AIK Solna VS Varberg

AIK welcome Varberg for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 21 clash at Friends Arena in Solna very early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Swedish football and the level is pretty low by European standards.. It is, however, better than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre quality by this league's standards here. The bookies seem to make a lot of mistakes with their odds in this league – they put more resources into bigger leagues like the English Premier League. Let's take advantage of this! AIK are one of the biggest, most traditional clubs in Sweden. They have not succeeded as well as their fans would have hoped for in recent years though. However, their fans are one of the best in Sweden – very loud and loyal. It is true that the home advantage in Allsvenskan is smaller than in many big European leagues but here it is substantial. Taking this factor and the expected lineups into account, AIK are very big favorites here. The visitors cannot match them in any area of the game. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the AIK squad is valued at around 17 million euros. This is still marginally too low in my opinion. The visitors' players, on the other hand, have an estimated market value of just 5.8 million euros. This is very low by Allsvenskan standards but is still too high. I would set the number at around 4.5 million. This team does not belong to this level and will almost certainly be relegated to Superettan for the next season! Last season they were better and finished in 13th place but took 6.34 more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). AIK ended up in 5th place last season.

 There is no denying the fact that AIK have been a big disappointment this season. Indeed, they have just 19 points to their account and are in 15th place. Their number of xPTS is massively bigger though. Moreover they have potential for substantial improvement in all areas of the game. The main rationale behind this pick is, however, to oppose the very poor Varberg! They have taken just 11 points this season and are the worst team in Allsvenskan – by a wide margin! It is hard to write anything positive about them. Their score difference is abysmal – 16:38! Indeed, despite AIK's offensive problems I expect them to score at least twice here. Varberg seem to have given up the fight to avoid relegation. They have lost three games in a row in this league – allowing a total of eight goals in these games! Moreover, they failed to score a single goal in these three games and also generated very little in expected goals (xG). AIK were very unlucky to lose to Norrköping in their latest game 1-3 away from home. They had 62% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off target, corner kicks, attacks as well as dangerous attacks. AIK need points to secure their place at this level next season and I expect them to be very aggressive here right from the start!

AIK Solna诉Varberg

AIK欢迎瓦尔伯格参加北京时间周二凌晨在索尔纳朋友体育馆举行的瑞典阿尔斯温斯坎队第21轮比赛。这是瑞典足球的第一梯队，以欧洲标准来看，他们的水平相当低。然而，它比芬兰的Veikkausliiga要好。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的平庸比赛。博彩公司似乎在这个联赛的赔率上犯了很多错误——他们把更多的资源投入到像英超这样的大联赛中。让我们好好利用这一点吧!AIK是瑞典最大、最传统的俱乐部之一。然而，近年来，他们并没有像他们的粉丝所希望的那样成功。然而，他们的球迷是瑞典最好的球迷之一——非常大声和忠诚。在阿尔斯温斯坎的主场优势确实比许多欧洲豪门联赛要小，但在这里却是实实在在的优势。考虑到这个因素和预期的阵容，AIK在这里是非常受欢迎的。客队在比赛的任何领域都无法与他们匹敌。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，这支AIK球队的身价约为1700万欧元。在我看来，这个数字还是太低了。另一方面，客队球员的市场价值估计只有580万欧元。这是非常低的奥尔斯温斯坎标准，但仍然太高了。我估计这个数字在450万左右。这支球队不属于这个级别，几乎肯定会在下个赛季降级到Superettan !上赛季他们表现得更好，排在第13位，但以预期积分(xPTS)计算，他们比应得的积分多了6.34分。AIK上赛季排名第五。

不可否认的事实是AIK本赛季让人非常失望。事实上，他们的积分只有19分，排在第15位。不过，它们的xpt数量要大得多。此外，他们在比赛的各个方面都有很大的改进潜力。然而，这个选择背后的主要理由是反对非常可怜的瓦尔伯格!他们本赛季只拿到了11分，是阿尔斯温斯坎最差的球队——差距很大!很难写出任何关于他们的正面评价。他们的比分差太大了——16:38!事实上，尽管AIK的进攻有问题，我还是希望他们在这里至少能进两球。瓦尔伯格似乎已经放弃了保级之战。他们在这个联赛中已经连续输了三场比赛，在这些比赛中总共丢了8个球!此外，他们在这三场比赛中没有取得一个进球，并且产生的预期进球也很少(xG)。AIK在最近一场客场1-3输给Norrköping的比赛中非常不幸。他们有62%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、角球、攻击和危险攻击。AIK需要积分来确保他们下赛季在这个级别的位置，我希望他们从一开始就非常积极!