IK Sirius FK VS Mjallby AIF

Sirius welcome Mjallby for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 16 clash at Studenternas IP in Uppsala early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of somewhat low level by European standards but is still significantly better than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga. When analyzing and betting on Allsvenskan it is important to realize that the home advantage in this league is on average lower than in most big European leagues. In this match football fans and us serious football bettors cannot expect a particularly high-level or entertaining game between these two worse than average teams. Sirius currently occupy the 12th place in the standings and have a total of 17 points the their account. Furthermore, their score difference is not very impressive – to be precise. However, offensively they have been a little stronger than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis before the season kicked off in the spring. They have netted the ball 19 times in Allsvenskan so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is 17.34. In this area of the game they do have an edge over Mjallby who have struggled offensively this season. Indeed, they have scored just 13 goals in this league so far. There is no denying the fact that their offense has lacked creativity, speed and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal in many games. Even so, I do trust their good coach and players to improve at least a little in this area of the game as the season progresses. Their number of xG is 15.12. Last season they scored 33 goals – the hosts netted the ball just 31 times in Allsvenskan. Furthermore, Mjallby finished in 9th place with 43 points in their pocket. Sirius, on the other hand, ended up in 11th place. Not that much has, after all, changed for this season.

When looking at both teams' players total market value on a well-known German website, Gtransfermarkt.co, the teams are equal with around 8.7 million euros. However, in my opinion Mjallby's squad as a whole is slightly undervalued. Everything suggests that this match will be a balanced one. However, the biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies see Sirius as solid favorites and offer the hosts odds of around 2.15 to win at the time of writing this analysis late Sunday evening Beijing time. I expect the odds on the visitors to go down before the kickoff though as smart money is expected to pile up on them – unless new critical information on the absentees appears. Defensively the visitors have a clear edge here. Their defense has a fine structure and silly mistakes are pretty rare. Sometimes they are a bit too passive away from home though. Sirius' defense has not been great this season and they allowed much more goals than Mjallby last season. This season they have conceded 23 goals and I believe Mjallby will have a good chance of hurting the hosts' defense with fast counter attacks here. Sirius do not have very good home fans and they have won just two of the seven home games in Allsvenskan this season. They are only very marginal favorites here so the obvious bet is Mjallby with the +0.5 handicap.The visitors have grabbed 19 points but their number of expected points is a little lower – 16.45. In their most recent game they lost to Norrkoping at home 1-2 and were not at their best. The match was pretty balanced though. Before this they achieved a fine win as huge underdogs away from home against very strong Malmo! The hosts beat lowly Degerfors in their latest game 3-0 away from home but the final score is misleading. The hosts, too, had their chances. Before this they lost three matches in a row allowing a total of nine goals!

Sirius FK VS Mjallby AIF

北京时间周二凌晨，天狼星队在乌普萨拉的学生IP球场欢迎米亚尔比参加瑞典阿尔斯venskan队16强的比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平有些低，但仍然明显好于芬兰的维克斯利加。在分析和下注奥尔斯温斯卡时，重要的是要意识到这个联赛的主场优势平均低于大多数欧洲联赛。在这场比赛中，球迷和我们这些严肃的足球投注者不能期望这两支球队之间的比赛特别高水平或有趣。天狼星目前在积分榜上排名第12位，他们的账户总共有17分。此外，准确地说，他们的得分差距也不是很大。然而，在进攻端，他们比我在春季赛季开始前的深入季前赛分析中所预期的要强一些。迄今为止，他们在阿尔斯温斯坎打进19球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)为17.34个。在这方面，他们确实比本赛季在进攻端表现不佳的贾尔比有优势。事实上，到目前为止，他们在联赛中只进了13球。不可否认的事实是，在许多比赛中，他们的进攻缺乏创造力、速度和传球精度。即便如此，我还是相信他们的教练和球员会随着赛季的进展在这方面有所提高。它们的xG数是15.12。上赛季他们进了33球，而东道主在阿尔斯温斯坎只有31次进球。此外，Mjallby以43分的成绩获得第9名。而小天狼星则排在第11位。毕竟，这个赛季并没有太大的变化。

在德国知名网站Gtransfermarkt上查看两队球员的总市值。因此，两支球队的平均收入约为870万欧元。然而，在我看来，Mjallby的球队整体上被低估了。一切都表明这场比赛将是一场势均力敌的比赛。然而，在北京时间周日晚上写这篇分析时，最大的，有时相当敏锐的博彩公司认为天狼星是坚定的热门，并给出了大约2.15的赔率。我预计客队的赔率在开球前会下降，因为人们会在客队身上押下大笔赌注——除非出现关于缺阵的新关键信息。客队在防守上有明显的优势。他们的防守结构很好，很少犯愚蠢的错误。不过有时候他们在远离家乡的地方有点太被动了。小天狼星本赛季的防守不是很好，他们比上赛季丢了更多的球。本赛季他们已经丢了23个球，我相信米哈尔比很有可能在这里用快速的反击来打击东道主的防守。小天狼星的主场球迷不是很好，他们本赛季在阿尔斯温斯坎的七场主场比赛中只赢了两场。他们在这里只是非常小的热门，所以显而易见的赌注是Mjallby +0.5的差点。客队已经拿到了19分，但是他们的预期积分要少一些，只有16.45分。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以1比2输给了挪威雪平队，状态不佳。不过这场比赛还是相当平衡的。在此之前，他们在主场对阵强大的马尔默的比赛中取得了一场精彩的胜利。在最近的一场比赛中，东道主客场3-0击败了实力较弱的德格弗斯队，但最终比分令人误解。东道主也有过机会。在此之前，他们连输三场比赛，总共丢了9个球!