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2023-08-17

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外籍分析师

欧罗巴

08/18 02:00

已完赛

卢多戈雷
1:0
阿斯塔纳
解读理由:

A couple of games are going to happen on Thursday in the UEFA Europa League qualifier. One of the matches is going to be between Ludogorets and Astana. After the 1st match, Astana is up 2:1. In this game, though, I predict that Ludogorets is going to win. Last week, teams met in Astana. Ludogorets scored the 1st goal but Astana tied the match after 6 minutes and got the 2nd goal in the 52nd minute. Per stats, both teams had 50% ball control, both teams made 9 shots while Astana had 2 more on target.

With the stats being almost identical, Astana is lucky to have a one-goal lead. At the same time, this will help our bet. Over the weekend, Ludogorets won the Bulgarian championship game 3:0 against CSKA Sofia which was the 2nd-best team last year, and Ludogorets have won both home games this year, with a total of 8 goals scored and none conceded. Last season, Ludogorets dominated at home with 13 wins and 4 draws in 18 games, with a total of 43 goals scored and only 14 conceded. Ludogorets was down 0:2 after the 1st Champions League qualifying game but crushed the opponents 4:0 in the next one. A draw at home against Olimpija in the next game was a little bit shocking though.

Thanks to 2 goals in 2 minutes, Astana advanced to the next Champions League round but was blown out by Dinamo Zagreb 0:6 in the 2nd round. Astana is playing just 1 game in the last 3 weeks. The team struggles in the national championship as they are just in the 3rd position. On the road, the team has been very good with 6 wins in 9 games but the team has scored only 9 goals and also conceded just 3. In the last 3 national league or cup games, Astana has 2 losses and a draw.

It is safe to say that Ludogorets is a favorite. They are a much better team, they are playing in a much better championship and their opponents daily are better. Per Transfermarkt, Ludogorets is valued at 41 million euro while Astana's value is at 14 million and that would be only the 5th-best value in the Bulgarian league. Astana isn't in the best shape right now (1 win, 3 losses and 1 draw) and Ludogorets should be able to get this game at least in the extra time.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四的欧联杯预选赛将有几场比赛。其中一场比赛将在卢多戈雷茨和阿斯塔纳之间进行。第一场比赛结束后,阿斯塔纳2:1领先。不过,在这场比赛中,我预测卢多戈雷茨会赢。上周,各方在阿斯塔纳会面。卢多戈雷茨队打进第一球,但阿斯塔纳队在6分钟后将比分扳平,并在第52分钟打入第二球。根据数据,两队都有50%的控球率,两队都有9次射门,阿斯塔纳有2次射正。

由于数据几乎相同,阿斯塔纳很幸运能领先一球。同时,这将有助于我们的赌注。上周末,卢多戈雷茨队以3:0战胜了去年排名第二的球队索非亚中央陆军队,在今年的两场主场比赛中都取得了胜利,共打进8球,零失球。上赛季,卢多戈雷茨在主场18场比赛13胜4平,共进43球,仅失14球。在欧冠预选赛第一场比赛中,卢多戈雷茨以0:2落后,但在第二场比赛中以4:0击败对手。下一场主场战平奥林匹亚的比赛有点令人震惊。

阿斯塔纳凭借2分钟内的2粒进球进入下一轮,但在第2轮被萨格勒布迪纳摩以0:6淘汰。阿斯塔纳在过去的三周里只打了一场比赛。球队在全国锦标赛中挣扎,因为他们只是在第三的位置。在客场,球队在9场比赛中取得了6场胜利,但球队只进了9球,也只丢了3球。在最近的3场全国联赛或杯赛中,阿斯塔纳队2负1平。

可以肯定地说,Ludogorets是最受欢迎的。他们是一支更好的球队,他们在一个更好的冠军联赛中打球,他们的对手每天都更好。根据Transfermarkt的数据,卢多戈雷茨的价值为4100万欧元,而阿斯塔纳的价值为1400万欧元,这在保加利亚联赛中仅排名第五。阿斯塔纳现在状态不佳(1胜3负1平),卢多戈雷茨至少可以在加时赛中拿下这场比赛。

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