Montreal Impact vs Nashville SC

Montreal Impact welcome Nashville SC at Saputo Stadium  for this MLS battle Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of football in MLS has improved significantly during the past 10 or so years. Teams from both USA and Canada play in this league. The hosts are a Canadian team and the visitors come from the US. Most teams play entertaining, aggressive and offensive football – at least in the regular season games. Entertaining the crowd is considered important in the US – the same is true in the NBA and NHL (ice-hockey). There are many experienced, older ex-star players from the top European leagues playing and many young and talented younger players mainly from South America playing in this league. In this cup there are teams from lower level participating as well. Football fans as us serious football bettors can expect good entertainment here as well! The goal expectancy here is bigger than the betting market estimates. The probability of over 2.5 goals to be scored is 55%. The main rationale behind this analysis is the fact that Montreal have a leaky defense. Indeed, they have allowed 27 goals in the MLS so far this season. This is the third-highest number in the MLS. Nashville, on the other hand, are one of the best teams offensively in MLS. They have netted the ball 28 times this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is even higher – 32.12 to be precise. 

Nashville have started the season well! They currently occupy the 2nd place in the MLS Eastern Conference where a total of 15 teams play. They have grabbed 35 points so far this season. Their defense has been great so far, indeed, they have allowed only 13 goals in the MLS. This is clearly the smallest number in this conference. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is, however, a little bigger – 14.43. goals. In this area of the game they have a very clear edge over the hosts. Offensively the difference between the teams is somewhat smaller. The hosts have scored 19 goals in MLS this season. I want to highlight that Montreal have not won any of the latest 6 games between the two teams! Nashville have emerged victorious 4 times in these six matches. Furthermore, according to a well-known and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Nashville's squad is valued significantly higher than that of Montreal! Indeed, the hosts players are valued at close to 40 million euros which is still too low. At least four players are undervalued. The hosts' players have a total market value of around 27 million. Nashville have been in fine form lately and have not lost any of their latest four games. Moreover, in the MLS they have not suffered a defeat in any of their most recent 6 games! The hosts are in the 9th place with 22 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 19.12. In their most recent game they beat Minnesota 4-0 at home but the visitors, in fact, recorded a little more in xG – 1.43 – 1.29. At home Montreal have been strong this season but the visitors are still clear favorites with a 45% chance of winning today!

蒙特利尔冲击队vs纳什维尔南卡队

北京时间周四上午，蒙特利尔冲击队在萨普托体育场欢迎纳什维尔SC队参加这场大联盟之战。在过去的十多年里，美国职业足球大联盟的足球水平有了显著的提高。美国和加拿大的球队都参加这个联赛。东道主是加拿大队，客队来自美国。大多数球队踢的是娱乐性强、进攻性强的足球——至少在常规赛中是这样。娱乐观众在美国被认为是很重要的，在NBA和NHL(冰球)中也是如此。在这个联赛中，有许多来自欧洲顶级联赛的经验丰富的老球员，也有许多年轻而有才华的年轻球员，主要来自南美。在本届杯赛中，也有来自较低水平的球队参加。球迷们，我们这些认真的足球投注者，也可以期待在这里得到很好的娱乐!这里的进球预期比博彩市场估计的要大。进球超过2.5个的概率是55%。这一分析背后的主要理由是蒙特利尔的防守存在漏洞。事实上，本赛季到目前为止，他们已经在美国职业大联盟中丢了27个球。这是美国职业棒球大联盟第三高的数字。另一方面，纳什维尔队是美国职业足球大联盟中进攻最好的球队之一。本赛季他们打进了28球，但是他们的期望进球数(xG)更高——准确地说是32.12。

纳什维尔本赛季开局不错!他们目前在共有15支球队参加的美国职业足球大联盟东部联盟中排名第二。本赛季到目前为止，他们已经拿到了35分。到目前为止，他们的防守一直很好，事实上，他们在大联盟中只丢了13个球。这显然是本次会议中人数最少的。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)要大一些，为14.43。的目标。在比赛的这个方面，他们比东道主有非常明显的优势。在进攻端，两队之间的差距要小一些。东道主本赛季在美国职业足球大联盟(MLS)打进19球。我想强调的是，蒙特利尔在两队最近的6场比赛中没有赢过一场!纳什维尔在这六场比赛中四次获胜。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，纳什维尔队的价值远高于蒙特利尔队!事实上，东道主球员的身价接近4000万欧元，这仍然太低了。至少有四位球员被低估了。东道主球员的总市值约为2700万美元。纳什维尔队最近状态很好，最近四场比赛都没有输过。此外，在美国职业大联盟，他们在最近的6场比赛中没有输过一场!东道主以22分排名第9，但他们的预期积分(xPTS)只有19.12分。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以4比0击败了森林狼队，但事实上，客队的战绩比他们多一点，比分是1.43比1.29。在主场，蒙特利尔本赛季表现强劲，但客队今天仍有45%的获胜机会。