Amazing value for an excellent game! 欧协联 尼斯VS巴塞尔
2023-04-20

Ricards

外籍分析师

欧协联

04/21 03:00

已完赛

尼斯
1:0
巴塞尔
解读理由:

On Thursday night, all 4 Europa Conference League's quarterfinal 2nd legs are going to happen. One game will be in France where the local Nice is going to host Basel. In the 1st game, the winner wasn't decided because the match ended at 2:2. Nice controlled the ball more (61% to 39%) but Basel had 1 more shot on target (5 to 4) and had a little bit better xG - 1.48 to 1.26. In this game, though, I'm predicting that Nice is going to win.

In April, Nice hasn't shown the best football. On the road in Ligue 1, Nice drew 1:1 against Angers (Nice had an xG of 1.49, and opponents had only 0.91), it was followed by a loss versus Paris Saint-Germain at home (0:2, but Nice had an xG of 1.57 while PSG had 1.16) and Nice lost to Brest over the weekend (0:1). From January 11 to March 16, Nice had 8 wins and 4 draws. If we look at Conference League's xG, Nice is expected to score 2.15 goals at home and concede 1.25.

Basel is also not playing very well lately. In Switzerland, the team has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 games. The only win was over the worst team in the Switzerland championship. Overall this season, Basel has lost 8 games in Switzerland but 6 of them have been on the road. Per Conference League's xG, Basel is expected to score 1.41 goals on the road and concede 1.58.

For Nice in this game, Nicolas Pepe, Youcef Atal and Sofiane Diop are expected to be out. As for Basel, Sergio Lopez won't play because of too many yellow cards while the goalkeeper Marwin Hitz should be back after missing last weekend's game due to illness.

While the 1st game ended with a draw, I'm expecting Nice to win this one. The team has been great at home this year as they have lost only 1 game in 2023 in front of their fans, and that was versus PSG where Nice had a better xG. Basel has played 18 times against French teams and they have lost 9 of those games.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四晚上,所有4个欧联杯四分之一决赛第二回合将发生。其中一场比赛将在法国尼斯主场迎战巴塞尔。在第一场比赛中,由于比赛以2:2结束,胜负未定。尼斯控球更多(61%比39%),但巴塞尔射门次数多1次(5比4),xG略好一点——1.48比1.26。不过,在这场比赛中,我预测尼斯队会赢。

今年4月,尼斯没有展现出最好的足球。在法甲客场,尼斯1:1战平了昂热队(尼斯的xG为1.49,对手的xG为0.91),随后在主场输给了巴黎圣日耳曼队(0:2,但尼斯的xG为1.57,巴黎为1.16),上周末又输给了布雷斯特队(0:1)。从1月11日到3月16日,尼斯8胜4平。如果我们看一下联盟的xG,尼斯预计将在主场打入2.15球,丢1.25球。

巴塞尔最近的表现也不太好。在瑞士,球队在最近的5场比赛中取得了1胜2平2负的成绩。唯一的胜利是在瑞士锦标赛中击败最差的球队。本赛季,巴塞尔在瑞士输掉了8场比赛,但其中6场是客场比赛。根据联盟的xG,巴塞尔预计将在客场打入1.41球,失1.58球。

在这场比赛中,尼斯队的佩佩、阿塔尔和迪奥普预计将缺阵。至于巴塞尔,塞尔吉奥·洛佩斯将因黄牌过多而缺席比赛,而守门员马尔文·希茨将在上周末因病缺席比赛后复出。

虽然第一场比赛以平局结束,但我希望尼斯能赢得这场比赛。这支球队今年在主场表现出色,因为他们在2023年只在球迷面前输了一场比赛,那是对阵PSG,尼斯有更好的xG。巴塞尔与法国队交手18次,输掉了9场。

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