Where is value in this game? 瑞超 北雪平VS索尔纳
2023-08-21

Przem

外籍分析师

瑞超

08/22 01:10

已完赛

北雪平
1:0
索尔纳
解读理由:

In my opinion AIK have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


AIK coming to this stadium without any fear as they won last two consecutive matches here. In overall AIK have really solid record against Norrkoping – they didn’t lost against them in 22 of last 30 matches (won 4 of last 5).


Norrkoping is 10 places above AIK in league table, but if You look deeper – is hard to say AIK is worse team in current season. Both teams conceded exactly the same number of goals (23). According to the expected goals conceded model Norrkopinng should concede 24.3, AIK 25.7. Really small margins. Norrkoping in current season had a lot of luck in attack. They scored 31 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 24.7. On the other hand AIK scored only 18 goals, but they should score 25.0 – so even more than Norrkoping.


AIK changed coach at the start of July and now with Henning Berg they are extremely solid. Currently they have streak of 6 matches without loss in all competitions. Everything clicking together. During that run they failed to score only against strong Malmo. On the other hand in 3 of those 6 matches they kept clean sheet 3 times. Stability and consistency is there, no doubt about that.


Like I mentioned before, Norrkoping have better results than really should. They are not so strong team front of home crowd. In previous season they failed to win in 10 of 15 home league matches and conceded 20 goals. In current season they failed to win in 5 of 9 home league matches and conceded 10 goals. Is really hard to trust them.


AIK have all required tools to continue great streak with Henning Berg on the bench.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来AIK在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。


AIK毫无畏惧地来到这个球场,因为他们在这里连续赢了两场比赛。总的来说,AIK对Norrkoping的战绩非常稳定,他们在过去的30场比赛中有22场没有输过(最近5场赢了4场)。


Norrkoping在联赛排名上比AIK高10位,但是如果你看得更深入,很难说AIK是本赛季最差的球队。两队丢的球数完全相同(23个)。根据预期失球模型,诺科平应该失球24.3个,AIK 25.7个。利润非常小。本赛季,诺雪平在进攻端运气很好。他们进了31球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进24.7球。另一方面,AIK只进了18个球,但他们应该进25.0个,所以比Norrkoping还多。


AIK在七月初换了教练,现在有了亨宁-伯格,他们非常稳固。目前他们已经在各项赛事中取得了6连胜。一切都在一起。在那场比赛中,他们只有在对阵强大的马尔默时才没有进球。另一方面,在这6场比赛中,他们有3场没有失球。毫无疑问,稳定性和一致性是存在的。


就像我之前提到的,诺雪平的成绩比实际情况要好。在主场观众面前,他们不是那么强大的球队。在上个赛季,他们在15场主场比赛中有10场未能获胜,丢了20个球。本赛季,他们在9场主场比赛中有5场没有获胜,丢了10个球。真的很难相信他们。


AIK拥有所有需要的工具来延续亨宁伯格在板凳上的辉煌。

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