Sligo Rovers VS St. Patricks Athletic

Sligo Rovers host St. Patricks in this Irish Premier League round 26 battle at Showgrounds in Sligo very early Saturday morning Beijing time. This league level is of low level by European standards. It is even a little worse than for example the first tier of Finland, Veikkausliiga! Talented young Irish players usually leave the country at a young age to play in the UK or elsewhere in Europe.. In this game football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football fans can expect a match of pretty high quality by this league's standards between these two teams... The visitors currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings. They have grabbed a total of 43 points but I want to highlight that their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 39.02. Offensively they have been surprisingly strong so far this season – netting the ball 47 times in this league. This is – together with Shamrock - the highest number in the Premier League. They have a lot of individual skill for this level and unarguably have an edge over the hosts in this area of the game. Even so, let's not forget that their number of expected goals (xG) is just 43.09. Defensively, however, in terms of defensive quality the difference between the two teams is only marginal in the visitors' favor. They have conceded 32 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 31.02. Sligo have a good defensive structure but they have made quite a few individual defensive mistakes and have allowed 34 goals in this league. Their number of xGA is 32.45. The visitors are in the 4th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. The hosts are in 6th place in this rating. Last season St. Patricks finished in 4th place and Sligo Rovers ended up in 5th place. Not that much has, after all, changed for this season. At the moment Sligo are in 7th place with 30 points to their account but their number of xPTS is 35.04. 

Taking the substantial home advantage into account Sligo Rovers are only very marginal underdogs in my expert opinion!Rather weirdly, the sometimes relatively smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the visitors as solid favorites – offering them odds of around 2.15 to take all three points. Subsequently, the +0.5 handicap option on the hosts is the obvious smart bet here. The visitors have won just two of their latest games five games. However, both wins have come against very lowly opponents. In their most recent match they beat a small team, Longford, who play in the First Division, 2-1 away from in a FAI Cup 1/16-finals game as massive favorites – priced around 1.12 on the betting market. Furthermore, on the 30th of June they beat clearly the worst team in the Premier League, UC Dublin, 7-0 at home – again as gigantic favorites. They were much better in this game but the final score still flatters them. Before beating Longford they lost both games against Dudelange, a pretty small team from Luxembourg in the UEFA Conference League qualification. They were favorites on the betting market in both games but were very disappointing and would not have deserved to qualify! Especially in the second leg their defense looked very shaky and they allowed three goals! Sligo, on the other hand, were far from their best in their latest game against Drogheda away from home but managed to take a point through a 2-2 draw. They can surely significantly improve from this game. They have lost two of their latest six games. Sligo have won both games against St. Patricks in this league this season! The teams last locked horns in May and Sligo Rovers took a 1-0 win at Richmond Park in Dublin. Rather weirdly, St. Patricks failed to record any shots on target in this game!

斯莱戈流浪者VS圣帕特里克竞技队

北京时间周六凌晨，爱尔兰超级联赛第26轮将在爱尔兰首都斯莱戈的Showgrounds打响。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是低的。它甚至比芬兰的一级联赛还要差一点!有天赋的年轻爱尔兰球员通常在很小的时候就离开爱尔兰去英国或欧洲其他地方踢球。在这场比赛中，足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球迷可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛，按照这个联赛的标准，这是一场相当高质量的比赛。客队目前在积分榜上排名第二。他们总共拿到了43分，但我想强调的是，他们的预期积分(xPTS)只有39.02分。本赛季到目前为止，他们在进攻端表现出了惊人的强大——在这个联赛中，他们一共进球47次。和三叶草一起，这是英超最高的数字。他们在这个水平上有很多个人技术，毫无疑问在这个领域比东道主有优势。即便如此，我们也不要忘记他们的预期进球数(xG)只有43.09。然而在防守端，就防守质量而言，两队之间的差距对客队来说只是微不足道的。他们已经丢了32个球，他们的预期失球(xGA)是31.02个。斯莱戈有一个很好的防守结构，但是他们在防守上犯了很多错误，在联赛中丢了34个球。它们的xGA数是32.45。客队在我的力量评分中排名第四，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。东道主排名第六。上个赛季，圣帕特里克队排名第四，斯莱戈流浪者队排名第五。毕竟，这个赛季并没有太大的变化。目前斯莱戈以30分排名第七，但他们的积分是35.04分。

考虑到巨大的主场优势，斯莱戈流浪者在我的专家意见中只是非常微弱的劣势!相当奇怪的是，有时相对聪明的赌徒接受顾客的最大赌注，他们认为访客是稳定的热门-提供2.15左右的赔率来获得所有三分。因此，在这里，东道主的+0.5障碍选项显然是明智的选择。客队在最近的五场比赛中只赢了两场。然而，这两场胜利都是来自非常低水平的对手。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以2比1的比分击败了一支小球队朗福德，后者在英国足协1/16杯决赛中被认为是最大的热门球队，在博彩市场上的价格约为1.12。此外，6月30日，他们在主场以7比0击败了英超最差的球队——都柏林大学，再次成为夺冠热门。他们在这场比赛中表现得好得多，但最后的比分仍然让他们感到高兴。在击败朗福德之前，他们输掉了与杜德朗热的两场比赛，杜德朗热是一支来自卢森堡的小球队。在两场比赛中，他们都是博彩市场上的热门球队，但他们非常令人失望，根本不配出线!特别是在第二回合，他们的防守看起来非常不稳定，他们丢了三个球!另一方面，斯莱戈在最近一场客场对阵德罗海达的比赛中表现欠佳，但他们以2比2的平局拿到了一分。他们肯定能从这场比赛中得到显著提高。他们在最近的六场比赛中输了两场。斯莱戈本赛季在联赛中赢了两场对阵圣帕特里克队的比赛!两队上一次交锋是在5月份，斯莱戈流浪者队在都柏林里士满公园以1比0取胜。更奇怪的是，圣帕特里克队在这场比赛中没有任何射门!