AS Roma vs Fiorentina

Roma welcome Fiorentina for this Italian Serie A round 18 clash at Stadio Olimpico early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the 4th-best league in the world and football fans have every reason to expect a pretty good-level and entertaining clash! Roma currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with 31 points to their account. Their season as a whole has been a slight disappointment so far.. In the UEFA Europa League they had to fight very hard to qualify for the Play Offs. Roma lost to Real Betis at home and a pretty lowly Bulgarian team Ludogorets away from home. Even my favorite team, Finnish HJK Helsinki, challenged them here in Finland and Roma took a very narrow 2-1 win.. HJK Helsinki are a very small team by Europa League standards. Especially offensively their legendary coach Jose Mourinho, their fans, probably football analysts and I would have expected more from them.. They have netted the ball 21 times so far in Serie A - this is the same number as Salernitana, currently in 16th place have scored.. However, in terms of expected goals (xG) Roma would have deserved more. Fiorentina,too, have scored 21 goals but their xG is 26.12! In this area of the game the teams are more or less equal. Mourinho is known worldwide for his ability to organize his team well – especially defensively. Indeed, Roma have allowed just 16 goals in Serie A so far – the visitors have conceded 22 goals. This number is still less than Inter, in 4th place, have allowed but Mourinho's men do have a small edge in this area of the game. In their most recent match Roma faced Genoa, who play in Serie B, in a Coppa Italia match and did take a narrow 1-0 win at home. They were very clear favorites in this clash, priced around 1.60 to win on the betting market. Mourinho did do some squad rotation in this Coppa Italia (Italian Cup) game but even taking this into account I was not overly convinced by Roma's performance. They did deserve the win creating many more goal attempts and shots on goal but the visitors had their chances as well. Roma had 51% ball possession but Genoa recorded more total passes and completed passes. The number of attacks was 105-93 in Roma's favor. Roma were surprisingly passive at times in this game against a lowly opponent – even by ”Mourinho standards.. Roma has been criticized for their defensive, often even cautious style of play quite a lot in the football media but we must remember that they do not have a top-4 squad in Serie A even on paper!

 Before the Genoa game Roma faced AC Milan away from home and were okay – 2-2 was the final score. Milan were the better team though recording 61% ball possession and many more shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts also recorded more in expected goals (xG) – 1.33-1.06. In Serie A they have won only one of their latest five games. They are, of course, the favorites here but more narrow than the betting market estimates! The smart bet is to go with Fiorentina not losing (+0.5 goals handicap). Fiorentina were very good in their most recent match beating Sampdoria in a Coppa Italia clash at home 1-0. They could easily have taken a more clear win as they dominated the events on the pitch! Fiorentina had 57% ball possession and much more goal attempts (13-4), attacks and dangerous attacks – 66-23. They defended very well indeed – the visitors failed to record a single shot on their goal! I expect them to be cautious in Rome too and the goal expectancy in this match is lower than the bookmakers think. The probability for under 2.5 total goals being scored is 60%.  Before the Sampdoria game they were once again strong and beat Sassuolo 2-1 at home after recording a whopping 3.23 in xG – the visitors' number was 1.63. They are in awesome form and have not lost any of their latest 10 games! Moreover, they have won most of their latest 16 games - losing just one of these 16 matches! This happened last November against a strong team AC Milan 1-2 away from home. The hosts will be missing Darboe, Ibanez and Wijnaldum. Fiorenta, on the other hand, will be without Cabral, Martinez Quarta, and Sottil. Mandragora's situation is unclear at the time of writing this preview Saturday afternoon Beijing time.

GOOD LUCK!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

罗马vs佛罗伦萨

北京时间周一凌晨，罗马欢迎佛罗伦萨参加意甲第18轮在奥林匹克球场的比赛。这是世界上排名第四的联赛，球迷们完全有理由期待一场相当高水平和有趣的比赛!罗马目前以31分排名积分榜第7位。到目前为止，他们整个赛季都有点让人失望。在欧联杯中，他们必须非常努力才能晋级附加赛。罗马在主场输给了皇家贝蒂斯，在客场输给了实力较弱的保加利亚球队卢多戈雷茨。就连我最喜欢的球队芬兰HJK赫尔辛基也在芬兰挑战了他们，罗马以2-1险胜。按照欧洲联赛的标准，赫尔辛基港客队是一支非常小的球队。尤其是在进攻端，他们的传奇教练何塞·穆里尼奥，他们的球迷，可能还有足球分析师，我对他们的期望更高。到目前为止，他们已经在意甲联赛中进球21次，这与目前排名第16位的萨勒尼塔纳的进球次数相同。然而，就预期进球数而言，罗马应该得到更多。佛罗伦萨也打进了21球，但他们的xG是26.12!在比赛的这个方面，两支球队或多或少是平等的。穆里尼奥以其组织球队的能力闻名于世，尤其是在防守端。事实上，罗马到目前为止在意甲只丢了16个球，客队丢了22个球。这个数字仍然低于排名第四的国米，但穆里尼奥的球队在这方面确实有一点优势。在最近的一场意大利杯比赛中，罗马队对阵意乙的热那亚队，并在主场以1-0险胜。在这场比赛中，他们显然是最受欢迎的，在博彩市场上，他们的获胜价格约为1.60欧元。穆里尼奥确实在这场意大利杯的比赛中进行了一些阵容轮换，但即使考虑到这一点，我也不太相信罗马的表现。他们确实值得赢得这场胜利，他们创造了更多的进球尝试和射门，但客队也有机会。罗马有51%的控球率，但热那亚的总传球数和完成传球数更多。罗马队的进攻次数为105比93。罗马在这场比赛中有时表现得令人惊讶地被动——即使以“穆里尼奥的标准”来看也是如此。罗马在足球媒体上被批评他们的防守，甚至是谨慎的打法，但我们必须记住，他们甚至在纸面上都没有意甲前四名的阵容!

在与热那亚的比赛之前，罗马客场对阵AC米兰，他们还好，最终比分是2-2。米兰是更好的球队，尽管有61%的控球率，更多的射门，总传球，完成传球，进攻和危险进攻。东道主的预期进球数(xG)也更高——1.33-1.06。在意甲联赛中，他们最近五场比赛只赢了一场。当然，他们是最受欢迎的，但比博彩市场的估计更狭窄!明智的赌注是佛罗伦萨不会输球(+0.5个进球障碍)。佛罗伦萨在最近的意大利杯主场1-0击败桑普多利亚的比赛中表现非常出色。他们本可以轻松地取得更明显的胜利，因为他们在球场上占据了主导地位!佛罗伦萨有57%的控球率和更多的进球尝试(13-4)，进攻和危险攻击- 66-23。他们的防守确实很好——客队一脚射门都没有!我希望他们在与罗马的比赛中也能保持谨慎，本场比赛的进球预期比博彩公司预期的要低。总进球数在2.5球以下的概率为60%。在与桑普多利亚的比赛之前，他们再次表现强劲，在主场2-1击败萨索洛，他们的xG值高达3.23，而客队的xG值为1.63。他们状态很好，最近10场比赛一场都没输!此外，他们在最近的16场比赛中取得了大部分胜利——在这16场比赛中只输了一场!这发生在去年11月，在客场1-2击败强队AC米兰。东道主将失去达博、伊巴内斯和维纳尔杜姆。另一方面，佛罗伦萨将失去卡布拉尔、马丁内斯·夸尔塔和索蒂尔。在北京时间周六下午撰写这篇预告时，曼德拉戈拉的情况尚不清楚。

< / p > < p >祝你好运!