A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-10-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

德甲

10/08 00:30

已完赛

不来梅
1:0
霍芬海姆
解读理由:

Werder Bremen VS TSG Hoffenheim


Werder Bremen welcome Hoffenheim for this German Bundesliga round 7 battle at Weserstadion early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world after the English premier League and the Spanish La Liga. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by this league’s standards. Most of my fans are probably aware by know of the fact that I never let the standings fool me. before going through this season, I want to mention that last season both teams took 36 points. It is important to keep in mind that Hoffenheim are traditionally a poor team on the road. Indeed, last season they lost 10 of the 17 away games in this league - and won just three! They are often way too defensive away from home which often leads to too much pressure on their defense – especially late into the second half when fatigue often becomes an issue. Hoffenheim currently occupy the 7th place in the standings and have 12 points to their account. This is very misleading! Indeed, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved only 8.12 points! Their score difference is 13:9 but have bene lucky both in terms of goals scored and goals conceded. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) is 11.02 and number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 13.03.

In their most recent game, the hosts suffered a 1-3 defeat at home in the hands of Dortmund but did not play badly as a whole. Even so, their defense looked shaky. Before this they beat Union Berlin, currently in 12th place, 2-0 away from home. However, the final score is misleading. Union Berlin had 55% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (22-11), shots on target, shots of goal (16-7), corner kicks (11-6) total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 66-34. Werder Bremen have six points to their account but their number of xPTS is 8.01. They were weirdly bad at home last season but do have loud fans and this factor must be given enough emphasis here. By pure class the visitors are marginally better but at home Bremen deserve to be the favorites. The biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookies with the biggest stake limits see this match as a coin toss – offering both teams odds of around 2.60 to win at the time of writing this preview Saturday afternoon Beijing time. We will go with the Bremen +0.5 goals handicap option. They have won three of their most recent matches at Weserstadion. In their latest game they lost to Darmstadt 2-4 away from home. No, it was not a great performance but could easily have gone either way. The hosts recorded only a little more in xG – 2.03-1.98. Bremen recorded more shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also had 56% ball possession.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

云达不莱梅VS霍芬海姆


北京时间周日凌晨,云达不莱梅将在威西体育场迎来与霍芬海姆的德甲第7轮比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛,仅次于英超和西甲。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的平庸水平的比赛。我的大多数粉丝可能都知道,我从不让排名欺骗我。在结束这个赛季之前,我想提一下,上赛季两支球队都得到了36分。重要的是要记住,霍芬海姆历来是一支在客场表现不佳的球队。事实上,上赛季他们在联赛的17场客场比赛中输掉了10场,只赢了3场!他们在客场的防守往往太强,这往往会给他们的防守带来太大的压力——尤其是在下半场后期,疲劳常常成为一个问题。霍芬海姆目前在积分榜上排名第七,积分榜上有12分。这是非常误导的!事实上,按照预期积分(xPTS),他们只应该得到8.12分!他们的比分差距是13:9,但在进球数和失球数方面都很幸运。实际上,他们的预期进球数(xG)是11.02,预期进球数(xGA)是13.03。

在最近的一场比赛中,主队主场1-3不敌多特蒙德,但整体表现还不错。即便如此,他们的防守看起来还是摇摇欲坠。在此之前,他们击败了目前排名第12位的柏林联盟,客场2-0。然而,最终的分数是误导性的。柏林联盟拥有55%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数(22-11)、射正次数、射正次数(16-7)、角球次数(11-6)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数以及特别是危险进攻次数(66-34)。云达不莱梅目前有6分,但他们的积分是8.01分。上赛季他们在主场的表现很糟糕,但他们的球迷很吵,这个因素在这里必须得到足够的重视。从纯粹的水平来看,客队稍好一些,但在主场,不莱梅理应成为夺冠热门。在北京时间周六下午撰写这篇预告时,最大的、有时甚至相当精明的博彩公司将这场比赛视为一场掷硬币的比赛,两支球队的胜率都在2.60左右。我们会选择不莱梅+0.5个进球障碍的选项。他们最近在韦斯特球场赢了三场比赛。在最近一场比赛中,他们客场2-4不敌达姆施塔特。不,这不是一场伟大的表演,但很容易就会被淘汰。在xG - 2.03-1.98中,主机的记录只多了一点。不来梅有更多的射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻。他们也有56%的控球率。

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