An ineteresting game in Denmark
2023-09-16

Tapio

外籍分析师

丹麦甲

09/16 01:00

已完赛

霍布罗
1:0
霍森斯
解读理由:

Hobro VS AC Horsens


Hobro welcome Horsens for this Danish Division 1. round 9 battle at DS Arena early Saturday morning Beijing time. This is the second level of Danish football. The level of this league is relatively low by international standards. The difference between this league and the Superliga is substantial. We can expect a match of pretty good level by this league’s level here between these two teams. Most importantly, however, we have yet another promising betting opportunity here. Even the biggest bookies with the biggest stake limits make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league. These bookies see this match as more or less a coin toss – without an actual favorite - offering both odds of around 2.65 to take all three points. This is, in my expert, opinion, not correct! The visitors deserve to bet solid favorites! They do have an edge in terms of class – with the expected lineups – over Hobro. The visitors with the +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here!

Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me. Indeed, Hobro are currently in 5th place in the league table. They have taken a total of 15 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is much lower – 10.98 to be precise. Yes, I have to admit that offensively they have bene better than I would have expected before the season started. they have netted the ball a respectable 13 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is just 9.87. They have conceded eight goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 12.98. Horsens, on the other hand, have unarguably had a disappointing start to the season. They were relegated from the Superliga after lasts season. They have potential for massive improvement in all areas of the game. They have 10 points to their account but their number of xPTS is 13.34. I do trust their coach and players a lot. Lastly I wan to mention that in terms of expected squad market value according to Transfermerkt.com the visitors are the bigger team here - clearkly



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Hobro VS AC Horsens


欢迎霍森斯来到丹麦甲级联赛。北京时间周六凌晨,第九轮比赛将在DS体育馆举行。这是丹麦足球的第二梯队。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平相对较低。这个联赛和超级联赛的差别很大。我们可以期待这两支球队在这个联赛的水平上有一场相当好的比赛。然而,最重要的是,我们在这里还有另一个有希望的赌博机会。在这个联赛中,即使是拥有最大赌注限制的最大博彩公司也会在赔率上犯很多错误。这些博彩公司把这场比赛或多或少地看作是一场掷硬币的比赛——没有一个真正的赢家——提供大约2.65的赔率来获得全部三分。在我的专家看来,这是不正确的!客队值得赌一把!他们在阶级方面确实有优势——在预期的阵容上——比霍布罗有优势。客队有+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择!

我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道,我从不让排名欺骗我。事实上,Hobro目前在联赛中排名第五。他们总共得了15分。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多,准确地说是10.98。是的,我不得不承认他们在进攻端比我在赛季开始前预期的要好。他们已经把球打进了13次。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)仅为9.87。他们已经丢了8个球,他们的预期失球数(xGA)是12.98。霍森,另一方面,毫无疑问,有一个令人失望的开局赛季。上个赛季后,他们从超级联赛降级。他们在比赛的各个方面都有巨大的进步潜力。他们的账户有10个点,但他们的xPTS数量是13.34。我非常信任他们的教练和球员。最后我想说的是,根据Transfermerkt.com的数据,客队的预期市场价值显然更大

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。