In my opinion AIK have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

AIK have big mental advantage before this game as they won 5 of last 6 matches against Varberg.

I see huge difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Varberg finished last season on 14th place. AIK finished last two seasons in top5.

Unfortunately, so far both teams are in very bad place in league table. Varberg is on last position with 8 points, AIK have two points more and is two places above them.

If You look on the bigger picture, AIK played better than their results shows. They scored 12 goals in 14 matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 19.2. They conceded 19 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 18.2 (only 4 teams in whole league have lower number in that department). On the other hand Varberg is one of the worst team in both departments.

AIK board made big reaction as they signed new coach Henning Berg. He had debut 9 days ago at home against strong Hacken (leader of the table). Despite the loss, that was very positive performance from AIK - first half of the game was great, that was probably their best 45min in current season. Berg had extra 9 days to prepare for today's game and I expect even bigger improvement.

AIK in overall is much better team, now they have new high quality coach and I expect big raise in the table for them. Today opponents are perfect to break bad streak against and record first win with new boss on the bench.

我认为AIK在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。

AIK在这场比赛之前有很大的心理优势，因为他们在过去6场对瓦尔伯格的比赛中赢了5场。

我看到了两支球队在质量、潜力和雄心方面的巨大差异。瓦尔伯格上赛季排名第14位。AIK前两个赛季都排在前5名。

不幸的是，到目前为止，这两支球队在联赛中的排名都很糟糕。瓦尔伯格以8分排在最后，AIK多2分，比他们高两个名次。

如果你从更大的角度来看，AIK的表现比他们的结果要好。他们在14场比赛中进了12球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进19.2球。他们丢了19个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢18.2个球(全联盟只有4支球队的预期丢球数比他们少)。另一方面，瓦尔伯格是两个部门中最差的球队之一。

AIK董事会在签下新教练亨宁·伯格后做出了很大的反应。9天前，他在主场对阵强大的哈肯(积分榜领头羊)的比赛中首次亮相。尽管输球了，但是AIK的上半场表现非常好，这可能是他们本赛季最好的45分钟。伯格有额外的9天来准备今天的比赛，我希望他能有更大的进步。

总的来说，AIK是一支更好的球队，现在他们有了新的高水平教练，我希望他们在积分榜上有很大的提升。今天的对手是完美的打破坏的连败和记录的第一场胜利，新老板坐在替补席上。