10月06日弗赖堡 VS 西汉姆联比赛分析直播
37：欧联杯：西汉姆客胜可期？
欧罗巴
10/06 00:45
已完赛
弗赖堡
1:0
西汉姆联
解读理由：
In my opinion Freiburg should be bigger favorite in this game. +0 AH looks like very safe option to play because I don't see away win here.
I have 3 big reasons to play this bet.
1. Freiburg at home is really excellent team. In last 3 consecutive Bundesliga seasons Freiburg went unbeaten at least in 13 of 17 home league matches. In current season already 2 wins in 3 home matches. On the other hand West Ham in previous season failed to win in 16 of 19 Premier League matches on the road.
2. Freiburg stability and consistency at the back should make big difference. Freiburg kept clean sheet in 3 of 6 Bundesliga matches so far (best result in whole league). They coming here full of confidence after two consecutive clean sheets. On the other hand West Ham is unstable at the back, already 10 goals conceded in 7 league matches. According to the expected goals conceded model that should look even worse - they should concede 14.5 (!!!) and only 3 teams in whole league with worse number in that department.
3. It's huge and prestigious game for Freiburg. All tickets are sold out. Team have big motivation to win front of home crowd and we will see on the pitch the strongest possible line up. On the other hand West Ham have huge game at home against Newcastle at Saturday and we should see rotation in squad. For sure we will see second-choice defender Kehrer. I expect more players like him and that should have very bad impact on Hammers performance today.
On those circumstances Freiburg is really smart choice. I expect dropping odds on home side prior to the kick off.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
在我看来，弗赖堡在这场比赛中应该更受欢迎。+0 AH看起来是一个非常安全的选择，因为我没有看到客场赢。
我赌这个有三个理由。
1. 弗赖堡在主场是一支非常优秀的球队。在过去的3个赛季中，弗赖堡在17场主场比赛中至少有13场保持不败。本赛季已经在3场主场比赛中取得2胜。另一方面，西汉姆在上个赛季19场英超客场比赛中有16场未能获胜。
2. 弗赖堡在后防线上的稳定和稳定应该会带来很大的不同。迄今为止，弗赖堡在德甲6场比赛中有3场没有失球(这是整个联赛最好的成绩)。在连续两场零封之后，他们充满信心地来到这里。另一方面，西汉姆在后防线上不稳定，已经在7场联赛中丢了10球。根据预期失球模型，他们应该丢14.5个球(!!)，全联盟只有3支球队丢得更少。
3.对于弗赖堡来说，这是一场盛大而有声望的比赛。所有的票都卖完了。球队有很大的动力在主场赢得比赛，我们将在球场上看到最强的阵容。另一方面，西汉姆将在周六主场迎战纽卡斯尔，我们应该看到阵容的轮换。可以肯定的是，我们会看到第二后卫凯尔。我希望有更多的球员像他一样，这对铁锤今天的表现会有很大的影响。
在这种情况下，弗赖堡是一个明智的选择。我预计在开球前主场的赔率会下降。
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作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论，意见，倾向等都只是作者本人的观点，和平台，组织网站等第三方没有关系。