Big fight to get promotion!Who will win?
2021-04-09

Przem

外籍分析师

英冠

04/10 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Reading have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match.

Both teams are involved in fight to get promotion into Premier League. Only 6 matches left and Watford is in very safe place - they are on second position (automatic promotion) and 9 points above third place. For sure they will finish in top6 and for them this is not 'must win' match. Without any shadow of doubt in current situation draw is a great result. On the other hand Reading is at 6th place (play off zone), but only one point above 7th Bournemouth, so for sure they have huge motivation to get something here.

Of course, Watford run of form looks good on paper as they went unbeaten in last 7 matches in a row and they recorded 6 wins in the process, but in 5 of those wins they played against teams from bottom half of the table.. Looks like their form dropped in last days. In last home match they played against second-worst team in league Wednesday and they needed own goal to grab a win, they didn't looked as a better team there (expected goals scored for Watford 1.10, for Sheffield 1.03). In last round draw on away against Boro, but once again Watford doesn't looked convincing (expected goals scored for Watford 0.60, for Boro 0.50).

On the other hand Reading after run of some poor results in last round recorded 3:1 win at home against Derby and that should give them a lot of confidence, morale in team is on good level. Reading is very hard to break on away - they didn't lost in 15 of 20 away matches in current season.

Reading is better team in some aspects of the game in current season. They have more shots on target per game, they created and missed more big chances to score, they have more successful tackles per match or they have more accurate passes per game.

I expect really hard game for Watford here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,雷丁在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少进一分。

两支球队都在为晋级英超而战。只剩下6场比赛了,沃特福德处于非常安全的位置——他们排在第二位(自动晋级),比第三名高出9分。他们肯定会以前6名结束比赛,对他们来说这不是“必须赢”的比赛。毫无疑问,在当前形势下抽签是一个伟大的结果。另一方面,雷丁排名第六(在区域外比赛),但只比伯恩茅斯第七名高出一分,所以可以肯定的是,他们有巨大的动力在这里取得一些成绩。

当然,沃特福德的状态看起来不错,他们在过去的7场比赛中保持不败,并取得了6场胜利,但其中5场胜利是对阵来自积分榜下半的球队。看起来他们最近的状态不太好。在上一场主场比赛中,他们对阵的是联盟第二差的球队,他们需要乌拉球来赢得胜利,他们看起来并没有表现得更好(沃特福德1.10的预期进球,谢菲尔德1.03的预期进球)。在上一轮战平米堡的比赛中,沃特福德再一次显得不那么有说服力(沃特福德的预期进球是0.60,米堡0.50)。

另一方面,雷丁在上一轮主场3:1战胜德比的比赛中表现不佳,这应该给了他们很多信心,球队的士气处于良好水平。雷丁在客场很难突破,他们在本赛季的20场客场比赛中只输了5场。

雷丁在本赛季的某些方面是更好的球队。他们每场比赛都有更多的射门机会,他们创造和错失了更多的进球机会,他们每场比赛都有更多成功的抢断或者更准确的传球。

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