100% FA Cup predictions! 英联赛杯诺丁汉VS狼队
2023-01-11

Ricards

外籍分析师

英联赛杯

01/12 03:45

已完赛

诺丁汉
1:0
狼队
解读理由:

Two games in the English Cup are going to happen on Wednesday night. One of the games is going to be between Nottingham Forest and Wolverhampton. It's not going to be their first matchup this season as both teams met in October and Wolverhampton won at home. In this game, I'm predicting that the Wolves won't lose in regulation.

Since the return of football, Nottingham hasn't played very well or very poorly. The team won the previous EFL Cup game, lost to Manchester United in the Premier League, drew against Chelsea, and beat last-placed Southampton but lost to Blackpool in the 3rd round of the FA Cup. At home during the Premier League season, Nottingham has 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses with 11 goals scored (8th worst in the league) and 12 goals conceded. Nottingham has the 2nd worst xG at home (1.18) and 9th worst xGA (1.54).

Wolverhampton had a terrible start to the season but the situation has been better with the arrival of the new manager Julen Lopetegui. He's been with the club since the return of football and the results have been decent. Wolverhampton won the last EFL Cup round game and beat Everton on the road which was followed by a loss to Manchester United at home. A week ago, the team drew with Aston Villa on the road but the biggest surprise came a few days later. The team matched against Liverpool in the FA Cup. Wolverhampton was leading (1:0) and came back as well (1:2) and in the last minutes they scored a goal but it was turned over. There wasn't a VAR replay because that many cameras aren't in Anfield and the game ended with a draw. In the 9 road games this season, Wolverhampton has just 1 win, 3 draws, 5 losses, a total of 6 goals scored and 13 conceded. xG stats are much better - the team is 8th best on the road (xG of 1.57) and xGA is 6th best (1.55).

The motivation for Wolves should be sky-high. As we can see per xG, the team has already played well on the road and the new manager is just an additional thing that will help. There are no real new injury concerns for both team. In the last 9 matchups, 8 games have ended with a Wolves' win or a draw but the last 5 meetings in Nottingham have ended with a Wolves' win or draw as well. As of right now, these teams are very equal but the last game against Liverpool will give them an additional emotional boost to Wolverhampton and they should be able to at least draw in regulation.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周三晚上将有两场英格兰杯比赛。其中一场比赛将在诺丁汉森林队和狼队之间进行。这不会是他们本赛季的第一次比赛,因为两队在10月相遇,狼队在主场赢了。在这场比赛中,我预测狼队不会在常规比赛中输球。

自从足球回归以来,诺丁汉踢得不是很好,也不是很差。球队赢得了之前的EFL杯比赛,在英超输给曼联,战平切尔西,击败了排名最后的南安普顿,但在足总杯第3轮输给了布莱克浦。在本赛季的英超联赛中,诺丁汉在主场取得了3胜3平3负的成绩,进了11球(联赛倒数第8),丢了12球。诺丁汉在国内的xG排名第二(1.18),xGA排名第九(1.54)。

狼队本赛季开局糟糕,但随着新主帅洛佩特吉的到来,情况有所好转。自从足球回归以来,他就一直在俱乐部,成绩也不错。狼队赢得了上一场EFL杯,在客场击败了埃弗顿,随后在主场输给了曼联。一周前,球队在客场战平了阿斯顿维拉,但最大的惊喜发生在几天后。这支球队在足总杯中与利物浦比赛。伍尔弗汉普顿领先(1:0),并在最后几分钟(1:2)追上来,他们进了一个球,但它被翻盘了。没有VAR回放,因为安菲尔德没有很多摄像机,比赛以平局结束。在本赛季的9场客场比赛中,狼队仅取得1胜3平5负,共进6球失13球。xG的数据好多了,在客场排名第八(xG 1.57), xGA排名第六(1.55)。

狼队的动力应该是非常高的。正如我们从xG身上看到的,球队已经在客场踢得很好了,新教练只是一个额外的帮助。两支球队都没有新的伤病问题。在过去的9场比赛中,有8场比赛以狼队的胜利或平局结束,但在诺丁汉的最近5场比赛也以狼队的胜利或平局结束。到目前为止,这两支球队势均力敌,但最后一场对阵利物浦的比赛将给狼队带来额外的情绪鼓舞,他们至少应该能够在常规比赛中打平。


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