An interesting game in Greece! $$$
2023-10-06

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

10/06 03:00

已完赛

塞萨洛
1:0
法兰克福
解读理由:

PAOK Saloniki VS Eintracht Frankfurt


PAOK host Eintracht Frankfurt for this UEFA Europa Conference League Group G round 2 battle Toumba Stadium in Thessaloniki early Friday morning Beijing time. The hosts are a Greek team - the visitors come from Germany. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a very good-high and entertaining game here by this league’s standards. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. The home advantage is almost always substantial in international club competitions and here it is even much bigger than on average. Indeed, PAOK fans are incredibly enthusiastic – one could even say crazy. I would say their fans are among the top-10 in Europe. Eintracht Frankfurt are also a strong team at home but their level often drops a lot away from home. Indeed, they have not won any of their latest games on the road. Furthermore, they have taken a win only twice in their latest 11 away games. These wins have come against very small teams in the German DFB Pokal. PAOK, on the other hand, have won five of their latest six games in front of their fans. They have last lost a game at Toumba Stadium in May – against one of the biggest teams in Greece, Olympiacos. Moreover, they have suffered a defeat in only one of their most recent 14 games! They have looked confident on the pitch lately and according to my sources also have a good team spirit. Their coach is also a good one. By pure class the Germans are surely the better team but difference is most certainly much smaller than many football bettors would think. Taking this factor into account PAOK +0.5 is the obvious smart bet here. Indeed, the biggest, sometimes relatively sharp bookmakers who accept the biggest bets from customers see this match as more or less coin toss – without an actual favorite – at least at the time of writing this preview Thursday afternoon Beijing time. In my expert opinion the hosts deserve to be the favorites!

PAOK beat HJK Helsinki in the opening round 3-2 away from home and I was watching the game live at Bolt Arena. The first half was pretty cautious and balanced football and HJK even took a 1-o lead trough Bande’s header from a corner kick. The pitch at the arena is (fast) artificial turf and was made as wet as possible to make it hard for PAOK to play the way they want to play. This worked in the first half but in the second half PAOK dominated the events on the pitch and could easily have won by a margin of more than one goal. HJK are a small team by European standards but still beat Molde, the champions of Norway as well as Farul Constanta (champions of Romania) earlier this season at home - without concedeing a goal. PAOK recorded a whopping 20 goal attempts and also had many more shots on goal, off target as well as attacks and dangerous attacks (66-30). They generated 2.21 in expected goal – HJK managed 0.97. In their most recent game they faced Panathinaikos away from home as clear underdogs according to the bookies and took a 2-2 draw. Panathinaikos, on the biggest teams in Greece, did have 63% ball possession but generated only marginally more in xG – 1.43-1.39 to be precise. Frankfurt were a little disappointing in the opening round despite controlling the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes of play at home against a Scottish team, Aberdeen. The hosts had had 70% ball possession but won only 2-1. It was easy to see that not all Frankfurt players were giving their 100% against a lowly opposition. Avoiding injuries and fatigue was clearly important in this game and simply winning seemed to be enough.. Last Saturday they lost to Wolfsburg 0-2 away from home and were disappointing. the hosts generated a stunning 3.98 in xG – Frankfurt recorded 1.22.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

萨洛尼卡VS法兰克福


北京时间周五凌晨,欧联杯G组第2轮比赛的东道主法兰克福将在塞萨洛尼基的通巴球场进行。东道主是希腊队,客队来自德国。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场非常好的、高水平的、有趣的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。在国际俱乐部比赛中,主场优势几乎总是很大的,在这里甚至比平均水平要大得多。的确,PAOK的粉丝非常热情,甚至可以说是疯狂。我想说他们的球迷在欧洲排名前十。法兰克福在主场也是一支强队,但他们的水平在客场经常下降很多。事实上,他们最近一场客场比赛都没赢过。此外,他们在最近的11场客场比赛中只取得了2场胜利。这些胜利都是在德国联邦足球联赛对阵非常小的球队时取得的。另一方面,PAOK在最近的6场比赛中在球迷面前赢了5场。他们上一次在通巴球场输球是在5月份,对手是希腊最大的球队之一奥林匹亚科斯队。此外,他们在最近的14场比赛中只输了一场!他们最近在球场上看起来很自信,根据我的消息来源,他们也有很好的团队精神。他们的教练也是个好教练。从纯粹的级别来看,德国队肯定是更好的球队,但差距肯定比许多足球投注者想象的要小得多。考虑到这个因素,PAOK +0.5显然是明智的选择。事实上,那些接受客户最大赌注的最大、有时相对敏锐的博彩公司,至少在北京时间周四下午撰写这篇预告时,将这场比赛或多或少地视为掷硬币——没有真正的赢家。在我的专家看来,主持人应该是最受欢迎的!

在揭幕战中,PAOK客场3-2击败赫尔辛基HJK,当时我正在博尔特体育馆观看比赛直播。上半场踢得相当谨慎和平衡,hkk甚至通过班德的角球头球以1比0领先。球馆的球场是(快速)人造草皮,并且尽可能地潮湿,使PAOK很难按照他们想要的方式比赛。这在上半场发挥了作用,但在下半场,PAOK在场上占据了主导地位,本可以轻松地以不止一个进球的优势获胜。按照欧洲的标准,HJK是一支小球队,但仍然在本赛季早些时候在主场击败了挪威冠军莫尔德和罗马尼亚冠军康斯坦塔,而且没有失球。PAOK的进球次数高达20次,并且有更多的射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻(66胜30负)。他们打进了2.21个预期进球,而jk打进了0.97个。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场面对帕纳辛纳科斯,根据博彩公司的说法,他们显然处于劣势,并以2比2打平。帕纳辛奈科斯在希腊豪门球队的控球率确实达到了63%,但在xG(1.43-1.39)上的控球率只略微高了一点。尽管在主场对阵苏格兰球队阿伯丁的比赛中,法兰克福在90分钟的大部分时间里都控制着场上的局势,但他们在首轮比赛中表现得有点令人失望。主队拥有70%的控球率,但只以2比1取胜。很容易看出,并不是所有的法兰克福球员都在面对一个不起眼的对手时付出了100%的努力。在这场比赛中,避免伤病和疲劳显然是很重要的,简单的获胜似乎就足够了。上周六,他们客场0-2不敌沃尔夫斯堡,表现令人失望。东道主在本届奥运会上取得了惊人的3.98分,法兰克福则是1.22分。

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