In my opinion Inter is clear favorite of today’s match up and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals difference. -1.5 AH on home side looks like very good option to play.

Inter have big mental advantage before this game as they won 6 of last 7 matches against Sassuolo. Last match between both teams at this stadium in May finished with Inter 4:2 win. I expect another big win for hosts today.

Inter is in excellent form – they won all 5 matches in Serie A and they are leaders of the table. Inter looks superb at both ends of the pitch. Defensive formation is rock solid and have a lot of consistency and stability – Inter kept clean sheet in 4 of 5 matches. They conceded only one goal – in derby game against Milan, but they won 5:1. On the other hand Inter scored more than one goal in 4 of 5 league matches so far. They won 1:0 at the weekend on the road against Empoli, but they had 23 shots in that game and should score 1.65 according to the expected goals scored model.

Sassuolo is poor team on the road, no doubt about that. They played 2 away matches so far (against Napoli and Frosinone) – they lost both matches, twice with more than one goal difference. I really don’t trust for Sassuolo defensive formation – they conceded more than one goal in 4 of 5 league matches so far. Is hard to imagine clean sheet for them today, they are still without first goalkeeper Andrea Consigli. Sassuolo have the highest expected goals conceded number in whole league. Inter shouldn’t have problems with goalscoring today. On the other hand Sassuolo had a lot of luck in attack and their numbers looks better than really should. Sassuolo scored 9 goals in 5 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 5.2. It’s big difference.

Inter firepower and consistency at the back is simply too good for team on Sassuolo level. I expect comfortable win for hosts today.

在我看来，国米在今天的比赛中显然是最受欢迎的，并且应该能够以至少2球的差距轻松获胜。主场1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

国米在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在过去7场对萨索洛的比赛中赢了6场。两队五月份在这个球场的最后一场比赛，国米4:2获胜。我希望东道主今天能再赢一场大胜。

国米的状态很好，他们在意甲赢了5场比赛，他们在积分榜上处于领先地位。国米在攻防两端看起来都很出色。后防阵型坚如磐石，有很强的稳定性和稳定性——国米5场比赛中有4场没有失球。他们只丢了一个球——在德比战中对阵米兰，但他们以5:1获胜。另一方面，国米目前5场联赛中有4场进球超过1球。他们在周末客场1:0战胜恩波利，但他们在那场比赛中有23次射门，根据预期进球模型应该进1.65球。

萨索洛在客场表现不佳，这是毫无疑问的。到目前为止，他们打了2场客场比赛(对阵那不勒斯和弗罗西诺内)，两场比赛都输了，两场比赛都有超过一球的差距。我真的不相信萨索洛的防守阵型——到目前为止，他们在5场联赛中有4场丢了一个以上的球。很难想象他们今天不会失球，他们仍然没有第一门将康西格利。萨索洛的失球数是全联赛最高的。国米今天在进球方面应该没有问题。另一方面，萨索洛在进攻端运气很好，他们的数据看起来比实际情况要好。萨索洛在5场比赛中打进9球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进5.2球。差别很大。

国米的火力和后防线的稳定性对于萨索洛这样的球队来说实在是太好了。我希望东道主今天能轻松取胜。