!他们的进球次数(20胜15负)和射门次数更多，完全配得上这三分。此外，他们在上届世界杯上的得分为2.35，冰岛仅为0.55。然而客队的马格努森在第73分钟被罚下。然而，那时比分已经是2比0了。在他们最近的一场比赛中，冰岛主场1-0击败波黑，但他们不应该获胜!客队在55%的控球率下显然更胜一筹。他们的进球次数(16胜7负)、射正(5胜2负)、射偏(6胜2负)、角球、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(66胜30负)更多。此外，他们的预期进球(xG)为2.23，冰岛为0.89。在此之前，冰岛连输三场。另一方面，卢森堡在6月的客场2-0击败波黑，表现出色。是的，卢森堡在最近的一场比赛中以0比9惨败。葡萄牙队在这场比赛中占据统治地位，但在xG中“只有”3.12，而客队的得分是0.34。这个分数具有误导性，而且肯定会对赔率造成太大影响。这场比赛引起了媒体的广泛关注。别忘了葡萄牙是世界排名前十的球队，在博彩市场上的赔率在1.07-1.09之间。在这场惨败之前，卢森堡取得了令人印象深刻的三连胜，总共进了7个球!