AZ Alkmaar VS Legia Warszawa

AZ Alkmaar host Legia for this UEFA Europa Conference League Group E round 2 battle at AFAS Stadion in Alkmaar early Friday morning Beijing time. The hosts are a Dutch team - the visitors come from Poland. We can expect a pretty good-level and entertaining game here by this league’s standards. The hosts, typically for a Dutch team, play aggressive, offensive football – especially at home. They have very loud and demanding fans. The home advantage is almost always substantial in international club competitions and here it is even bigger than on average. Indeed, Polish teams rarely do well away from home – especially against much better teams. The hosts have a clear advantage over Legia in all areas of the game. The biggest difference between the teams is in offensive quality. The hosts have a big number of fast and creative offensive players! I would also like to highlight that the Dutch Eredivisie is of much higher level as a whole than the Polish Ekstraklasa, the level of which has been in decline during the past five or so years..

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com , the hosts are very clearly the bigger team here. Their squad has an estimated market value of around 180 million euros. This number is definitely too low. I would say that 100-105 million would be a more correct number. The visitors’ players have a market value of around 37 million which is a bit too high. The hosts are big favorites here and the odds of around 1.50-1.53 are too high. I would not be at all surprised to see the hosts winning by a margin of more than two goals. The fans wanting to go for bigger odds can take the -1.5 goals handicap option with a 48% chance of winning. Unlike the betting market I will not be fooled by the round 1 results. AZ Alkmaar suffered a 3-4 loss in Mostar against Zrinjski after a very entertaining and somewhat weird game. Indeed, the visitors cruised to a 0-3 lead in the first half and were controlling the events at Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom. It is hard to say what changed at halftime as the hosts scored four goals despite generating only 0.79 in expected goals (xG). AZ Alkmaar’s number was 1.87. They also had 66% ball possession and they also recorded many more goal attempts (14-8), shots on and off goal, corner kicks (9-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and especially dangerous attacks – 89-12! The loss puts them in a difficult situation and I expect them to be irritated and very hungry for the win here. In their most recent match, they crushed Sittard 4-0 at home. Legia beat Aston Villa 3-2 in the opening round but had a lot of luck on their side. The visitors’ lineup was also far from optimal in this game. Aston Villa had 57% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts (19-9), shots on and off goal as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. In their latest match Legia were disappointing losing to Jagiellonia 0-2 away from home as favorites according to the bookies. They recorded just one shot on target and lacked speed and creativity offensively.

阿尔克马尔VS华沙莱吉亚

北京时间周五凌晨，欧联杯E组第2轮比赛将在阿尔克马尔AFAS体育场举行，阿兹阿尔克马尔主场迎战莱吉亚。东道主是荷兰队，客队来自波兰。按照这个联盟的标准，我们可以期待一场相当高水平和有趣的比赛。东道主通常是荷兰队，踢的是进攻性的足球，尤其是在主场。他们有非常吵闹和苛刻的粉丝。在国际俱乐部比赛中，主场优势几乎总是很大的，在这里甚至比平均水平更大。事实上，波兰队很少能在客场取得好成绩——尤其是对阵比他们强得多的球队。东道主在比赛的各个方面都比莱吉亚有明显的优势。两队之间最大的区别在于进攻质量。主队有很多速度快、有创造力的进攻球员!我还想强调的是，荷兰联赛的整体水平比波兰联赛高得多，波兰联赛的水平在过去五年左右的时间里一直在下降。

根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，东道主显然是这里更大的球队。据估计，这支球队的市值约为1.8亿欧元。这个数字肯定太低了。我认为1亿到1.05亿是更准确的数字。客队球员的市场价值约为3700万英镑，这有点太高了。东道主是这里的大热门，1.50-1.53的赔率太高了。如果看到东道主以两球以上的优势获胜，我一点也不会感到惊讶。想要获得更大赔率的球迷可以选择胜率为48%的-1.5个进球障碍选项。不像博彩市场，我不会被第一轮的结果所愚弄。阿尔克马尔在莫斯塔尔以3-4输给兹林斯基，这是一场非常有趣但有点奇怪的比赛。事实上，客队在上半场以0-3领先，并控制着比耶林姆布里耶戈姆球场的局势。上半场，韩国队的预期进球数(xG)只有0.79，但却打进了4球，因此很难说发生了什么变化。阿尔克马尔的数字是1.87。他们也有66%的控球率，他们也记录了更多的进球尝试(14胜8负)，射门和射门，角球(9胜1负)，总传球，完成传球，进攻，尤其是危险进攻——89胜12负!输球让他们陷入了困境，我希望他们会被激怒，并且非常渴望在这里取胜。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以4比0大胜西德塔尔。莱吉亚在首轮比赛中3-2击败阿斯顿维拉，但运气很好。客队的阵容在这场比赛中也远没有达到最佳状态。阿斯顿维拉有57%的控球率，并且有更多的进球尝试(19-9)，射门和射门，以及进攻和危险进攻。在最近的一场比赛中，莱吉亚在客场0-2输给了雅盖隆尼亚，这让他们很失望。他们只有一次射正，而且在进攻端缺乏速度和创造力。