In my opinion Klaksvik have bigger chances in this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +1.5 AH on away side looks like really valuable option to play.

Hacken is on second place in Allsvenskan with 12 wins in 18 matches, but their results looks better than really should. According to the expected goals scored model they scored then goals more than they should from created chances. Defensive formation is not rock solid – they conceded at least one goal in 15 of 18 league matches. In previous round of Champions League qualies they conceded goal at home against poor TNS.

Hacken lost their best scorer in current Benie Traore, he moved to Sheffield United. Since he left Hacken failed to score on away in league against poor Varnamo (0:1 loss) and failed to score on away against Klaksvik (only 5 shots in that game). They won 4 days ago against Elfsborg, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Hacken 0.97, for Elfsborg 2.13.

Klaksvik have advantage in fitness department because they not played any game since first match against Hacken, team is fresh and ready to go. On the other hand Hacken just 4 days ago played against Elfsborg and used all key players in that game.

For sure Klaksvik will come here with defensive mindset and they will sit low and wait for counter attack chances. That should be very tricky match for Hacken as they are favorite and front of home crowd big pressure is on their shoulders. Klaksvik so far not conceded a single goal in 3 matches in Champions League qualies. In previous round they made huge upset and kept two clean sheets against Ferencvaros. According to official market value – Ferencvaors squad worth 2 times more in comparison to Hacken.

Hacken don’t need to win with two goals margin to make qualification into next stage. One goal margin win is good enough, but I see really hard match for them today. Great value on away side with this high HC line.

在我看来，克拉克斯维克在这场比赛中有更大的机会，而不是赌徒给我们的赔率。客场+1.5 AH看起来是一个非常有价值的选择。

哈肯在18场比赛中取得了12场胜利，排名第二，但他们的成绩看起来比实际情况要好。根据预期进球得分模型，他们在创造机会的情况下多进了5个球。防守阵型并非坚如磐石——他们在18场联赛中有15场至少丢了一个球。在上一轮欧冠预选赛中，他们在主场面对实力不佳的TNS时丢了球。

哈肯失去了他们目前最好的射手本尼·特拉奥雷，他转会到谢菲尔德联队。自从他离开后，哈肯在联赛中客场对阵糟糕的瓦尔纳莫(0:1输球)没有进球，在客场对阵克拉克斯维克(那场比赛只有5次射门)也没有进球。4天前他们赢了埃尔夫斯堡，但这根本不是他们应得的结果:哈肯的预期进球数为0.97，埃尔夫斯堡的预期进球数为2.13。

克拉克斯维克在体能方面有优势，因为他们在第一场对哈肯的比赛后没有打过任何比赛，球队充满活力，准备好了。另一方面，哈肯在4天前对阵埃尔夫斯堡的比赛中使用了所有关键球员。

可以肯定的是，克拉克斯维克会带着防守的心态来到这里，他们会坐下来等待反击的机会。对哈肯来说，这将是一场非常棘手的比赛，因为他们是最受欢迎的球队，面对主场球迷，他们肩上的压力很大。到目前为止，克拉克斯维克在欧冠预选赛的3场比赛中没有失球。在上一轮比赛中，他们对费伦斯瓦罗斯队取得了巨大的突破，并保持了两场零封。根据官方市场价值-佛罗伦萨队的价值是哈肯队的2倍。

哈肯不需要赢得两球的优势就能晋级下一阶段。一个净胜球已经足够好了，但我认为他们今天的比赛真的很艰难。这条高HC线在客场非常有价值。