My bet for Spanish El Clasico
2021-04-10

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

04/11 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Real Madrid have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams without any new absences before today's game.

Real Madrid currently have good streak against Barcelona as they didn't lost against them in last 3 matches in a row. Fist match of the season between both teams at Camp Nou finished with great 3:1 Real win. They have good mental advantage before today's game.

Of course Barcelona streak of wins (9 in a row) looks very good, but they didn't looked convincing in last round match at home against poor Valladolid (17th position). They not created so many chances (expected goals scored 1.76) and they won 1:0 by very late goal from Dembele. Only 3 times in long history of club from Catalonia they won 10 La Liga matches in a row..

I believe Real is very underrated here. They are in great form - they lost only once in last 19 La Liga matches. They are very consistent team. Real won last 5 matches in a row in all competitions. Confidence for sure is on the highest possible level. In the midweek they completely outplayed Liverpool at home in Champions League (3:1). Real played last two matches in a row at home - this is big advantage as they don't have to travel anywhere.

Without any shadow of doubt Karim Benzema is the most important player for Real and he is in great form now - he scored at least one goal in last 6 La Liga matches in a row.

Real Madrid is extremely hard to beat in Madrid - they lost only 12 of last 90 home La Liga matches and I don't see them as a underdog here. I see Real as small fav her, so +0.5 with such odds looks like very good call.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,皇马在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

两队在今天比赛前都没有新的缺阵队员。

皇家马德里目前对巴萨的连胜很好,他们在过去的三场比赛中都没有输给巴萨。本赛季两队在诺坎普的第一场比赛皇马3:1大胜。在今天的比赛之前,他们有很好的心理优势。

当然,巴萨连胜(9连胜)看起来很不错,但是他们在上一轮主场对阵可怜的巴拉多利德(17位)的比赛中看起来并不令人信服。他们没有创造那么多的机会(预期的进球只有1.76),他们在最后时刻从登贝里的进球以1:0取胜。在加泰罗尼亚俱乐部悠久的历史上,他们只有3次赢得西甲联赛的10场连胜。

我认为现实在这里被低估了。他们状态很好——他们在过去的19场西甲比赛中只输了一场。他们是一支非常稳定的球队。皇马在所有比赛中连续5场获胜。自信是最高水平的。周中他们在欧冠主场3:1击败了利物浦。皇马最近两场比赛都是在主场进行的——这是一个很大的优势,因为他们不用去任何地方。

毫无疑问,卡里姆·本泽马是皇马最重要的球员,他现在状态很好——他在最近6场西甲比赛中至少打进了1球。

皇马在马德里是很难被击败的——他们在过去90场主场西甲比赛中只输了12场,我不认为他们在这里处于劣势。我认为Real对她没什么好处,所以+0.5加上这样的几率看起来是很好的决定。

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