It's a late call from me, but odds on Alaves slashed down by 0.20 at big Asian markets in last 20 minutes and I fully agree with this trend. I don't see Celta as a favorite of this match.

Alaves coming for this match with best possible line up. On the other hand Celta is without two key players - first goalkeeper Ruben Blanco and central defender Nestor Araujo. In overall Celta have poor defense - they conceded at least one goal in 22 of 28 league matches (43 in total). Today problem should be even bigger.

For me is very hard to see Celta as a favorite - they won only 2 of last 13 matches. Alaves in last round lost 0:1 on away against leader of the table Atletico, but they played very well and deserved for something there - expected goals scored for Alaves 1.23, for Atletico 0.54.

Alaves as well is very solid team at home - they lost only 16 of last 62 home La Liga matches. On the other hand Celta recorded only 2 wins in 14 away matches in current season.

Alaves have amazing record at home against Celta in La Liga. They didn't lost in last 12 league matches against them!

但在过去20分钟里，阿拉维斯的指数大幅下跌0.20，我完全同意这一趋势。我不认为塞尔塔是这场比赛的宠儿。

阿拉维斯带着最好的阵容来参加这场比赛。另一方面，塞尔塔缺少两名关键球员——第一门将布兰科和中后卫内斯托尔·阿劳霍。总的来说，塞尔塔的防守很差——他们在28场联赛的22场比赛中至少丢了一个球。今天的问题应该更大。

对我来说，塞尔塔很难被看好，他们在过去13场比赛中只赢了2场。在上一轮比赛中，阿拉维斯0:1输给了积分榜第一的马竞，但是他们表现得很好，他们应该得到一些东西——阿拉维斯的预期进球是1.23，马竞是0.54。

阿拉维斯在主场也是一支非常稳固的球队——他们在西甲主场的62场比赛中只输了16场。另一方面，塞尔塔在本赛季的14场客场比赛中只有2胜。

阿拉维斯在西甲主场对阵塞尔塔的比赛中有着惊人的记录。他们在过去的12场联赛中都没有输过!