In my opinion Armenia have really good chances to avoid big loss in today’s match up. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.

First match between both teams finished with Turkish side win on away, but that was very close game: expected goals scored for Armenia 0.65, for Turkey 0.67. I expect another tight game.

Armenia after first game against Turkey played two group matches – they recorded impressive win on away against Wales and scored 4 goals in that game, in addition to that they won at home against Latvia (two goals scored). Armenia offensive formation is very dangerous, they have interesting players like Ranos from Gladbach (2 goals against Wales), Briasco from Boca Juniors, Zalarayan from Al Fateh (2 goals against Wales and impressive league form) or Barseghyan (Slovan, 4 goals in 5 league matches). Armenia scored more than one goal in 5 of last 7 matches in all competitions. I believe they have all required tools to score at least one goal today.

Turkey conceded at least one goal in 7 of last 8 matches in all competitions (4 times more than one goal). During that run they conceded 3 goals against Luxembourg, 2 goals against Faroe Islands or two goals in this group against poor Latvia (Latvia had 15 shots and 2.69 expected goals scored). For me is not big surprise – their defensive players are not in great shape. Key central defender Soyuncu played only 45 minutes for Atletico Madrid so far, othery key defender Demiral looking poor in Saudi Arabia (2 yellow and 1 red card in 3 matches). For me is hard to imagine clean sheet for Turkey today.

Armenia should be able to score, so Turkey will need 3 goals to cover this high HC line, but in last 7 matches in all competitions only one time they scored more than 2 goals (against poor Latvia). In addition to that key striker Nayir (scored in last game against Wales) is unavailable today.

+1.5 AH on Armenia is my bet here.

在我看来，亚美尼亚在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

两队的第一场比赛以土耳其队在客场获胜结束，但这是一场非常接近的比赛:亚美尼亚队的预期进球数为0.65，土耳其队为0.67。我希望又是一场激烈的比赛。

在第一场与土耳其的比赛后，亚美尼亚打了两场小组赛——他们在客场对阵威尔士的比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的胜利，并在那场比赛中打进4球，此外他们还在主场战胜了拉脱维亚(打进2球)。亚美尼亚的进攻阵型非常危险，他们有一些有趣的球员，比如格拉德巴赫的拉诺斯(对威尔士打进2球)，博卡青年的布里亚斯科，阿尔·法特赫的扎拉拉扬(对威尔士打进2球，联赛状态令人印象深刻)或巴塞扬(斯洛文尼亚，5场联赛打进4球)。亚美尼亚在各项赛事最近7场比赛中有5场进球超过1球。我相信他们今天都需要至少一个进球的工具。

土耳其在各项赛事近8场比赛中有7场至少丢1球(4次失球以上)。在对阵卢森堡的比赛中，他们丢了3个球，对阵法罗群岛的比赛丢了2个球，在这个小组中对阵拉脱维亚的比赛丢了2个球(拉脱维亚有15次射门，预期进了2.69个球)。对我来说这并不奇怪——他们的防守球员状态不佳。主力中卫索云库目前只为马竞打了45分钟，其他主力后卫德米拉尔在沙特表现不佳(3场比赛2黄1红牌)。对我来说很难想象今天土耳其能不失球。

亚美尼亚应该能够进球，所以土耳其需要3个进球来填补这个高HC线，但在过去的7场比赛中，他们只有一次进球超过2个(对阵贫穷的拉脱维亚)。除了主力前锋纳伊尔(在上一场对威尔士的比赛中进球)今天也不能上场。

我打赌亚美尼亚+1.5 AH。