FC Krasnodar VS FK Rostov

Krasnodar host Rostov for this Russian Premier League round 11 clash at Krasnodar Stadium early Sunday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious football bettors can expect a match of good level between these two relatively strong teams. Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity! There is no denying the fact that Krasnodar have started the season well. Last season they finished in 6th place with 48 points to their account. Rostov, on the other hand, ended up in 4th place with 53 points in their pocket. Not that much has, after all, changed from last season. Krasnodar now top the standings with 24 points. However, their number of expected points is significantly lower – 19.11 to be precise. They have scored 16 goals which is not a very high number. Rostov have netted the ball 15 times. Krasnodar have allowed amazingly few goals in this league– just three! This is probably one of the main reasons behind them being overvalued on the betting market here. Yes, their defense has a good structure and silly individual mistakes have been almost non-existent but we should still keep in mind that their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 8.98! I see Rostov having an excellent chance of scoring a goal - perhaps even more than one here. Yes, taking the great form and home advantage into account the hosts deserve to be the favorites but the odds offered on the betting market on them to win – around 1.60 – are massively too low! I see them having an only 51% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed. We will take the +1.5 handicap with a clearly over 70% chance of winning!

Rostov have not lost any of their last five games in this league by a margin of more than one goal. In their latest match Krasnodar defeated Rubin Kazan 2-0 away from home but this match could have gone either way. The ball possession was almost 50-50%. Kazan recorded one more shot on goal and more dangerous attacks. The visitors, on the other hand, had one more goal attempt. Rostov have unarguably been a disappointment this season. I have, as a result, lowered their power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best starting eleven. the bookies seem to have reacted much more strongly. They are only in the 13th place but would have deserved 4.12 points more in terms of xPTS than the actual number (10). They have potential to improve in all areas of the game. Their midfielders should be more active in defending as they have allowed way too many goals so far – 21 to be precise. In their latest game they would have deserved a win at home over Ural but it was a 2-2 draw. Rostov had many more goal attempts (20-9), shots on target, shot off goal, corner kicks, as well as dangerous attacks. They also had 62% ball possession.

克拉斯诺达尔VS罗斯托夫

北京时间周日凌晨，俄罗斯超级联赛第11轮将在克拉斯诺达尔球场迎战罗斯托夫。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是中等的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待这两支相对强大的球队之间的一场好比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个赚钱的赌博机会!不可否认，克拉斯诺达尔本赛季开局不错。上赛季他们以48分排名第6。另一方面，罗斯托夫以53分的成绩排名第四。毕竟，与上个赛季相比，并没有太大的变化。克拉斯诺达尔目前以24分排名第一。然而，他们的期望值要低得多，准确地说是19.11。他们进了16个球，这不是一个很高的数字。罗斯托夫已经15次破门。克拉斯诺达尔在联赛中丢的球少得惊人——只有3个!这可能是他们在这里的博彩市场被高估的主要原因之一。是的，他们的防守结构很好，而且几乎不存在愚蠢的个人失误，但我们仍然应该记住，他们的预期失球数(xGA)是8.98!我认为罗斯托夫有一个很好的进球机会，也许在这里不止一个。是的，考虑到良好的状态和主场优势，东道主应该是最受欢迎的，但博彩市场上对他们获胜的赔率-大约1.60 -太低了!我认为他们只有51%的机会让访客空手而归。我们将采取+1.5的差点，显然有超过70%的获胜机会!

罗斯托夫在最近的五场联赛中没有输过一球以上的比赛。在最近的一场比赛中，克拉斯诺达尔客场2-0击败喀山鲁宾队，但这场比赛可能会有两种结果。控球率几乎是50%。喀山队记录了更多的射门和更危险的进攻。另一方面，客队还有一次进球的机会。毫无疑问，罗斯托夫这个赛季令人失望。因此，我降低了他们的能量评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，拥有最好的首发11人。博彩公司的反应似乎更强烈。虽然目前只排在第13位，但如果按积分计算，他们应该比实际得分(10分)多出4.12分。他们在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力。他们的中场应该更积极地防守，因为到目前为止他们已经丢了太多的球——准确地说是21个。在最近的一场比赛中，他们本应该在主场战胜乌拉尔，但结果是2比2战平。罗斯托夫有更多的进球尝试(20胜9负)、射正、射偏、角球以及危险的进攻。他们也有62%的控球率。