In my opinion Ludogorets have bigger chances to avoid big loss in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +1.5 AH on away side looks like very good option to play.

In first match Ajax won 4:1, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Ludogorets 2.16(14 shots), for Ajax 1.81 (7 shots). Ajax won because was clinical in finishing. Superb winger Kudus scored 3 goals in that game, but he will not play today as he left the club and moved to West Ham. In addition to that key offensive midfielder Berghuis is very doubtful due to illness.

I expect some rotation in Ajax squad, they have league match at Sunday and for sure wants to win there (they already dropped points) to avoid slow start in Eredivisie. Ludogorets today should play with exactly the same line like in first match between both teams.

I believe guests have all required tools to score at least one goal today. So far, Ajax played 3 official matches and in each game conceded at least one goal (2 goals conceded against Excelsior). On the other hand Ludogorets have really good firepower – they scored 19 goals in 6 league matches. In previous round of Europa League qualies they scored 6 goals in two matches against Astana. At the weekend they won 5:0 at home against Beroe so team coming here full of confidence.

Ajax is in comfortable situation, they even don’t need draw here to get qualification. They not looked as much better team in first game, they not looking convincing at the back at the moment. Ludogorets don’t have nothing to lose and without any shadow of doubt have enough quality to avoid big loss here. Line is simply too high.

在我看来，在这场比赛中，卢多戈雷特有更大的机会避免重大损失，而不是博彩公司给我们的赔率。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

在第一场比赛中，阿贾克斯以4:1获胜，但这根本不值得:卢多戈雷茨的预期进球数为2.16(14次射门)，阿贾克斯的预期进球数为1.81(7次射门)。阿贾克斯赢了，因为他的射门很冷静。出色的边锋库德斯在那场比赛中打进3球，但他今天不会上场，因为他离开了俱乐部，转会到了西汉姆联。此外，关键的攻击型中场伯赫伊斯因病也很不确定。

我希望阿贾克斯有一些轮换阵容，他们周日有联赛，他们肯定想赢(他们已经丢了分)，以避免在荷甲联赛开局缓慢。今天的卢多戈雷特应该像两队的第一场比赛一样打同一条线。

我相信今天所有的客人都需要至少一个进球的工具。到目前为止，阿贾克斯踢了3场正式比赛，每场比赛都至少丢了一个球(对Excelsior丢了2个球)。另一方面，卢多戈雷特拥有强大的火力，他们在6场联赛中打进19球。在上一轮欧联杯预选赛中，他们在对阵阿斯塔纳的两场比赛中打进6球。周末他们在主场以5:0战胜了贝罗，所以球队充满信心地来到这里。

阿贾克斯的情况很好，他们甚至不需要在这里打平就能出线。他们在第一场比赛中看起来没有那么好，他们在后防线上看起来也不那么令人信服。卢多戈雷特没有什么可失去的，毫无疑问，他们有足够的素质来避免大损失。线实在太高了。