Strong value in Norwegian Eliteserien
2023-07-30

Przem

外籍分析师

挪超

07/30 23:00

已完赛

布兰
1:0
维京
解读理由:

In my opinion Viking have bigger chances to make at least one point in today’s match up than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.


Viking coming for this game with big mental advantage as they won last 4 consecutive matches against Brann. In first match of the season between both teams Viking won 3:1 at home and that was fully deserved win: expected goals scored for Viking 2.83, for Brann 0.96.


Brann currently is not in good form – they lost 3 of last 4 matches in all competitions. Two weeks ago they won 1:0 at home against Stromsgodset, but that was very close match and probably draw there was the most fair outcome. In last round they lost 1:3 on away against Tromso so for sure morale is on very low level and is hard to see them as so big favorite. One of the best player in current season (according to the ratings) Kristiansen is unavailable today.


Viking flying sky high at the moment. They won last 6 league matches in a row. Everything clicking together. Attack is creative and don’t have problems with finishing product – in last 6 matches they scored 14 goals (in 5 of those matches scored more than one goal). On the other hand defensive formation looked stable in last 3 matches as they kept clean sheet twice and conceded only one goal in the process. In last round they won 3:1 at home against Aalesund and produced above 3.00 expected goals scored.


Viking should be able to score at least one goal today – they scored at least one goal in 10 of last 11 matches against Brann. Brann defensive formation is not hard to break, hosts conceded at least one goal in 11 of last 12 matches in all competitions. In 3 of last 4 matches conceded more than one goal.


I see at least one goal for guests and that should be enough to avoid loss.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,维京人在今天的比赛中至少有一分的机会比博彩公司希望为我们提供的赔率更大。


维京人带着巨大的心理优势来参加这场比赛,因为他们在过去的4场比赛中赢了布兰恩。在两队本赛季的第一场比赛中,维京队主场3:1获胜,这是一场完全应得的胜利:维京队的预期进球数为2.83,布兰恩队为0.96。


布兰恩目前的状态不太好,他们在最近的4场比赛中输掉了3场。两周前,他们在主场1:0战胜了斯特罗姆戈德塞特,但那是一场势均力敌的比赛,也许平局是最公平的结果。上一轮他们客场1:3输给了特罗姆瑟,所以士气肯定很低,很难把他们看作是大热门。本赛季最好的球员之一(根据收视率)克里斯蒂安森今天不能上场。


维京人现在飞得很高。他们在最近的6场联赛中连续获胜。一切都在一起。锋线很有创造力,在最后的6场比赛中他们打进了14球(其中5场打进了一个以上的球)。另一方面,在过去的3场比赛中,防守阵型看起来很稳定,他们两次保持零封,只丢了一个球。上一轮,他们在主场3:1战胜了奥勒松,并创造了超过3.00个预期进球。


维京人今天应该至少能进一个球——他们在最近11场对阵布兰恩的比赛中有10场至少进了一个球。布兰恩的防守阵型并不难打破,东道主在最近12场比赛中有11场至少丢了一个球。最近4场比赛中有3场丢球超过1球。


我认为客人至少有一个目标,这应该足以避免损失。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。