Lorient vs Strasbourg

Lorient and Strasbourg lock horns in this French Ligue 1 round 38 clash at Stade du Moustoir early Sunday mmorning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. This league is of pretty high level by European standards – the fifth-best in my opinion. Football fans and us football bettors can expect an entertaining or good-level match here! Neither team have anything to play for left this season. In matches like this the home team is usually pretty strong as almost all teams in big football countries want to thank their fans for the support throughout the season and at least fight hard – and not lose the last game of the season. In these kinds of games the goal expectancy is also a little higher than in a ”normal” midseason game. Indeed, I see this match as more high-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of over 2.5 goals to be scored is 64%. When the teams last played against each other it was a 1-1 draw last November. A somewhat balanced match is on the cards here as well.I must strongly disagree with the biggest, often pretty smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers who see Hillerod only as the favorites here and offer them odds of around 2.30 to take all three points here at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time . However, I do expect the odds on Lorient to be cut before the kickoff as sharo money is expected to pile up on them. The hosts should be narrow favorites here with the expected lineups. Both teams' managers are expected to do some squad rotation here. The league table does not reflect the teams pure class here. Let's take a closer look..

Lorient currently occupy the 10th place in the standings. They have grabbed a respectable 52 points so far this season. They have performed better than anyone probably expected before the season started. Their number of expected points, however, is only 47.12. It is very rare to find too high odds on a team that have been lucky in terms of expected points but this can happen. The main reason for this is probably the fact that the bookies just keep on overestimating Strasbourg. The hosts have netted the ball a total of 52 times this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is clearly lower. Furthermore, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is about six goals higher than the actual number of 52. Strasbourg have been a big disappointment this season and currently in 15th place. Yes, they have the potential to be better but I do not expect them to improve at this point of the season.. Yes, they would have deserved many more points in terms of xPTS but the bookies seem to give this factor too much emphasis here. I also do not trust their coach to motivate the players for an away game here.. According to my sources their team spirit is also far from great. Neither team have been in particularly good form recently and have not taken a win in their latest two games. Lorient were unlucky in their most recent game losing to Clermont 0-2 away from home despite recording more in xG -1.42-1.09.

洛里昂vs斯特拉斯堡

北京时间周日凌晨，洛里昂和斯特拉斯堡将在穆斯托尔体育场进行法甲联赛第38轮的比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平相当高，在我看来是排名第五的。足球迷和我们的足球投注者可以期待一场有趣或高水平的比赛!这两支球队本赛季都没有什么可争取的了。在这样的比赛中，主队通常都很强大，因为几乎所有足球大国的球队都想感谢他们的球迷整个赛季的支持，至少要努力战斗——不要输掉赛季的最后一场比赛。在这种类型的比赛中，进球预期也比“正常”的赛季中期比赛要高一些。事实上，我认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的比赛得分更高。进球超过2.5个的概率是64%。两队上一次交手是在去年11月，双方1-1战平。这也是一场平衡的比赛。我必须强烈反对那些最大的，通常是相当聪明的博彩公司，他们接受客户的最大赌注，这些客户只把希勒罗德视为最受欢迎的人，并在北京时间周五晚上撰写这篇预告时，为他们提供2.30左右的赔率来获得所有三分。然而，我确实希望洛里昂的赔率在开球前被削减，因为预计会有大量的钱堆积在他们身上。根据预期的阵容，东道主应该是微弱的热门。两支球队的主教练都希望在这里进行一些阵容轮换。联赛排名并不能完全反映球队的实力。让我们仔细看看……

洛里昂目前排名第十。本赛季到目前为止，他们已经拿到了52分。他们的表现可能比赛季开始前任何人预期的都要好。然而，他们的期望值只有47.12分。从预期积分的角度来看，在一支幸运的球队身上找到过高的赔率是非常罕见的，但这是可能发生的。造成这种情况的主要原因可能是博彩公司一直高估了斯特拉斯堡。东道主本赛季共取得52次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)明显较低。此外，他们的预期进球数(xGA)比实际的52球高出6个。斯特拉斯堡本赛季非常令人失望，目前排名第15位。是的，他们有潜力变得更好，但我不期望他们在这个赛季的这个时候有所提高。是的，他们本应该得到更多的分数，但博彩公司似乎在这里过于强调这个因素。我也不相信他们的教练能在客场比赛中激励球员。据我所知，他们的团队精神也很差。这两支球队最近的状态都不是特别好，最近两场比赛都没有取得胜利。洛里昂在最近一场客场0-2负于克莱蒙的比赛中运气不佳，尽管他们在xG -1.42-1.09的战绩更高。