Free bet for my followers 法甲 摩纳哥VS尼斯
2023-09-23

Przem

外籍分析师

法甲

09/23 03:00

已完赛

摩纳哥
1:0
尼斯
解读理由:

Odds on guests slashed down by 0.80 from opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.


In my opinion Nice have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


It's long trip for guests, it's less than hour drive by car from Nice to Monaco and this is good advantage for away team. For sure they have big mental advantage before this game as they already played here in 2023 and recorded here big 3:0 win in February.


Both teams started new season in great style. After 5 rounds Monaco is on first place with 11 points, Nice is on third position, two points behind them. If You look deeper, it's really visible - Nice played better so far and Monaco not deserved to be above them in league table.


Monaco won in 3 of 5 matches so far, but their results looks better than really should. Monaco scored 15 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 9.5. It's huge difference. Their defensive formation is inconsistent as they kept two clean sheet, but also conceded more than one goal in 3 matches..


Nice coming here full of confidence after away win against PSG. They wants to go with momentum. Offensive formation looked strong in last two games as they scored 5 goals. On the other hand defensive formation is rock solid. They have the lowest expected goals conceded number in whole league.


I fully agree with market movement here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在最大限度的限制下,在亚洲大型市场,客人的赔率下降了0.80,我完全同意这一趋势。


在我看来尼斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


对于客人来说,这是一个漫长的旅程,从尼斯到摩纳哥开车不到一个小时,这对客场球队来说是一个很好的优势。当然,在这场比赛之前,他们有很大的心理优势,因为他们已经在2023年在这里打过球,并在2月份取得了3:0的大胜。


两支球队都以出色的风格开始了新赛季。5轮过后,摩纳哥以11分排名第一,尼斯排名第三,落后他们两分。如果你看得更深入一点,就会发现尼斯到目前为止表现得更好,摩纳哥在联赛排名上不应该超过他们。


到目前为止,摩纳哥在5场比赛中赢了3场,但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。摩纳哥打进了15球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该只进9.5球。这是巨大的差异。他们的防守阵型不稳定,他们保持了两场零封,但也在3场比赛中丢了一个以上的球。


很高兴在客场战胜巴黎圣日耳曼后充满信心来到这里。他们想要有冲劲。在前两场比赛中,进攻阵型看起来很强大,他们进了5个球。另一方面,防守阵型坚如磐石。他们的预期失球数在整个联赛中是最低的。


我完全同意这里的市场走势。

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