A fine match to bet on! $$$
2023-06-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

冰岛超

06/30 03:15

已完赛

斯塔尔南
1:0
哈夫纳夫约杜尔
解读理由:

Stjarnan Gardabaer VS Hafnarfjordur



Stjarnan welcome Hafnarfjodur at Stjornuvollur in Gardabaer for this Icelandic Besta Deild Karla round 13 clash Friday morning Beijing time. This league is of somewhat low-level by European standards – even worse than the Finnish Veikkausliiga. However, most importantly we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity. Stjarnan have been a very big disappointment so far this season. They currently occupy the 11th place in this league with a total of 12 clubs. They have a pathetic 11 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 13.19. Last season they finished in 6th place with 31 points. Indeed, here we have a rare situation where a team that has been unlucky in terms of xPTS are still overvalued by the bookies. Yes, Stjarnan do have potential to improve significantly - in all areas of the game - but it seems that the bookies give this factor too much emphasis going into this match. Hafarfjordur have been a very positive surprise this season and have massively improved from last season. The biggest improvement they have achieved on offense. They attack very well as a team and the midfielders actively take part in attacking. Sometimes even the defenders are able to create scoring chances! Indeed, their offensive structure and confidence have been excellent. They have netted the ball 26 times for - this is just four goals less than Vikingur Reykjavik who currently top the standings. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 24.03. The hosts have scored 19 goals in this league so far. The visitors do have an edge in this area of the game.

In terms of defensive quality the teams are more or less equal with the expected lineups. Hafnarfjordur have allowed 21 goals and the hosts 20 goals. As a whole the visitors are a little better at the moment. Despite the fact that the home advantage in this league is smaller than in many other European leagues the hosts are slim favorites here. Indeed, we must not forget their potential. The current odds of around 2.15 on them to win on the betting market are definitely too low and we will bet on the visitors with the +0.5 goals handicap. However, in terms of players total market value, according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com the visitors are a slightly bigger team. Their squad is valued at 1.9 million euros. Stjarnan's players have a total market value of around 1.7 million. The market values are a relatively good indicator of the teams' level on the pitch. The visitors have not lost any of their latest five games in Besta Deild Karla and according to my sources they have a great team spirit. As for the hosts, the situation is the opposite.. They have just one of their latest six games in all competitions. In their most recent game they were not bad but still lost to Vikingur 0-2 away from home. Hafnarfjordur, on the other hand, easily swept past Fram at home in their most recent game. 4-0 was the final score and the hosts recorded 12 goal attempts – the visitors managed just three. Moreover, Hafanrfjodur dominated the shots on goal statistics – 6-1 to be precise.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Stjarnan Gardabaer VS Hafnarfjordur



北京时间周五早上,在加尔达贝尔的斯特约努沃尔,斯特加南欢迎哈夫纳夫约杜尔参加冰岛贝斯塔-德-卡拉的第13轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平有些低,甚至比芬兰的维卡斯利加还要低。然而,最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有趣的赌博机会。本赛季到目前为止,斯贾尔南一直让我非常失望。他们目前在这个联赛中排名第11位,共有12家俱乐部。他们的账户只有可怜的11分。但是,它们的期望值点数(xPTS)是13.19。上赛季他们以31分排名第六。事实上,我们在这里遇到了一个罕见的情况,即一支在xPTS方面不走运的球队仍然被博彩公司高估了。是的,斯贾尔南在比赛的各个方面都有很大的进步潜力,但似乎博彩公司在这场比赛中过于强调了这一点。哈法峡湾本赛季是一个非常积极的惊喜,比上赛季有了很大的进步。他们在进攻端取得的最大进步。他们作为一个团队进攻非常出色,中场球员积极参与进攻。有时候连防守球员都能创造得分机会!事实上,他们的进攻结构和信心都非常出色。他们一共打进26球,只比目前排名第一的雷克雅未克少进4球。他们的预期进球数(xG)是24.03。到目前为止,东道主已经在联赛中打入19球。客队在比赛的这方面确实有优势。

在防守质量方面,球队或多或少与预期的阵容持平。哈夫纳峡湾丢了21球,东道主丢了20球。总的说来,客队现在稍微好些了。尽管这个联赛的主场优势比许多其他欧洲联赛都要小,但东道主在这里的胜算很小。的确,我们不能忘记它们的潜力。目前在博彩市场上,他们赢球的赔率约为2.15,这显然太低了,我们将以+0.5个进球的赔率下注客队。然而,根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的总市值而言,客队的规模略大。他们的球队价值190万欧元。斯贾尔南的球员总市值约为170万欧元。市场价值是球队在球场上水平的一个相对较好的指标。客队最近五场在贝斯塔-德-卡拉的比赛没有输过一场,据我所知,他们有很强的团队精神。至于东道主,情况正好相反。在最近的六场比赛中,他们只赢了一场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们表现不错,但仍然在客场0-2输给了Vikingur。另一方面,在最近的一场比赛中,哈夫纳峡湾在主场轻松击败了弗拉姆。4比0是最终比分,东道主有12次进球尝试,而客队只有3次。此外,在进球统计数据上,哈凡夫若杜尔占据了主导地位——准确地说是6比1。

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