Crawley vs Colchester

Crawley welcome Colchester for this English League Two round 43 at The People’s Pension Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The season is gradually coming to an end – in May to be precise. The stakes are high and the motivation factor has now become one of the key elements in profitable football betting! Here the stakes are extremely high and both teams are massively motivativated. Both teams are at risk of being relegated to the fifth tier for next season. This is the fourth-highest level of English football and is undoubtedly the best 4th tier in the world! Individually very skilled players are somewhat rare in this league and most teams play pretty straight-forward, usually quite physical football. Players are expected to fight for every ball. My fans and I have reached very strong results for a long time now betting in this league and I have found yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! The biggest, often pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the visitors only as narrow favorites - offering them odds of around 2.65 to win. However, I would expect the odds on Colchester to come down even more before the match starts. I must disagree with the betting market here! Based on my strongly data-based, sophisticated in-depth analysis the visitors are solid favorites with a 44% chance of taking all three points. Colchester are a much stronger team than the league table would suggest! Let's take a closer look...

Crawley currently occupy the 22th place in this league with a total of 24 clubs. The teams who finish 23th and relegated. Crawley have just 41 points to their account, two more than Hartlepool in 23th place. Their offense has been okay this season – they have netted the ball 45 times in League Two so far. Even so, their number of expected goals is just 42.11. Their defense, on the other hand, is extremely leaky! It lacks structure, skill and the defenders make too many silly mistakes. The defenders should also take part in defending more actively. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGa) is 73.45. Colchester have netted the ball 40 times so far but their xG is 43.12 and have improved in this area of the game recently. They could score even more goals per game than they have scored so far. The potential is there. They have 45 points in their pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 49.34. A win here would almost certainly secure a place in this league for next season. However, even a point would be good.. A draw would not be a bad result for Crawley either but I do expect them to take some risks if the score is level late in the second half.. Hartlepool (23th) are chasing them hard and are in pretty good form now.. Colchester can be deadly on counter attacks but should also have a good chance to stop the hosts' possible late push for the win. Indeed, their defense has been solid and they have allowed just 47 goals – this is less than Mansfield, in 7th place, have allowed – 50 that is.

Colchester are the bigger team here in terms of players total market value according to a well-respected and famous German website, Transfermarkt.com and are in much better form than Crawley.! They have not lost any of their latest six games and are high in confidence. In their most recent match they beat Salford, currently in 8th place, away from home as big underdogs, priced around 4.50 to win by the bookies. Another example of the bookies underestimating Colchester! They were forced to defend quite a lot but did so brilliantly! I was very impressed by their defensive structure and will to fight! Before this they were extremely good and crushed Crewe (16th place) 4-0 at home proving that they can score goals! They recorded a whopping 19 scoring chances – the visitors had just two. Colchester also created nine shots on goal and recorded 2.02 in xG. Crewe's number was very low – 0.09. Crawley have won just one of their most recent five games and were lucky to beat Tranmere at home three days ago. Indeed the visitors recorded 2.62 in xG – Crawley's number was just 1.43. I believe Crawley would need some luck to win here - the +0.5 goals handicap on Colchester has a big chance of winning!

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北京时间周三凌晨，克劳利将在人民养老球场迎来科尔切斯特队的第43轮英超联赛。这个季节正逐渐接近尾声——确切地说，是在五月。赌注很高，动机因素现在已经成为盈利足球博彩的关键因素之一!这里的赌注非常高，两支球队都非常有动力。这两支球队都有可能在下个赛季降级到第五梯队。这是英格兰足球的第四高水平，毫无疑问是世界上最好的第四梯队!在这个联赛中，个人技术非常高超的球员很少，大多数球队都踢得很直接，通常是身体对抗的足球。球员们要为每一个球而战。我的球迷和我已经取得了非常强劲的结果很长一段时间，现在在这个联赛投注，我已经找到了另一个非常有利可图的投注机会!最大的、通常是相当精明的博彩公司接受顾客的最大赌注，他们认为访客的胜算很小——给他们提供2.65左右的赔率。然而，我预计科尔切斯特的赔率在比赛开始前会下降得更多。我不同意这里的博彩市场!根据我的数据分析，访客是最受欢迎的，有44%的机会获得全部三分。科尔切斯特是一支比积分榜上显示的强得多的球队!让我们仔细看看……

克劳利目前在这个联赛中排名第22位，共有24家俱乐部。排名第23位并降级的球队。克劳利目前只得到41分，比排在第23位的哈特尔普尔多两分。本赛季他们的进攻还不错，到目前为止他们在英乙联赛中有45次进球。即便如此，他们的预期进球数也只有42.11个。另一方面，它们的防御却漏洞百出!它缺乏结构和技术，后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。防守队员也要更积极地参加防守。他们的预期进球(xGa)是73.45。科尔切斯特到目前为止有40次进球，但他们的xG是43.12，最近在这方面有所提高。他们每场比赛都能进比目前更多的球。潜力是存在的。目前他们已经拿到了45分，但是他们的期望分数(xPTS)是49.34分。在这里的一场胜利几乎肯定会确保下赛季的联赛席位。然而，即使是一分也很好……平局对克劳利来说也不是个坏结果，但我希望他们在下半场扳平比分时能冒点险。哈特尔普尔(23名)正在努力追赶他们，现在状态很好。科尔切斯特在反击中可能是致命的，但也应该有很好的机会阻止东道主可能在最后阶段的胜利。事实上，他们的防守很稳固，只丢了47个球——比排名第七的曼斯菲尔德少——丢了50个。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，科尔切斯特在球员总市值方面比克劳利更大，而且他们的状态比克劳利好得多。他们在最近的六场比赛中没有输过一场，信心十足。在最近的一场比赛中，他们客场击败了目前排名第8的索尔福德(Salford)，他们是大冷门，博彩公司开出的胜率约为4.5英镑。又一个赌马公司低估科尔切斯特的例子!他们被迫防守了很多次，但表现得非常出色!他们的防御结构和战斗意志给我留下了深刻的印象!在此之前，他们非常出色，在主场4-0击败了克鲁(第16名)，证明了他们可以进球!他们创造了19次进球机会，而客队只有2次。科尔切斯特也创造了9次射正，全场得分2.02。克鲁的数字非常低，只有0.09。克劳利在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场，三天前他们很幸运地在主场击败了特兰米尔。事实上客队在xG的数据是2.62，而克劳利的数据只有1.43。我相信克劳利需要一些运气才能赢得比赛——科尔切斯特+0.5个进球的劣势有很大的获胜机会!