[6 out of 9] Great value! NBA雷霆VS独行侠
2023-01-08

Ricards

外籍分析师

NBA

01/09 08:00

已完赛

解读理由:

On the last day of the week, 9 games in the NBA are going to happen. One of the games will be between Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. After 39 games, the Thunder have 17 wins, 22 losses and the 13th place in the standings while the Mavericks have 23 wins, 17 losses and the 4th place. In this game, I'm predicting that the Thunder will cover the handicap.

As it has been this season, the Thunder are being very flaky. A few weeks ago, the Thunder won 3 games in a row but now the results have been mixed. In the last 4 games, the team has 2 wins and 2 losses. Both wins were at home where they have won 6 out of the last 8 games. Per advanced stats, the Thunder has the 19th-best offense (113.9), 13th-best defense (110.6) and 16th-best net rating (3.3).

The Mavericks have been tearing up lately. Dallas has 8 wins in the last 9 games and they have won 4 games in a row away from home. At the same time, the team's advanced stats on the road aren't so good. Dallas has the 8th-best offense (112.9), only 22nd-best defense (116.2) and 17th-best net rating (-3.2).

Dallas had a game yesterday against the Pelicans, and the team won by 10 points. New Orleans was playing without their 3 best scorers and in the last minute, only 6 points were between both teams. We couldn't say that the performance by the Mavericks was good and Luka Doncic had to play 39 minutes in this game. While Luka has been awesome in the last weeks, he has played a ton of minutes and it looks like he's going to sit out tonight's game. He has missed 3 games this season, and Dallas has lost all of them. This will be their 8th back-to-back game, and the team has covered the spread just 2 times.

There's one very interesting thing that I want to mention. In the last 9 games, the Thunder have 5 wins while the Mavericks have 8. If we check advanced stats, then Dallas has only the 11th-best net rating with 2.3. Which team is above them? The Thunder with a net rating of 3.4! The Thunder are one of the best home teams at covering the spread as they have done it in 62% of the games. Dallas is the 3rd-worst at covering the spread on the road as they have done it in just 33% of the games.

It's a very good opportunity for the Thunder to get a win. Dallas's roster without Doncic is very sad, to be honest. The Mavericks haven't been very good on the road overall as they have won only 7 out of 18 games while the Thunder have 12 wins in 21 games. The Thunder have covered the spread in 62% of the games against the Western Conference teams while the Mavericks have done it in only 48% of the games.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在本周的最后一天,NBA将会有9场比赛。其中一场比赛将在俄克拉荷马雷霆队和达拉斯小牛队之间进行。在39场比赛结束后,雷霆取得17胜22负,排名联盟第13位;小牛取得23胜17负,排名联盟第4位。在这场比赛中,我预测雷霆会克服障碍。

就像这个赛季一样,雷霆的表现非常不稳定。几周前,雷霆赢得了3连胜,但现在的结果喜忧参半。在过去的4场比赛中,这支球队2胜2负。两场胜利都是在主场,他们在过去8场比赛中赢了6场。根据高级数据,雷霆拥有第19位的最佳进攻(113.9),第13位的最佳防守(110.6)和第16位的最佳净效率(3.3)。

小牛队最近一直在撕裂。达拉斯在过去的9场比赛中取得了8胜,他们在客场取得了4连胜。与此同时,球队在客场的高级数据并不是很好。达拉斯的进攻(112.9)排名第八,防守(116.2)排名第22,净效率(-3.2)排名第17。

达拉斯昨天与鹈鹕队有一场比赛,球队以10分的优势获胜。黄蜂队没有了他们最好的三名得分手,在最后一分钟,两队之间只差6分。我们不能说小牛的表现很好,卢卡·东契奇在这场比赛中打了39分钟。虽然卢卡在过去的几周表现出色,但他打了大量的时间,看起来他将缺席今晚的比赛。他本赛季已经缺席了3场比赛,而达拉斯输掉了所有比赛。这将是他们的第8场背靠背比赛,这支球队只赢过2次。

我想提一件很有趣的事。在过去的9场比赛中,雷霆赢了5场,小牛赢了8场。如果我们查看高级数据,达拉斯的净评级仅为2.3,排在第11位。哪个队在他们之上?雷霆的净收视率是3.4!雷霆是最好的主场球队之一,他们在62%的比赛中做到了。达拉斯在客场防守方面排名第三,因为他们只有33%的比赛做到了这一点。

这对雷霆来说是个赢球的好机会。老实说,小牛队没有东契奇的阵容让人很伤心。小牛在客场表现不佳,18场比赛只赢了7场,而雷霆在21场比赛中赢了12场。在对阵西部球队的比赛中,雷霆队62%的比赛中都做到了,而小牛队只有48%的比赛做到了。


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