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2023-08-07

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外籍分析师

瑞超

08/08 01:00

已完赛

北雪平
1:0
哥德堡
解读理由:

In my opinion Goteborg have really good chances to make at least one point in today’s match up.


Goteborg coming for this game with good mental advantage as they didn’t lost at this stadium in last 3 consecutive matches.


For Goteborg this is must win game as they are in relegation zone, but team is in good mood after last round win against Kalmar. They wants to go with momentum. Norrkoping in last round lost on away against Hammarby.


12 points difference between both teams in league table, but Goteborg not played worse in current season. Norrkoping scored 25 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 21.6. Goteborg scored 15 goals, but should score 18.1. Both teams plays on similar level at the back. According to the expected goals conceded model Goteborg should concede 22.9, Norrkoping 22.6. Today Norrkoping will play without their key defender Anton Eriksson.


I don’t trust for Norrkoping at home in current season, they failed to win in 5 of 8 home league matches. They lost their best player Sigurdsson (best player according to the ratings and best scorer). Since he left, Norrkoping failed to win in 5 of 7 matches.


Goteborg have huge motivation to win and team is full of confidence. In current season Norrkoping failed to win in 4 of 7 matches when played against team ranked below. I don’t see them here as so big favorite.





该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,哥德堡有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。


哥德堡带着良好的心理优势来参加这场比赛,因为他们在这个球场连续3场比赛都没有输过球。


对于哥德堡来说,这是一场必须要赢的比赛,因为他们已经进入了降级区,但是球队在上一轮战胜卡尔玛后心情很好。他们想要有冲劲。诺雪平在上一轮客场输给了汉姆比。


两队在积分榜上相差12分,但哥德堡本赛季的表现并不差。诺雪平队进了25个球,但根据预期进球模型,他们应该进21.6球。哥德堡进了15球,但应该进18.1球。两支球队的后腰水平差不多。根据预期失球模型,哥德堡应该失球22.9,诺雪平应该失球22.6。今天,诺雪平队的主力后卫埃里克森将缺席比赛。


我不相信诺雪平在本赛季的主场表现,他们在8场主场比赛中有5场没有获胜。他们失去了他们最好的球员西于尔德松(根据评分最佳球员和最佳得分手)。自从他离开后,诺雪平在7场比赛中有5场未能获胜。


哥德堡有巨大的动力去赢球,球队充满了信心。在本赛季,在与排名较低的球队的7场比赛中,有4场未能获胜。我不认为他们是大热门。



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