FC Köln VS VfB Stuttgart

FC Köln host Stuttgart for this German Bundesliga round 6 battle at RheinEnergieStadion in Cologne late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league on the planet after the English Premier League and the Spanish LaLiga. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of pretty average level by the Bundesliga standards between these two teams. The hosts currently occupy the 16th place in the standings in this league with a total of 18 clubs. They have had a slow start to the season – there is no denying that. Köln have just one point to their account but have been massively unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Subsequently I have lowered their power rating - that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting lineup – from my in-depth preseason analysis. The bookmakers, on the other hand, seem to have reacted much more heavily. As most of my fans probably know by now one of the most important things in long-term profitable sports betting is not to react too heavily to 1-10 games – depending on the sport, league and the overall circumstances - of course. I want to remind my fans that last season Köln finished in 11th place with 42 points to their account. There is no reason to believe that they would be clearly worse this season.. Stuttgart, on the other hand, were very close to being relegated in the spring – for the second season in a row. Indeed, they ended up in 16th place with just 33 points in their pocket. Schalke, who were relegated, took just two points less. Surely the very young team - squad average age just 23.5 years - will be better this season but they have now become way too hot in the betting market and we must oppose them! Many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season. They are in third place in the league table with 12 points to their account but their number of xPTS is “only” 8.87.

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com the Stuttgart squad has - despite being slightly overvalued - an estimated total market value only about approximately 20% bigger than that of Köln’s. Even so, the biggest, sometimes somewhat smart bookies see the visitors as clearly the better team - and subsequently as pretty solid favorites – away from home! I must disagree! Stuttgart are traditionally a pretty strong team at home in front of very loud fans but struggle on the road. Indeed, last season they won just two away games and had an abysmal score difference – 22:35 in 17 away games in this league. Indeed, despite the recent results - with the expected lineups - the hosts deserve to be narrow favorites. We will take the Köln +0.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning once again. In their most recent game Köln lost to Werder Bremen 1-2 as narrow underdogs according to the bookmakers but this match could easily have gone either way. Köln had 54% ball possession and recorded more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 48-34. The hosts did record more goal attempts (17-13) as well as shots on target though. Köln, on the other hand, generated more in xG - 2.02-1.62. Stuttgart have won four games in a row. However, the opponents have not been very strong. In their most recent game, they swept past a pretty small, newly promoted team, Darmstadt, 3-1 at home as big favorites on the betting market. Before this they defeated an out-of-form Mainz 3-1 and a pretty lowly Swiss team, St Gallen, in a friendly game.

FC Köln VS VfB斯图加特

北京时间周六晚，FC Köln主场迎战斯图加特，将在科隆的莱茵能源球场进行德甲第6轮比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛，仅次于英超和西甲。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛，以德甲的标准来看，这是一场相当普通的比赛。东道主目前在这个联赛中排名第16位，共有18家俱乐部。他们本赛季开局缓慢，这是不可否认的。Köln在他们的账户上只有一分，但在期望积分(xPTS)方面非常不走运。随后，根据我对季前赛的深入分析，我降低了他们的力量评级——这反映了球队拥有最好首发阵容的纯粹等级。另一方面，博彩公司的反应似乎要激烈得多。正如我的大多数球迷现在可能知道的那样，在长期盈利的体育博彩中，最重要的事情之一就是不要对1-10场比赛做出太大的反应——当然，这取决于运动、联赛和整体情况。我想提醒我的球迷，上个赛季Köln以42分的成绩排在第11位。没有理由相信他们本赛季会变得更糟。另一方面，斯图加特在春天非常接近降级——连续第二个赛季。事实上，他们仅以33分的成绩排在第16位。降级的沙尔克只少拿了两分。当然，这支年轻的球队——平均年龄只有23.5岁——本赛季会更好，但他们现在在博彩市场上已经变得太热了，我们必须反对他们!本赛季到目前为止，他们的许多球员都超出了正常水平。他们在积分榜上以12分排名第三，但他们的得分“只有”8.87分。

根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，斯图加特球队的总市值——尽管被略微高估了——只比Köln的市值高出约20%。即便如此，最大的，有时有些聪明的博彩公司认为客队显然是更好的球队-随后是相当可靠的热门球队-客场!我不同意!斯图加特传统上在主场是一支非常强大的球队，在非常吵闹的球迷面前，但在客场却很挣扎。事实上，上个赛季他们只赢了两场客场比赛，并且在这个联赛中有一个糟糕的比分差——17场客场比赛22:35。事实上，尽管最近的比赛结果——以及预期的阵容——东道主理应受到微弱的青睐。我们将采取Köln +0.5个进球障碍选项，再次获胜的机会很大。在他们最近的一场比赛中Köln以1比2输给云达不莱梅，但根据博彩公司的数据，这场比赛很容易就会发生任何变化。Köln控球率为54%，总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多——48-34。不过，东道主的进球次数(17-13)和射正次数也更多。另一方面，Köln在xG - 2.02-1.62中产生了更多。斯图加特已经四连胜了。然而，对手并不是很强大。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以3-1的比分横扫了一支规模很小、刚刚升入豪门的球队达姆施塔特，成为博彩市场上的热门球队。在此之前，他们在一场友谊赛中以3比1击败了状态不佳的美因茨队和实力相当低的瑞士队圣加仑队。