Lazio VS Atalanta

Lazio host Atalanta for this Italian Serie A round 8 clash at Stadio Olimpico Sunday evening Beijing time. We can expect a match of clearly better than average level here between these two good teams. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here to hopefully win once again betting on this league. Most of my fans are probably aware of the fact by now that I never let the standings fool me! Indeed, before going trough both teams and their performances this season. I want to highlight that last season Lazio finished in second place with 74 points to their account. No, I do not expect the, to be this strong this season. Even so, as this is only the 8th round of the season, we do have to give last season’s results some emphasis! Atalanta, on the other hand, ended up in 5th place – 10 points behind Lazio. Atalanta have started the season pretty well and have taken 13 points. They have been only moderately lucky this season so far. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 12.34. They have scored only 11 goals in the Serie A so far which is not very impressive. Indeed, their success has mainly based on very strong defense. They have really surprised me – and probably many football fans and professional bettors as well. They have conceded just five goals. They have been only slightly lucky in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) which is 6.34. However, many of their defenders and midfielders have played above their normal level. They faced Sporting CP, a Portuguese team, in their most recent game winning 2-1 away from home. This match was played on Thursday Italy time. This means that they have only two full days to recover and prepare themselves for this big match.. It was a balanced match that could have gone either way. Atalanta generated 2.34 in expected goals (xG) – the hosts managed 2.31. The ball possession was 50% and Sporting CP recorded more goal attempts - 15-13.

Lazio played on Wednesday so there is a clear edge in terms of recovery time here. They beat Celtic away from home in a Champions League match. They were not at their best though but still generated a little more in xG – 1.12-0.94. Before the game Scotland Lazio faced Milan, one of the favorites to win the league, away from home as heavy underdogs losing 0-2. Milan played a very strong match and deserved to win after generating 1.78 in xG – Lazio managed 0.67. Before this they easily beat Torino, a dangerous tea, 2-0 at home. Lazio defended incredibly well - Torino recorded just 0.22 in xG. In the opening round of the UEFA Champions League group stage they played a 1-1 draw at home against Atletico Madrid and the game was balanced. Let’s not forget that Atletico Madrid are a very strong team, much better than last season. In the Serie A Lazio have taken just seven points but their number of xPTS is higher. They have loud and demanding home fans and taking this factor, the big potential and the fact that they have no absences I see them as narrow favorites. The bookies disagree and see Atalanta as favorites – priced around 2.55 to win. Let’s take advantage of this mistake and go with the Lazio +0.5 goals handicap option.

拉齐奥VS亚特兰大

北京时间周日晚，拉齐奥主场迎战亚特兰大，将在奥林匹克球场进行意甲第8轮比赛。我们可以期待这两支强队之间的比赛明显高于平均水平。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会，希望能再次赢得对这个联赛的投注。我的大多数粉丝现在可能已经意识到，我从不让排名欺骗我!事实上，在回顾这两支球队和他们本赛季的表现之前。我想强调的是，上赛季拉齐奥以74分排名第二。不，我没有预料到这个赛季会如此强大。尽管如此，由于这只是本赛季的第8轮，我们确实必须给上赛季的结果一些强调!另一方面，亚特兰大在积分榜上排名第五，落后拉齐奥10分。亚特兰大本赛季开局不错，拿到了13分。到目前为止，他们本赛季的运气还算不错。实际上，它们的期望值(xPTS)是12.34。到目前为止，他们在意甲联赛中只进了11个球，这并不令人印象深刻。事实上，他们的成功主要是基于非常强大的防御。他们真的让我感到惊讶，可能也让许多球迷和职业投注者感到惊讶。他们只丢了5个球。他们只是在预期失球(xGA)方面略显幸运，为6.34。然而，他们的许多后卫和中场球员的表现都超出了他们的正常水平。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场2-1获胜，对手是葡萄牙的CP竞技队。这场比赛在意大利时间周四进行。这意味着他们只有整整两天的时间来恢复，为这场大赛做准备。这是一场势均力敌的比赛。亚特兰大预期进球数为2.34个，东道主为2.31个。控球率为50%，里斯本竞技的进球次数也更多，15-13。

拉齐奥在周三比赛，所以在恢复时间方面有明显的优势。他们在一场欧冠比赛中客场击败了凯尔特人队。虽然他们没有达到最佳状态，但在xG - 1.12-0.94中仍然产生了更多。在比赛开始前，苏格兰拉齐奥在客场对阵联赛夺冠热门之一的米兰，但以0比2输掉了比赛。米兰踢了一场非常强劲的比赛，他们理应赢得比赛，他们在比赛中创造了1.78个进球，而拉齐奥则创造了0.67个进球。在此之前，他们在主场以2-0轻松击败了劲旅都灵。拉齐奥的防守令人难以置信的好，都灵在xG的得分只有0.22。在欧冠小组赛的首轮比赛中，他们在主场1-1战平马德里竞技，双方势均力敌。我们不要忘记马竞是一支非常强大的球队，比上赛季强得多。在意甲，拉齐奥只拿到了7分，但是他们的积分更高。他们的主场球迷呼声很高，要求很高，考虑到这个因素，他们的潜力很大，而且他们没有缺阵的情况，我认为他们的夺冠希望不大。博彩公司不同意这一观点，他们认为亚特兰大是夺冠热门——胜率在2.55左右。让我们利用这个错误，选择拉齐奥+0.5个进球障碍。