The most logical bet for this game 意甲 那不勒斯VS乌迪内斯
2023-09-27

Przem

外籍分析师

意甲

09/28 02:45

已完赛

那不勒斯
1:0
乌迪内斯
解读理由:

In my opinion Udinese have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.


In last 8 matches between both teams, Napoli won with more than one goal difference only two times. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with 3:2 Napoli win. I expect another tight game.


Napoli is not in great form at the moment, they failed to win in 3 of last 4 matches in all competitions. At the weekend they failed to win on the road against Bologna (0:0). I don’t think atmosphere in team is good – Napoli top striker Osimhen had some argue with coach Rudi Garcia. He criticized the boss for not using two strikers in his tactic. Looks like Rudi Garcia position in the locker room is not so strong and for sure that don’t have good impact on team consistency.


Udinese after 5 opening rounds of the season is still without a single win (still they were able to avoid loss in 5 matches). Without any shadow of doubt, Udinese played better than their results shows. Udinese scored only 1 goal so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 6.3. It’s huge difference. At the weekend Udinese played at home against top5 Fiorentina. They lost 0:2, but that was extremely undeserved result: expected goals scored for Udinese 2.24, for Fiorentina 0.52.

Napoli is not in the best possible form at the moment, Udinese plays better than results suggest and have all required tools to make troubles for hosts.




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,乌迪内斯有很好的机会在这场比赛中避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。


在两队最近的8场比赛中,那不勒斯只有2次以1个净胜球以上的优势取胜。两队在这个球场的上一场比赛以那不勒斯3:2获胜告终。我希望又是一场激烈的比赛。


那不勒斯现在状态不太好,最近4场比赛中有3场没有获胜。在周末的客场比赛中,他们没能赢下博洛尼亚(0:0)。我不认为球队的气氛很好——那不勒斯顶级前锋奥西姆亨和教练鲁迪·加西亚发生了一些争执。他批评老板在战术中没有使用两名前锋。看起来鲁迪-加西亚在更衣室的位置不是那么强,而且肯定不会对球队的稳定性产生好的影响。


乌迪内斯在本赛季开局5轮之后仍然没有取得一场胜利(但他们在5场比赛中避免了失利)。毫无疑问,乌迪内斯踢得比结果要好。乌迪内斯目前只进了1球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进6.3球。这是巨大的差异。周末乌迪内斯主场迎战排名第五的佛罗伦萨。他们以0:2输球,但这是一个极不应得的结果:乌迪内斯的预期进球数为2.24,佛罗伦萨的预期进球数为0.52。

那不勒斯目前的状态并不是最好的,乌迪内斯的表现比结果显示的要好,他们拥有给东道主制造麻烦的所有必要工具。


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