6/6 🎯 where is value in this game? 🚨
2023-07-25

Przem

外籍分析师

女世界杯

07/25 13:30

已完赛

新西兰女
1:0
菲律宾女
解读理由:

In my opinion Philippines in this game have bigger chances than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. +1.5 AH on away side looks like great option to play. Simply I don't see huge win for New Zealand.


New Zealand plays at home. From one side it's big advantage, but it's also big pressure, especially in current situation. In opening match New Zealand made huge surprise and won 1:0 against strong Norway. That was their first win after 15 consecutive World Cup matches without a single win since 1991. Now big opportunity to get qualification into knock out stage. Such big pressure is something new for the team and for sure is not easy to handle.


Since Australian coach Alen Stajcic started to work with Philippines, team progressed by 22 places in the ranking (from 68 to 46). Last year they made semis in Asian Cup. In first match they lost 0:2 against strong Switzerland. They could have taken the lead, but goal was disallowed. Switzerland need controversial penalty to score opening goal at the end of the first half. Coach Stajcic said: "You have to block all that out and embrace it. You have to go out there and give it your best shot, so as motivating as it will be for New Zealand, it is for our team as well.”


Both teams played each other in friendly match last September. New Zealand won 2:1, but that was very close game. Coach Stajcic said about this match: "I think that game was a real turning point for me to know that we can rise to this level."


Philippines is hard nut to crack and I really don't see easy game for hosts. Coach Stajcic said: "We want to crash the party. It’s not really their party — it’s everyone’s, ours as well.".


Value is on away side, line is simply too high.




该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,菲律宾在这场比赛中的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。客场+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。简单地说,我不认为新西兰会取得巨大的胜利。


新西兰队在主场比赛。从一方面来说,这是一个巨大的优势,但也带来了很大的压力,尤其是在目前的情况下。在首场比赛中,新西兰出人意料地以1:0战胜了强大的挪威队。这是他们自1991年以来连续15场世界杯比赛没有一场胜利后的第一次胜利。现在是进入淘汰赛阶段的大好机会。如此巨大的压力对车队来说是全新的,当然也不容易处理。


自从澳大利亚教练阿兰·斯塔伊契奇(Alen Stajcic)开始执教菲律宾以来,菲律宾队的排名上升了22位(从68位上升到46位)。去年他们打进了亚洲杯半决赛。在第一场比赛中,他们以0:2输给了强大的瑞士队。他们本可以取得领先,但进球被判无效。瑞士在上半场结束时需要一个有争议的点球才能打进第一球。斯塔伊契奇教练说:“你必须屏蔽所有这些,并接受它。你必须上场,尽你最大的努力,所以这对新西兰队来说是一种激励,对我们的团队也是如此。”


两队在去年九月的友谊赛中交锋过。新西兰队2:1获胜,但那是一场势均力敌的比赛。教练斯塔伊契奇谈到了这场比赛:“我认为这场比赛对我来说是一个真正的转折点,让我知道我们可以上升到这个水平。”


菲律宾是一个很难对付的对手,我真的不认为东道主能轻松拿下这场比赛。斯塔伊契奇教练说:“我们想破坏这场派对。这不是他们的派对——这是每个人的,也是我们的。”


价值在一边,线太高了。


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