Fredrikstad VS Bryne

Fredrikstad host Bryne for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 17 battle at Fredrikstad Stadion very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Norwegian football but it is of somewhat low level by European standards.. It has, however, improved significantly in the last approximately 10 years. There are many good coaches in Norway but the main reason is oil and gas money that has flooded into Norway – including football at all levels.. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of good level by OBOS-Ligaen standards between these two pretty good teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! We have won five of the latest six latest picks in this league! As I have mentioned a few times before, even the biggest bookies, sometimes pretty sharp bookies, put much more time and resources on the biggest leagues played in the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, UEFA's competitions qualification games and also on the MLS where even the legendary Leo Messi now dominates with Inter Miami. Furthermore, now that for example the English Premier League, the Spanish LaLiga etc. kick off soon, the bookies' focus will definitely be on these leagues.. Smaller, low-level leagues often offer very tasty betting opportunities for us! Fredrikstad currently occupy top the standings and have a total of 32 points to their account. I have raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class many times from the in-depth, strongly data-based preseason analysis but they have now become way too hot on the betting market! Let's not forget that last season they finished n 10th place (!) with just 35 points and had a bad score difference of 39:47! Bryne, on the other hand, took the same number of points but endep up in 11th place.. Yes, Fredrikstad are much better this season but the bookies have still massively overreacted to their fine season so far. I have, however, been very positively surprised by the way they have defended as a team – their defensive structure is amazingly good! They have allowed just eight goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still 13.02. The Fredrikstad defenders make very few silly individual mistakes. They have not lost any games in this league so far this season. This feels almost unbelievable based on their performances on the pitch! They have, after all, won just eight of the 16 games. I do not have them in the top-2 in my power rating. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 28.98.

Many of the Fredrikstad players have played clearly above their normal level and this cannot go on forever.. They have scored just 20 goals in this league – just two more than Bryne. The +1.5 goals handicap on the visitors is a very good option with a 73% chance of winning.  Odds of around 1.52 are widely available. Even so, the hosts are, of course, clear favorites here with a 57% chance of winning as they have an edge in all areas of the game. The visitors will probably be very defensive, mainly relying on fast counter attacks to score here and would certainly be happy with a draw.. As the hosts do not have massive offensive power the goal expectancy here is much lower than the bookies think. Rather weirdly, even Asane, in 15th place, have scored just one goal less than Fredrikstad! The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 60%. Bryne are in 12th place with 19 points and have been somewhat lame offensive this season, no denying that. They have scored 18 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is still decent - 19.45. They would have deserved 22.12 points in terms of xPTS. They have improved their level of football lately and have won four of their latest five games! In their most recent game they faced Ranheim at home and did not fully convince me offensively but I have to say that the visitors defended very well. Even so, Bryne took a 1-0 win after recording many more shots on goal (9-5) as well as scoring attempts. Before this they crushed Start 5-1 proving that they do have some offensive potential! Fredrikstad, too, have achieved good results lately and beat Skeid, the rock-bottom team in this league 2-1 away from home as big favorites. Yes, they did the necessary to win and were the better team, but did not excite me in any way against a very weak opponent.. Skeid, rather amazingly, even recorded more attacks in this pretty low-level game.

Fredrikstad VS Bryne

北京时间周四凌晨，腓特烈斯塔主场迎战挪威奥博斯与利加恩的第17轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二高水平，但与欧洲标准相比，它的水平有些低。然而，在过去大约10年里，它有了显著的改善。挪威有很多好教练，但主要原因是石油和天然气资金涌入挪威——包括各级足球。球迷们和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支优秀球队之间的比赛，按照OBOS-Ligaen的标准，这是一场高水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们在最近的6次选秀中赢了5次!正如我之前几次提到的，即使是最大的博彩公司，有时是相当敏锐的博彩公司，也会把更多的时间和资源投入到夏季最重要的联赛上——比如巴西意甲联赛、欧足联的资格赛，以及传奇人物里奥·梅西现在在迈阿密国际的统治下的美国职业足球大联盟。此外，现在，例如英超联赛，西甲联赛等即将开赛，博彩公司的重点肯定会放在这些联赛上。较小的低级联赛通常为我们提供非常美味的赌博机会!腓特烈斯塔目前在积分榜上排名第一，总共有32分。我已经多次通过深入的、基于数据的季前赛分析提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，但他们现在在博彩市场上已经变得太热门了!别忘了上个赛季他们只拿到35分，排在第10位，而且分差39:47!另一方面，Bryne获得了相同的分数，但最终排在第11位。是的，弗雷德里克这个赛季好多了，但是博彩公司仍然对他们到目前为止的好赛季反应过度。然而，我对他们作为一个团队的防守方式感到非常惊讶——他们的防守结构非常好!他们只丢了8个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然是13.02个。腓特烈斯塔的后卫很少犯愚蠢的个人错误。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中没有输过一场比赛。从他们在球场上的表现来看，这简直令人难以置信!毕竟，他们在16场比赛中只赢了8场。在我的能量评级中，他们没有进入前2名。事实上，他们的期望值(xPTS)只有28.98。

许多腓特烈斯塔球员的表现明显高于他们的正常水平，这种情况不可能永远持续下去。他们在联赛中只进了20个球，只比布莱恩多了2个。客队+1.5的进球障碍是一个非常好的选择，有73%的获胜机会。赔率在1.52左右的概率很普遍。即便如此，东道主当然是最受欢迎的球队，有57%的获胜几率，因为他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。客队可能会非常防守，主要依靠快速反击来得分，他们当然会对平局感到高兴。由于东道主没有强大的进攻力量，这里的进球预期比博彩公司认为的要低得多。奇怪的是，即使是排在第15位的阿萨内，也只比弗雷德里克少进了一个球!进球少于2.5球的概率是60%。布莱恩以19分排在第12位，不可否认的是，他本赛季的进攻有点蹩脚。他们已经进了18个球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然不错——19.45个。他们应该得到22.12分的积分。他们最近的足球水平提高了，最近五场比赛赢了四场!在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场面对兰海姆，并没有完全说服我进攻，但我不得不说客队防守很好。尽管如此，Bryne在记录了更多的射门次数(9-5)和得分次数后以1-0取胜。在此之前，他们以5比1击败了Start，证明他们确实有一些进攻潜力!腓特烈斯塔德最近也取得了不错的成绩，并在客场2-1击败了联赛垫底的斯基德，成为大热门。是的，他们做了必要的胜利，是一支更好的球队，但面对一个非常弱的对手，我丝毫没有感到兴奋。令人惊讶的是，Skeid甚至在这款相当低级的游戏中记录了更多的攻击。