Pacos de Ferreira vs Rio Ave

Pacos de Ferreira welcome Rio Ave for this Liga Portugal round 33 battle at Estádio da Capital do Móvel early Monday night Beijing time. This league is not among the top-4 leagues in the world but is still of good level by European standards. However, the differences between the top-4 teams – Benfica, Porto, Sporting CP and Braga and the rest is unfortunately substantial this season. This is nothing new in Portugal.. My fans and I have very well betting on this league and I see yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! I will also post a preview on two other very interesting Liga Portugal matches soon. There is also a big difference in class between the mediocre teams and the two rock-bottom teams! Rio Ave are currently in the 12th place in this league with a total of 18 teams. They have netted the ball 33 times in this league so far this season. This is a pretty good number – for example Arouca, currently in 5th place with 51 points have scored just one more goal than Rio Ave. The visitors have 39 points in the pocket but would have deserved a little more in terms of expected points (xPTS) - 41.21 to be precise. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 36.02. They do have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. The hosts' season has been a catastrophe – they are currently the rock bottom team in Liga Portugal. Their offense lacks basically everything needed to succeed at this level. Their offensive structure is poor and the strikers are not creative enough. Their attacks are often way too predictable which makes it easy for the opponent to defend successfully.. Furthermore, they should pass the ball much more accurately near the opponent's goal. The midifielders should also be more active in both attacking and defending. They have scored just 23 goals this season – this is clearly the lowest number in Liga Portugal! Their defense, too, has lacked structure and they have allowed a whopping 58 goals!

The hosts have just 20 points to their account. All teams have just one or two games left to play in the regular season. Considering the fact that if points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker the hosts do not have a chance to chance themselves anymore. Indeed, they will be relegated to Liga Portugal 2 for next season  -what a disappointment! Their number of (xPTS) is higher than the actual 20 - 24.12 and they should have been able to play much better but it is now all over for them. This is why I do not give their potential or the fact that they have been unlucky in terms of xPTS much emphasis. Some of their players have looked lazy – even unmotivated and/or depressed in many games recently. Moreover, according to my sources their team spirit is bad as well. I also do not trust their coach in terms of being able to create good tactics for this game – or as a leader to motivate the players.

Yes, the home advantage is still there but it is much smaller than on average in this league. Pacos Ferreira have been abysmal at home and have won just two of the 16 matches at their stadium. Their goal difference at home is hilariously bad – 10:32! Their fans have understandably been disappointed with the team. I do not expect the atmosphere to be good at Estádio da Capital do Móvel.. The odds are probably affected by the fact that Pacos de Ferreira did beat Rio Ave when the teams last locked horns in January – this time at Estadio do Rio Ave in Vila do Conde. Indeed, the visitors were very lucky to escape with a 1-0 win. The hosts had close to 70% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (16-5), shots on and off goal, total passes, completed passes, attcs and especially dangerous attacks – 72-26! Pacos de Ferreira have been in bad form recently losing four of their latest five games. They have not scored a single goal in the most recent two matches. In their most recent match they faced Chaves away from home and lost 0-2. The hosts were clearly the better team in this game and deserved the win. Chaves had 64% ball possession and generated 1.93 in xG – the visitors managed just 0.59.

Before getting beaten by Chaves they got humiliated by Sporting CP losing 0-4 at home! They did not record any shots on goal! Furthermore, the visitors - who are of course a very strong team - generated 2.98 in xG – Pacos de Ferreira's number was just 0.19. Rio Ave have, on the other hand, have been in pretty good form lately and have lost just two of their most recent  six gamesc - against much better  teams than poor Pacos de Ferreira. In their most recent match Rio Ave were defeated at home by Vitoria Guimaraes - the final score was 0-1. However, this loss does not worry me ahead of today's match.. Vitoria Guimaraes are a dangerous team, currently in 6th place in the league table. However, Rio Ave would have deserved at least a point as they had more ball possession, goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also created more in xG 1.02-0.78. The normally pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers have made a mistake here offering the hosts odds of around 2.30 to win. With the expected lineups, despite having much to play for I see the visitors as narrow favorites here. Their season has been good and the team spirit seems to be good as well!  My fans and I have a very good chance of winning with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap on Rio Ave!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

