I had Häcken -2.5 last week at home, and it was very unfortunate that it did not win as Häcken was exactly as superior as expected, and led at halftime by 2 goals.

There is very little that has changed since last week, except that TNS still are in the middle of their preseason far away from match fitness, and also Häcken striker Traore is unlikely to feature as he is targeted by Sheffield United. Romeo and Hammar and doubts, but Häcken can field a very strong lineup.

Of course there is no need for Häcken to win this at all to progress, but the class difference is so massive that they will, and even with some likely rotation they have the better players in better form to score 3-4 goals.

To keep this short I just add the preview of the first leg below.

Good luck, my estimation is 0-3

***********

Dear friends,

I do not want to sound overly self-confident and arrogant, but Häcken will win this one by +4 goals tonight in Göteborg.

Why so?

The key elements are the absolute class difference, Häcken would win the Welsh league without losing a game, and the fact that Häcken are in the middle of the season while The New Saints are still more or less in a holiday mood.

It is true that the New Saints have played a few friendlies and "prepared" for the Champions league fixtures, but I have personally seen the clubs from Britain in July several times and the players themselves are out of form, and they all approach their away games with a 0-0 and time killing attitude, with as much violence and aggression needed as possible.

Ok, this was not a nice thing to say, and there is a hint of professionalism in the current New Saints squad who have a player transfermarket value of roughly 2 million euros.

There is in fact one player to look for at the New Saints side, as the Scottish striker Declan McManus has scored freely in his latest games. Yet, I doubt that he would not make it even to the bench of Häcken, and unfortunately there is a big gap in class behind him.

If this match was played in October or February I might give the New Saints some chance to challenge, now it is just a matter of time when Häcken score their goals, and as this is the first leg and Häcken are busy with their local fixtures I am sure they want - and will - score enough goals to make the 2nd leg only a formality and a chance to rotate their squad strongly.

5-0 is my estimation for this, a goal by visitors would be a big surprise.

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亲爱的朋友们,

我不想听起来过于自信和傲慢，但Häcken将赢得这场比赛+4球今晚在Göteborg。

为什么如此?

关键的因素是绝对的阶级差异，Häcken将在不输一场比赛的情况下赢得威尔士联赛，而且Häcken正处于赛季中期，而新圣徒或多或少还在度假。

的确，新圣徒踢了几场友谊赛，并为欧冠赛程做了“准备”，但我个人在7月份看过几次来自英国的俱乐部，球员们自己也状态不佳，他们都以0-0和浪费时间的态度对待客场比赛，尽可能多地使用暴力和侵略性。

好吧，这不是一件好事，而且目前新圣徒队的球员转会市场价值约为200万欧元，这暗示了他们的职业精神。

事实上，新圣徒队有一名球员值得期待，苏格兰前锋德克兰·麦克马纳斯在最近的比赛中进球自由。然而，我怀疑他甚至不能进入Häcken的替补席，不幸的是，在他身后有一个很大的班级差距。

如果这场比赛是在10月或2月进行，我可能会给新圣徒一些挑战的机会，现在Häcken进球只是时间问题，因为这是首回合，Häcken忙于他们的本地赛程，我相信他们希望——也将会——打进足够多的进球，使第二回合只是一个形式，并有机会轮换他们的阵容。

5比0是我的估计，如果客队进球，那将是一个巨大的惊喜。