帕科斯·德·费雷拉vs里约大道

北京时间周一晚，帕科斯·德·费雷拉将在主场Estádio da Capital do Móvel欢迎里约大道参加葡萄牙队第33轮比赛。这个联赛不是世界前四名，但按照欧洲的标准，仍然是一个不错的水平。然而，不幸的是，本菲卡、波尔图、CP竞技和布拉加等前四名球队在本赛季的差距很大。这在葡萄牙并不新鲜。我和我的球迷都很看好这个联赛，我看到了另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我也将很快发布另外两场非常有趣的葡萄牙联赛的预演。平庸的球队和两支垫底的球队在级别上也有很大的不同!里约大道目前在这个联赛中排名第12位，共有18支球队。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中取得了33次进球。这是一个相当不错的数字——例如，目前排名第五的阿鲁卡队以51分的成绩只比里约大道队多进了一个球。客队目前已获得39分，但从预期积分(41.21分)来看，他们本应得到更多的积分。他们的预期进球数(xG)是36.02。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。东道主这个赛季是一场灾难——他们目前是葡萄牙联赛中垫底的球队。他们的进攻基本上缺乏在这个级别取得成功所需要的一切。他们的进攻结构很差，前锋也没有足够的创造力。他们的攻击通常太容易预测，这使得对手很容易成功防守。此外，他们应该在对手的球门附近更准确地传球。中场球员在进攻和防守上也应该更加积极。他们本赛季只进了23个球——这显然是葡萄牙联赛的最低数字!他们的防守也缺乏结构，他们丢了58个球!

东道主的账户上只有20分。所有球队在常规赛中只剩下一到两场比赛。考虑到如果在比赛结束时得分相等，正面交锋将是决胜局，东道主没有机会再冒险了。事实上，他们下赛季将被降级到葡萄牙乙级联赛——多么令人失望啊!他们的分数比实际的20分要高，24.12分，他们本可以打得更好，但现在一切都结束了。这就是为什么我没有强调他们的潜力，也没有强调他们在xPTS方面不走运的事实。在最近的许多比赛中，他们的一些球员看起来很懒——甚至没有动力和/或沮丧。此外，根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神也很差。我也不相信他们的教练能够为这场比赛创造好的战术，或者作为一个领导者激励球员。

是的，主场优势仍然存在，但比这个联赛的平均水平要小得多。帕科斯·费雷拉在主场表现糟糕，在主场的16场比赛中只赢了两场。他们在主场的净胜球差得惊人——10:32!他们的球迷对球队感到失望是可以理解的。我不期望气氛会好Estádio da Capital做Móvel..这可能是因为帕科斯-德-费雷拉在今年1月两队的最后一次交锋中击败了里约大道，而这次是在孔德维拉的里约大道球场。事实上，客队非常幸运地以1-0取胜。主队的控球率接近70%，并且有更多的进球尝试(16-5)，射门次数，射门次数，传球次数，完成传球次数，进攻次数，尤其是危险的进攻次数——72-26!帕科斯-德-费雷拉最近状态不佳，在最近的五场比赛中输掉了四场。在最近的两场比赛中，他们一球未进。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场面对查韦斯，以0比2输掉了比赛。东道主显然在这场比赛中表现更好，应该赢得这场比赛。查韦斯有64%的控球率，全场进球1.93，而客队只有0.59。

在被查韦斯击败之前，他们在主场0-4输给了马德里竞技。他们没有任何射门记录!此外，客队——当然是一支非常强大的球队——在xG的得分为2.98，而帕科斯·德·费雷拉的得分仅为0.19。另一方面，里约Ave最近状态不错，在最近的六场比赛中只输了两场，对手都是比帕科斯·德·费雷拉强得多的球队。在最近的一场比赛中，里约大道在主场被维多利亚·吉马良斯击败，最终比分为0-1。不过，这损失我并不担心啊

今天比赛的头条……维多利亚吉马良斯是一支危险的球队，目前在联赛排名第六。然而，里约大道至少应该得到一分，因为他们有更多的控球率、进球次数、进攻和危险进攻。他们在xg1.02 -0.78中也创造了更多。通常非常精明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注，但他们在这里犯了一个错误，给东道主提供了2.30左右的赔率。随着预期的阵容，尽管有很多比赛，我认为客队在这里是狭窄的热门。他们这个赛季表现很好，团队精神似乎也很好!我的球迷和我有很大的机会在里约大道上赢得+0.5的进球障碍!